New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Prediction and Picks for Thursday, November 13th, 2025
Week 12 of the 2025-26 NFL season gets underway on Thursday night with a divisional matchup between the New York Jets (2-7) and the New England Patriots (8-2), and we’ve got you covered with our Jets vs. Patriots prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 ET from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA., and the weather is expected to start in the high 30s. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NFL Betting Picks!
Jets Win Second Straight Game
The New York Jets are in the first season of the Aaron Glenn era, and things simply haven’t gone great. However, after an 0-7 start to the campaign, the Jets have bounced back and rattled off consecutive wins over the Bengals (39-38) and the Browns (27-20). Even with the recent string of wins, the playoffs are a long shot, as New York sits at +10000 to make the postseason. From a sports betting perspective, the Jets come into the new week at 5-4 ATS and they’ve gone 6-3 to the over.
In terms of personnel, the Jets are still riding with Justin Fields under center. He signed a two-year, $40 million contract prior to the year. Fields has thrown for 1,143 yards on a 63.5% completion rate, adding six touchdowns and one interception. He has also added 316 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, but RB Breece Hall is the main back with 664 yards and two touchdowns on 138 carries (4.8 YPC). Out wide, WR Garrett Wilson (395 yards, 4 TD) has been the main target, but he’s doubtful with a knee sprain.
- Offensively, the Jets are scoring 21.7 points per game (25th), while averaging 285.6 yards per week (28th).
- Defensively, they are 26th in the NFL this year, conceding 26.8 points per game. They’re allowing 329.0 yards per contest, which is 19th.
- Injury Report: All of the following players are questionable: G Xavier Newman (undisclosed), DE Will McDonald IV (quadriceps), RB Khalil Herbert (groin), LB Kiko Mauigoa (concussion), CB Azareye’h Thomas (concussion), DT Harrison Phillips (undisclosed), and DE Braiden McGregor (undisclosed). WR Garrett Wilson (knee) is doubtful.
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Patriots Beat Bucs, Move to 8-2
Like the Jets, the New England Patriots also made a coaching change coming into the year. However, things have panned out better for them, as Coach Mike Vrabel has his squad out to an AFC-best 8-2. The Pats have won seven consecutive games, with their three recent wins coming against the Browns (32-13), Falcons (24-23), and the Buccaneers (28-23), most recently. From this point, New England is a -260 favorite to win the AFC West. They’re also sitting at 7-3 ATS and 6-4 to the over.
Keeping it with the sports betting angle, QB Drake Maye is now the MVP favorite at +275. The sophomore signal caller out of North Carolina has thrown for 2,555 yards on a 71.7% completion rate, adding 19 touchdowns and five picks. Veteran WR Stefon Diggs has been his favorite option, hauling in 50 passes for 554 yards and three touchdowns. TreVeyon Henderson has spearheaded the rushing attack, gaining 430 yards and three touchdowns on 81 totes (5.3 YPC).
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kevin V. | +700.00 |
| 2 |  MIT Simulator | +600.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +392.00 |
| 4 |  Mike Fink | +255.00 |
| 5 |  Brick Haus Sports | +251.00 |
- New England’s offense has been excellent this season, ranking eighth in scoring (26.5 PPG), while putting up 359.1 yards per game (10th).
- On the defensive side, the Patriots are sixth this season, allowing 19.2 points per game. In terms of yardage, they’re eighth, conceding 306.2 yards per contest.
- Injury Report: All of the following players are questionable: LB K’Lavon Chaisson (ankle), LB Jack Gibbens (hamstring), CB Marcus Jones (elbow), LB Christian Elliss (hip), S Haylinn Hawkins (shoulder), TE Austin Hooper (concussion), RB Terrell Jennings (knee), WR Kayshon Boutte (hamstring), and RB Rhamondre Stevenson (toe).
Jets vs. Patriots Pick
Spread Pick for Jets vs. Patriots
- New England Patriots -11.5 (-107) (5 units)
I don’t love laying large numbers like this in divisional games on short weeks, but I do think the 11.5-point spread is warranted here. People often make that joke about how “Team X has set football back 100 years with that performance.” Well, that’s the Jets this year. They do not have a downfield passing game, which is exemplified by the fact that Justin Fields is 38th in air yards per pass attempt (3.7). Obviously, there are only 32 teams, so the fact that he ranks below several backup QBs is laughable as well.
The point that I ultimately want to make is that the Jets are extremely reliant on the run game. They rush the ball on 47.4% of their plays (sixth). Well, that won’t bode well for them on Thursday night, as they’re running into a Pats’ defense that’s first overall in rushing yards allowed per game (79.2) and fourth in rushing yards allowed per attempt (3.8). Pro Football Focus grades New England as the sixth-best tackling team as well. I don’t see New York finding much offensive success in this game, so I don’t believe it’ll take much offensively for New England to cover this number. I think the Pats cover in a lower-scoring game, somewhere in the 20-3 or 24-10 range.
Over/Under Pick for Jets vs. Patriots
- Under 43.5 (-110) (5 units)
Don’t let last weekend’s 27-20 final score for the Jets deceive you. Only six of New York’s 27 points came from the offense, as they sprinkled in two special teams touchdowns (12 points) and a nine-point effort from Nick Folk. The Jets have not magically turned the corner and are now producing at a huge rate offensively. Once again, I say all of this because I do not anticipate them pulling their weight in getting this final score over the total.
On the flip side, Coach Mike Vrabel leads a run-heavy team as well. New England is seventh in rushing play percentage (47.2%). Being that it’s a short week and they have a young quarterback, I can easily see the Pats once again leaning into the rushing attack heavily. New England could go off for a few explosive plays, but I don’t expect them going nuclear offensively in this one. As I mentioned above, I can see this one landing in the 24-10 range and finishing comfortably under the number.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
