Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders Prediction, Picks, Odds, and Line Movement for December 20 2025
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders picks are front and center for Week 16 as bettors looking for NFL picks break down the first of two late-season NFC East meetings between these division rivals. Philadelphia enters as a clear road favorite against a Washington team that has officially turned the page at quarterback.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Eagles -5.5
- Total Pick: Under 44
- Projected Final Score: Eagles 31, Commanders 10
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Philadelphia vs Washington
- The Eagles are 7-2 in their last nine games against Washington
- This matchup has gone over the total in five of the last six games.
- The Eagles have six straight games that have gone under.
- Betting public heavily favors the Eagles so far.
- Washington enters Week 16 ranked No. 31 in EPA per play allowed.
- Washington ranks last in EPA per drop-back allowed.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | -5.5 (-115) | Under 44 (-105) |
| Washington | +5.5 (-105) | Over 44 (-115) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Philadelphia | Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | 03:27:02PM | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| 12/15 | 03:26:45PM | -5.5 (-122) | +5.5 (+100) |
| 12/15 | 07:01:38AM | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) |
| 12/14 | 07:07:03PM | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) |
| 12/09 | 06:00:13PM | -4.5 (-115) | +4.5 (-105) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | 03:28:49PM | 44 (-105) | 44 (-115) |
| 12/15 | 07:01:39AM | 44 (-115) | 44 (-105) |
| 12/14 | 06:31:03PM | 44 (-110) | 44 (-110) |
| 12/09 | 06:00:14PM | 45 (-110) | 45 (-110) |
Philadelphia vs Washington Game Preview and Analysis
This marks the first clash of the season between these NFC East rivals, with a rematch looming in Week 18. Philadelphia has controlled the series of late, winning seven of the last nine meetings, including a dominant 55–23 victory in last year’s NFC Championship Game.
Washington confirmed earlier this week that rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been shut down for the remainder of the season, turning the offense over to veteran Marcus Mariota. Mariota delivered a steady, efficient outing in last week’s road win over the Giants, highlighted by a 51-yard touchdown strike to Terry McLaurin. Widely regarded as one of the league’s top backup quarterbacks, Mariota should allow Washington to generate offense in spurts.
Philadelphia responded to a three-game skid with an emphatic 31–0 shutout of the Raiders at home. The Eagles dominated across the board, posting a +4.1 yards-per-play advantage and a 27–7 edge in first downs, making it one of the most one-sided performances of the week. Jalen Hurts also leaned more into his mobility, carrying the ball seven times for 39 yards.
Washington’s primary concern remains its defense. Entering Week 16, the Commanders rank 31st in EPA per play allowed, 27th in success rate allowed, and dead last in EPA allowed per drop-back. Philadelphia’s offensive issues this season have mostly surfaced against elite defensive units—something Washington simply does not offer.
Key Injuries and Notes (PHI and WAS)
- Washington: QB Jayden Daniels is out. Marcus Mariota expected to start at quarterback.
- Philadelphia: No significant new injuries entering Week 16.
Final Score Prediction
Eagles 31, Commanders 10
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Eagles -5.5
- Over Under: Under 44
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