Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears Prediction and Picks - November 23, 2025
Use Code SSWC Sunday afternoon on the NFL gridiron, and we have a Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears prediction locked and loaded for you. The Steelers come in off a 34-12 home win over the Bengals to move to 6-4 on the year. The Bears are at 7-3 on the season, and they come in off a 19-17 road win over the Vikings. These teams last met back in 2021, and the Steelers won that game at home by a score of 29-27. Read on to see our Steelers vs Bears prediction.
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Rodgers Gets Hurt In Big Steelers Win
Pittsburgh moved to 6-4 after a convincing 34-12 win over the Cincinnati Bengals, a game defined by defensive dominance and timely contributions from the offense. Aaron Rodgers exited with a wrist injury, but Mason Rudolph stepped in and kept the offense steady, completing 12 of 16 passes with a touchdown. Rodgers is listed as questionable for this one. The defense stole the spotlight, scoring twice on turnovers, and the Steelers showed resilience by handling a divisional opponent despite missing key starters.
On offense, Rodgers has been the driving force all season, throwing for nearly 2,000 yards and 19 touchdowns, but the ground game has lagged behind. Jaylen Warren has been the most consistent runner with 536 yards at 4.4 yards per carry, while Kenneth Gainwell has chipped in as a versatile option with three rushing scores and two receiving touchdowns. DK Metcalf remains the big-play threat, averaging almost 15 yards per catch with five touchdowns, while Pat Freiermuth and Calvin Austin III provide reliable secondary targets. If Rodgers is limited, Rudolph will need to lean on those weapons to keep the offense balanced against Chicago’s defense.
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Defensively, the Steelers have been inconsistent, ranking last in passing yards allowed but showing strength against the run. They give up over 260 yards per game through the air, yet hold opponents to just 106 rushing yards, thanks to a front seven anchored by T.J. Watt. The unit has produced nine takeaways, including multiple defensive scores last week, proving they can flip momentum quickly. Against Caleb Williams and a Bears offense that thrives on balance, Pittsburgh’s pass rush will be critical to offsetting their secondary’s struggles and keeping the game within reach.
Bears Top Vikings On Last-Second FG
Chicago improved to 7-3 after a dramatic 19-17 win over the Minnesota Vikings, rallying late after blowing a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter. Devin Duvernay’s 56-yard kickoff return set up Cairo Santos for the game-winning field goal, while Caleb Williams threw for 193 yards and D’Andre Swift rushed for 90 to keep the offense steady. It was the Bears’ fifth comeback win of the season, a testament to their ability to respond under pressure.
Offensively, Chicago has been one of the most balanced attacks in the league, ranking top five in total yards and second in rushing. Swift leads the way with 634 yards and four touchdowns, while Kyle Monangai adds another 413 yards and three scores. Williams has thrown for over 2,300 yards with 13 touchdowns, spreading the ball to Rome Odunze, who leads the team with 600 yards and six touchdowns, and tight end Colston Loveland, who has become a reliable red-zone option. The mix of power running and explosive passing makes the Bears difficult to defend, especially when Williams extends plays outside the pocket.
Defensively, the Bears have been less consistent, allowing over 26 points per game and ranking near the bottom against the run. They’ve given up 133 rushing yards per contest, but their opportunism has kept them afloat, leading the league with 15 takeaways. That ability to flip momentum has been critical in close games, and it will be a key factor against Pittsburgh. If Chicago can pressure Rodgers—or force Rudolph into mistakes if he starts—they’ll have the chance to dictate tempo and lean on their offense to secure another win.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears Pick
Steelers vs Bears Spread Pick
- Chicago -2.5 (4 Units)
Backing Chicago -2.5 makes plenty of sense given how consistent they’ve been in spots like this. The Bears have covered five straight games as home favorites of four points or fewer, showing they can handle tight lines in front of their own crowd. Caleb Williams has given this offense stability, throwing for over 2,300 yards with 13 touchdowns, while the ground game led by D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai ranks second in the league. That balance makes them difficult to defend, and with Rome Odunze emerging as a reliable big-play target, Chicago has the firepower to keep pressure on Pittsburgh’s secondary, which has been one of the weakest in the NFL.
History also leans toward Chicago, as they’ve gone 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings with the Steelers, consistently finding ways to cover against this opponent. Pittsburgh’s offense has been shaky without a healthy Aaron Rodgers, and even if he plays, the Bears’ opportunistic defense—leading the league with 15 takeaways—has the tools to force mistakes. Add in Chicago’s ability to control tempo with their rushing attack and capitalize on short fields, and the matchup sets up well for them to cover the number again.
Steelers vs Bears Over/Under Pick
- Over 46 (3 Units)
The Over 46 has strong appeal because both teams bring offensive firepower and situational trends that point toward points. Pittsburgh has gone 5-1 to the Over in their last six matchups against NFC North opponents, and their defense has been vulnerable through the air, giving up over 260 passing yards per game. Chicago, meanwhile, has hit the Over in six of their last seven games before playing a weekday contest, and their offense ranks top‑five in total yards with Caleb Williams leading a balanced attack alongside D’Andre Swift. With the Bears averaging 25.8 points per game and the Steelers still capable of explosive plays through DK Metcalf and Jaylen Warren, this matchup sets up for a scoreline that clears the posted total.
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