Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks and Prediction for Sunday November 15 2026

Seattle heads to Las Vegas on Sunday for a 4:05 PM ET game at Allegiant Stadium. The Seahawks are favored by 6.5 points, and the total is 40.5. This one is indoors, so we can forget about weather. Seattle just held Arizona to three points, while the Raiders got knocked around by San Francisco. And here’s what makes this matchup interesting: Las Vegas has been scoring plenty, but Seattle has the best yardage defense in football. I like the Seahawks. The question is whether I trust them enough to lay almost a touchdown on the road. Get into the NFL action with our free NFL picks.

Seattle Has Been Getting It Done Defensively

Seattle is 5-4 after beating Arizona 17-3 on Sunday. That wasn’t exactly an offensive masterpiece, but the Seahawks didn’t need one. They controlled the game defensively and made Arizona work for everything. Seattle has been a little inconsistent this season, but the defense has been dependable. That’s a pretty good place to start when you’re heading into a road game.

The Seahawks are averaging 22.4 points per game and allowing only 17.7. They’re also giving up just 244.2 yards a game, the best mark in the NFL. Opponents have managed only 155.1 passing yards per game against Seattle. That’s an outstanding number. Las Vegas has enough offensive talent to make things interesting, but the Raiders haven’t faced many defenses playing this well.

Sam Darnold doesn’t need to throw for 350 yards Sunday. Seattle needs him to protect the ball and take advantage when the defense gives him good field position. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the league’s most productive receivers, entering the week with 1,036 receiving yards. That’s a serious weapon against a Raiders defense that’s been giving up yards in bunches. Seattle needs to avoid getting careless offensively, but the opportunities should be there.

Las Vegas Has Been Giving Up Too Many Points

Las Vegas is 4-5 after losing 38-17 to San Francisco on Sunday. That’s a rough result, especially against a team the Raiders would love to compete with. Las Vegas has been capable of scoring, but the defense has been getting beaten too easily. It’s hard to win when you’re constantly asking the offense to score 30 just to stay competitive.

The Raiders are averaging 26.4 points per game, which is actually pretty good. The problem is the 29.8 they’re allowing. Las Vegas has also been giving up 385.4 yards a game, the worst mark in the league. That’s a terrible matchup against a Seattle team that doesn’t need much help moving the football. The Raiders have to do a better job getting off the field on third down and limiting explosive plays.

Brock Bowers has been a major part of the offense, ranking among the league’s leading tight ends in receiving production. Las Vegas needs to find ways to get him involved because Seattle has been so good against outside passing attacks. The Raiders also need a strong running game to keep the Seahawks from teeing off on obvious passing downs. If Las Vegas becomes one-dimensional, this could get ugly.

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks and Prediction

Spread Pick: Seattle Seahawks -6.5

I’m taking Seattle and laying the 6.5 points. The Raiders have been scoring 26.4 a game, so I understand the argument for taking the home underdog. But Seattle is allowing only 17.7, and Las Vegas has the worst yardage defense in football. That’s a pretty ugly combination for the Raiders. Seattle should be able to move the ball, and I don’t think Las Vegas is going to have its usual offensive success against this defense. Give me the Seahawks by at least a touchdown.

Total Pick: Under 40.5

I’ll take the under 40.5. Las Vegas has been involved in some high-scoring games, and that’s the obvious concern. The Raiders can score, but Seattle has been holding opponents to fewer than 18 points a game. I don’t think Las Vegas gets anywhere near its usual 26. Seattle also isn’t an especially explosive offensive team, so the Seahawks may be content to run the ball and protect a lead. Something around 24-13 Seattle makes sense to me.

Final Picks: Seattle Seahawks -6.5 | Under 40.5

Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting lineups may change before kickoff.