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Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction and Picks - September 14, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 09/12/2025, 06:15 PM ET
Aaron Rodgers looks to lead the Steelers over the Seahawks

Sunday afternoon on the NFL gridiron, and we have a Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction ready to roll. The Seahawks went 10-7 last year, but they begin this year at 0-1 after taking a 17-13 home loss to the 49ers. Pittsburgh was also 10-7 in the regular season last year, and they have started out at 1-0 after a wild 34-32 win over the Jets. How will this one play out? Read on to see our Seahawks vs Steelers prediction.

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The Offense Sputtered In Game One

Seattle’s Week 1 loss to San Francisco was a gut punch—falling 17–13 at home despite leading late and forcing multiple turnovers. Sam Darnold made his debut under center, throwing for just 150 yards and losing a critical fumble in the red zone with under a minute left. The offense managed just 234 total yards and averaged 3.2 yards per carry, with Zach Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker III combining for 67 yards on 22 attempts. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the lone bright spot, hauling in 124 yards on nine catches, including a 40-yard strike that nearly set up the game-winner.

Offensively, Seattle is still searching for rhythm. Darnold was efficient but conservative, and the lack of explosive plays outside of Smith-Njigba limited their ceiling. Cooper Kupp was held to just 15 yards in his Seahawks debut, and the offensive line allowed four sacks and multiple pressures. Klint Kubiak’s scheme leans on play-action and tempo, but without a reliable run game, the Seahawks struggled to sustain drives. Against Pittsburgh’s aggressive front, Seattle will need to protect Darnold and find ways to get Kupp involved early to avoid another late-game collapse.

Defensively, Seattle held its own, forcing four three-and-outs and limiting San Francisco to 3.3 yards per carry. Devon Witherspoon and Julian Love were active in coverage, and the pass rush generated seven tackles for loss. However, rookie safety Nick Emmanwori left with an ankle injury, and depth concerns emerged in the secondary. Against Aaron Rodgers and Pittsburgh’s vertical attack, Seattle will need to disguise coverage and win early downs. If they can’t pressure Rodgers or contain DK Metcalf, the game could tilt quickly.

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Rodgers Gets Revenge On Old Team

Pittsburgh opened the season with a dramatic 34–32 road win over the Jets, led by Aaron Rodgers’ vintage performance: 244 yards, four touchdowns, and zero turnovers. Rodgers threw two scores in a 50-second span in the fourth quarter, including an 18-yard strike to Calvin Austin III after a special teams fumble recovery. DK Metcalf led the receiving corps with 83 yards, and Jaylen Warren added 59 total yards and a touchdown. The Steelers were perfect in the red zone (3-for-3) and converted multiple third-and-longs, showcasing Rodgers’ poise and playmaking.

The Steelers’ offense is built around timing and spacing, and Rodgers executed flawlessly. Jonnu Smith and Ben Skowronek each caught touchdowns, and Pittsburgh spread the ball to seven different receivers. The run game was limited—just 53 yards on 20 carries—but the passing attack more than compensated. Against Seattle’s zone-heavy defense, expect Pittsburgh to lean on quick reads, motion, and intermediate routes to exploit soft spots. If the offensive line holds up, Rodgers has the tools to pick apart the secondary.

Defensively, Pittsburgh bent but didn’t break. They allowed 182 rushing yards but forced a key fourth-quarter fumble and held the Jets to 6 points in the final frame. T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith combined for 10 tackles and a sack, while Jalen Ramsey sealed the win with a jarring hit on Garrett Wilson to force a turnover on downs. The Steelers will need to tighten up their run fits against Seattle’s two-headed backfield, but their ability to generate pressure and create turnovers gives them a clear edge. Expect aggressive blitz packages and bracket coverage on Smith-Njigba to disrupt Seattle’s rhythm.

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Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Prediction

Seattle vs Pittsburgh Spread Pick

Seattle catching +3 sets up as a strong value play in a classic letdown spot for Pittsburgh. The Steelers are coming off an emotional win over the Jets, where Aaron Rodgers threw four touchdowns and the defense sealed it late—but they’re just 1–5 ATS before facing New England, and this matchup has trap-game written all over it. Seattle, meanwhile, is 6–0 ATS in their last six before facing New Orleans, and they’ve quietly covered in six straight road games. Sam Darnold wasn’t flashy in his debut, but he protected the ball and showed chemistry with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who posted 124 yards on nine catches. If Seattle can clean up the run game and get Cooper Kupp more involved, they have the balance to keep this close.

Defensively, Seattle matches up well against Pittsburgh’s vertical attack. They held San Francisco to 3.3 yards per carry and forced four three-and-outs, and their secondary—led by Devon Witherspoon and Julian Love—has the speed to contain DK Metcalf. Pittsburgh’s run game was limited to just 53 yards last week, and if Seattle can generate pressure without blitzing, they’ll force Rodgers into shorter throws and longer drives. With the Seahawks trending upward ATS and Pittsburgh potentially looking ahead, this sets up as a tight, field-position battle where the points carry real value.

  • Seattle +3 (4 Units)

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Seattle vs Pittsburgh Over/Under Pick

This total sets up well for the Under 40, with both teams leaning toward conservative playcalling and showing early signs of offensive inconsistency. Seattle managed just 234 total yards in Week 1 and will likely continue to protect Sam Darnold with a run-heavy approach and short passing game. Pittsburgh, despite scoring 34 last week, is just 1–7 to the Under after allowing 31+ points and 1–6 to the Under in their last seven against NFC West opponents—both trends pointing toward regression. Injuries on both sides, including Seattle’s secondary and Pittsburgh’s offensive line, could further slow the pace. With Rodgers facing a zone-heavy scheme and Darnold operating behind a banged-up front, this matchup profiles as a low-scoring, field-position battle that stays in the mid-30s.

  • Under 40 (5 Units)
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