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Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 25, 2025

By: Justin Walker Published 10/25/2025, 03:41 AM ET
Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction

We have an Atlantic Division NHL showdown as the Buffalo Sabres, standing in third place of the division with a 4-4-0 record, clash with the division’s fifth-place Toronto Maple Leafs, who bring a 3-4-1 record to center ice for our Sabres vs. Maple Leafs prediction. Set inside the Scotiabank Arena on October 25th at 5:00 PM ET, fans can catch the action live on ESPN+.

This will be the second of four meetings between these teams this year, as the Sabres were able to win 5-3 on Friday night, with this being the second half of a back-to-back. Mattias Samuelsson scored twice to lead Buffalo. Blue line to crease — NHL picks for Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs without the fluff.

Sabres Searching for First Road Win

The Buffalo Sabres, positioned in third place in the Atlantic Division with a 4-4-0 record, head into this game looking to continue building off their success. The latest game against the Toronto Maple Leafs at home, 5-3, was a win as they were able to score twice in each of the first two periods.

Offensively, Buffalo has been doing a lesser job at finding the back of the net, averaging 2.71 goals per game, which is tied for 23rd in the sport. The Sabres’ power play has been at a respectable level, converting at a 25.0% clip, showcasing their ability to take advantage of their opponent’s mistakes. Their defensive game shows they are going to be a force, conceding an average of 2.86 goals against per game, highlighting an area of weakness at this point in the season.

On the goaltending front, goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is going to need to continue improving in the net for this game, and this is the first time that he will be playing this season.

Injury Report for Buffalo

  • Center Tyson Kozak: Lower Body (Questionable)
  • Defenseman Jacob Bryson: Concussion (Questionable)
  • Defenseman Michael Kesselring: Lower Body (OUT)
  • Left winger Jordan Greenway: Lower Body (OUT)
  • Right winger Justin Danforth: Lower Body (OUT)
  • Center Joshua Norris: Upper Body (OUT)
  • Right winger Carson Meyer: Knee (OUT)

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Maple Leafs Looking to Continue Playing Well at Home

The Toronto Maple Leafs, playing at an okay level up to this point as they are in fifth place in the Atlantic Division with a 3-4-1 record early on, face a team that is playing at a middling level. Their recent game on the road against the Sabres, a 5-3 loss, reflects a team that needs to figure things out as they struggled defensively. Right winger William Nylander is leading the franchise with 13 points (two goals, 11 assists). The Maple Leafs will be testing their depth a bit as four players are going to miss this game with an injury, while they have another player listed as questionable.

Toronto’s offensive output has been stepping up thus far, with the team sitting in 10th place in the league for goals scored, averaging 3.43 goals per game. The Maple Leafs’ power play, operating at a 12.5% success rate, and their penalty kill at 79.0%, highlight areas of the game that are holding their own up to this point.

Goaltending is one of the team’s strong suits, with Cayden Primeau looking to improve as he struggled in his only game thus far, winning but having a 4.00 goals allowed per game and a .867 save percentage. This team needs to improve defensively to step up and win more games.

Injury Report for Toronto

  • Defenseman Morgan Reilly: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Goalie Joseph Woll: Personal (OUT)
  • Defenseman Christopher Tanev: Upper Body (OUT)
  • Left winger Scott Laughton: Lower Body (OUT)
  • Defenseman Marshall Rifai: Wrist (OUT)

Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

Spread Pick for Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

  • Buffalo Sabres +150 (4 units)

We are getting a good number here on the moneyline as this four-unit bet could win us an additional six and the Sabres team looks hot right now. They enter this game winning four of their last five games, including winning on Friday over this Toronto team. Toronto is unable to score on the power play as Buffalo is the second-best in the sport with a 96.4 kill percentage. This Maple Leafs defense leaves a lot to be desired and not having Joseph Woll healthy has shown to cause an issue for them to win games. All in all, go with the Buffalo Sabres to record the win as a large underdog.

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 Over/Under Pick for Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

  • Under 6.5 (5 units)

These teams scored eight combined goals on Friday, but with having to travel to Canada and an early start, there are a lot of issues going on to record goals. Toronto is not scoring too many power-play goals and the Maple Leafs are scoring 2.5 goals in their previous four games. The injuries are piled up in this game to the point it is going to be tough to expect many goals, and seeing the same team twice in two days will give an advantage to the defense as they know what to look for in this second matchup. Go with under 6.5 total goals as the better bet here.

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