Calgary Flames vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction and Picks - November 19, 2025
Use Code SSWC National Hockey League action on Wednesday evening, and we have a Calgary Flames vs Buffalo Sabres prediction ready to rock and roll. The Flames enter this game off a 5-2 road loss to Chicago, which dropped them to 5-16 on the year. The Sabres enter this game off a strong 5-1 home win over Edmonton to move to 7-12. Read on to see our Flames vs Sabres prediction.
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Flames Continue to Struggle
Calgary enters this matchup after a 5–2 road loss to Chicago on November 18, where Matt Coronato and Rasmus Andersson scored but the Flames couldn’t overcome defensive lapses and a tough night in net. Dustin Wolf started and allowed four goals on 22 shots (.818 SV%), while the team’s offense once again failed to generate enough finish despite nearly 30 shots. The defeat underscored Calgary’s season-long struggles with scoring depth and defensive consistency. Devin Cooley is expected to get the start in this one, giving the Flames a fresh look in goal after Wolf’s rough outing.
Offensively, the Flames remain last in the NHL at just 2.1 goals per game despite ranking sixth in shots per contest (29.9). Coronato has been one of the few bright spots with six goals and 10 points, while Andersson’s tally against Chicago gave him nine points on the season. Nazem Kadri leads the team with 12 points but carries a -15 rating, reflecting his defensive struggles. Jonathan Huberdeau has chipped in nine points in 16 games, but the power play has been dreadful at 11.9%, dead last in the league. Even with strong faceoff work from Mikael Backlund and Morgan Frost, Calgary’s inability to finish has kept them from turning possession into wins.
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Defensively, Calgary allows 3.0 goals per game and sits middle of the pack in shots against. MacKenzie Weegar and Andersson log heavy minutes but have struggled with turnovers, while Cooley’s 1.75 GAA in limited action offers hope for a steadier performance in net. The penalty kill sits at 77.3%, leaving them vulnerable against teams with efficient special teams. Against Buffalo, Calgary must stay disciplined, lean on Cooley’s composure, and hope their top six can finally convert chances at a higher rate to avoid another frustrating defeat.
Sabres Crush The Oilers
Buffalo enters this matchup after a convincing 5–1 home win over Edmonton on November 17, where rookie Noah Östlund scored twice, Bowen Byram and Beck Malenstyn added goals in the second period, and Tage Thompson sealed the victory with an empty-netter. Goaltender Colten Ellis was sharp, stopping 32 of 33 shots to secure back-to-back wins for the Sabres. The performance highlighted Buffalo’s depth scoring and defensive structure, giving them momentum heading into their clash with Calgary.
Offensively, Buffalo has been steadier than Calgary, averaging 2.9 goals per game and spreading production across multiple lines. Thompson leads the team with 17 points, while Alex Tuch and Jason Zucker provide secondary scoring. Rookie Zach Benson has impressed with eight assists in just eight games, adding playmaking depth, and Östlund’s breakout against Edmonton showcased the Sabres’ ability to get contributions from young talent. Their power play sits at 17.2%, middle of the pack, but Buffalo’s ability to generate offense from different sources makes them dangerous against a Flames team that struggles to score.
Defensively, Buffalo has allowed 3.4 goals per game, ranking near the bottom of the league in shots against, but their penalty kill has been elite at 89.7%, best in the NHL. Rasmus Dahlin and Bowen Byram anchor the blue line, logging heavy minutes and driving transition, while Alex Lyon is slated to start in this one, bringing experience despite a 3.07 GAA. Against Calgary, Buffalo’s defensive structure and special teams advantage should give them the upper hand, especially if Thompson and Tuch continue to produce offensively and the young forwards build on their recent momentum
Calgary Flames vs Buffalo Sabres Pick
Flames vs Sabres Moneyline Pick
- Buffalo -155 (3 Units)
Buffalo looks like the stronger side in this matchup, especially coming off their 5–1 win over Edmonton where Noah Östlund broke out with two goals and Colten Ellis turned aside 32 shots. The Sabres have more scoring depth than Calgary, with Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch, and Jason Zucker all capable of driving offense, while rookies like Benson and Östlund add fresh energy. Calgary, meanwhile, has struggled to finish all season, ranking last in the NHL at 2.1 goals per game and showing little consistency on the power play. With Devin Cooley expected to start, the Flames will need near-perfect goaltending to keep pace.
Defensively, Buffalo has its flaws, allowing 3.4 goals per game, but their penalty kill is the best in the league at 89.7% and should neutralize Calgary’s already weak special teams. Rasmus Dahlin and Bowen Byram anchor the blue line and can transition quickly to offense, giving Buffalo an edge in pace and puck movement. Calgary’s inability to convert chances and their reliance on Coronato and Andersson for scoring make them vulnerable against a Sabres team that can roll multiple lines. With Buffalo’s balanced attack and special teams advantage, they’re well-positioned to cover at home and extend their winning streak.
Flames vs Sabres Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (1 Units)
The Under 6.5 makes sense here given Calgary’s offensive struggles and Buffalo’s defensive profile. The Flames rank last in the NHL at just 2.1 goals per game despite firing nearly 30 shots per contest, and their power play sits dead last at 11.9%. Buffalo has more scoring depth, but they average only 2.9 goals per game and rely heavily on Thompson and Tuch for production. With Devin Cooley expected to start for Calgary and Alex Lyon in net for Buffalo, plus the Sabres owning the league’s best penalty kill at 89.7%, this matchup projects as a grind with limited high-danger chances, favoring the Under 6.5.
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