Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers Prediction and Picks - November 28, 2025
Friday afternoon National Hockey League action, and we have a Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers prediction ready to rock and roll. Calgary enters this game off a 5-1 road loss to Tampa Bay, which dropped them to 8-17 on the year. The Panthers check in at 12-11 on the year, but they are off a 4-2 home loss to the Flyers. These teams split the two meetings last year. Read on to see our Flames vs Panthers prediction.
If you’re looking to cross-check the books and put some cash in your pocket, check out our free NHL picks!
Flames Continue To Struggle
Calgary dropped to 8-14-3 after a 5-1 loss to Tampa Bay on November 26. The Lightning buried four goals in the opening period, and although Joel Farabee scored shorthanded late in the third, the Flames never recovered. Dustin Wolf made 32 saves but was under siege early, and Calgary’s offense managed just one goal despite firing 33 shots. It was a sobering reminder of how thin the margin is for a team struggling to find consistency.
The Flames’ offense has been one of the least productive in the league, averaging just 2.4 goals per game (31st). Nazem Kadri leads the team with 18 points, while Matt Coronato has chipped in 8 goals, but the lack of finishing touch has plagued them. Their power play sits at 13.4% (31st), a major issue when trying to keep pace in tight games. Calgary does generate shots — nearly 30 per game — but converting those looks has been the challenge. If they can’t find more scoring depth, especially against a Florida team that thrives on offensive bursts, they’ll be in trouble.
Defensively, Calgary has been steadier, allowing 3.0 goals per game (17th) and ranking middle of the pack in penalty kill at 80.2%. Wolf has carried the load in net with six wins, but his .890 save percentage reflects the pressure he faces nightly. The Flames are also one of the most penalized teams in the league, with 311 penalty minutes, and that lack of discipline often puts them behind the eight ball. Against Florida’s top-20 power play, staying out of the box will be critical if Calgary wants to keep this matchup competitive.
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Panthers Stunned By Flyers At Home
Florida sits at 12-10-1 after a 4-2 home loss to Philadelphia on November 26. Brad Marchand scored in the first period and Carter Verhaeghe added another in the second, but the Flyers struck twice in each of the final two frames to steal the win. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 shots, yet defensive lapses and untimely penalties cost the Panthers momentum. It was a frustrating setback after their 8-3 blowout win over Nashville just two nights earlier.
Offensively, Florida has been far more reliable than Calgary, averaging 3.1 goals per game (15th). Marchand leads the way with 14 goals and 26 points, while Sam Reinhart and Verhaeghe continue to provide steady production. Their power play sits at 19.8% (16th), giving them a legitimate weapon when opponents take penalties. Florida doesn’t overwhelm with shot volume — about 28.6 per game — but they capitalize on chances and have multiple lines capable of scoring. Even with injuries to stars like Matthew Tkachuk, the Panthers have shown they can spread the offense around.
Defensively, Florida has allowed 3.1 goals per game (19th), but their shot suppression is elite, ranking 6th in shots against (25.7). Bobrovsky has 10 wins and two shutouts, though his .882 save percentage reflects some inconsistency. Daniil Tarasov has been a capable backup with a .913 save percentage, giving the Panthers options in net. Discipline has been better than Calgary’s, with 227 penalty minutes, but their penalty kill sits at 79.2% (20th), leaving room for improvement. Against a Flames team that struggles to score, Florida’s defensive structure should give them the edge if they avoid costly mistakes.
Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers Pick
Flames vs Panthers Moneyline Pick
- Florida -1.5 (4 Units)
Backing Florida -1.5 makes sense given the way the Panthers’ offense stacks up against Calgary’s struggles. Florida is averaging 3.1 goals per game with Brad Marchand, Sam Reinhart, and Carter Verhaeghe all capable of driving scoring across multiple lines. Their power play sits near 20%, and against a Flames team ranked dead last with a 13.4% conversion rate, the Panthers have a clear special-teams edge. Calgary generates shots but lacks finishing, and with Sergei Bobrovsky or Daniil Tarasov in net, Florida should be able to withstand the volume while capitalizing on their own chances.
Defensively, Florida’s ability to suppress shots — ranking 6th in the NHL at 25.7 allowed per game — is a major factor in covering the puck line. Calgary has been one of the most penalized teams in the league, and that lack of discipline plays right into Florida’s strengths. The Flames’ offense sits at just 2.4 goals per game (31st), and asking them to keep pace with Florida’s depth is a tall order. If the Panthers can dictate tempo early and force Calgary to chase, the -1.5 looks like a strong position with the matchup leaning heavily toward Florida’s balance and efficiency.
Flames vs Panthers Over/Under Pick
- Under 5.5 (4 Units)
The Under 5.5 looks appealing because both Calgary and Florida have shown tendencies toward tighter, lower-scoring games. The Flames average just 2.4 goals per game and own the league’s worst power play at 13.4%, while the Panthers, despite more offensive punch, are also allowing only 25.7 shots per game thanks to strong defensive structure. Calgary’s penalty issues could give Florida chances, but Bobrovsky and Wolf are both capable of keeping things contained. With Calgary struggling to finish and Florida’s defense limiting volume, this matchup sets up well for a game that stays under the total.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
