Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction for Tuesday June 9 2026
Use Code SSWC The Carolina Hurricanes visit the Vegas Golden Knights for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The game is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage on ABC. Vegas leads the series 2-1. Carolina is listed at -115 on the moneyline, while Vegas is -105. The total is set at 5.5, with the over priced at -135 and the under at +114. Carolina is +215 on the -1.5 puck line, while Vegas is -265 at +1.5. Get in on all the NHL action for the rest of this season and future seasons by checking out our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
Vegas recently won over Carolina 5-4 in double overtime in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead. The game was scoreless after the first period before Vegas took control with four goals in the second. Carolina answered with a four-goal third period to force overtime, but Vegas found the winner in the second overtime to claim the game at home.
For Carolina, Taylor Hall, Jordan Martinook, Jordan Staal, and Andrei Svechnikov each scored a goal. Sebastian Aho had two assists, while Seth Jarvis, Eric Robinson, Jordan Staal, Logan Stankoven, and Jaccob Slavin each added one assist. Jordan Staal was strong on faceoffs, winning 18 of 27 draws, while Mark Jankowski won 15 of 23. In net, Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 19 shots after entering the game, while Frederik Andersen stopped 12 of 16 shots.
For Vegas, Mitch Marner led the way with three goals and one assist on 10 shots. Tomas Hertl had one goal and one assist, while Shea Theodore also had one goal and one assist. Brayden McNabb contributed two assists, and Jack Eichel, Brett Howden, and William Karlsson each added one assist. Carter Hart played the full game in net and stopped 29 of 33 shots.
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Carolina Looks to Even the Series on the Road
Carolina enters Game 4 with a 53-22-7 record and a 24-12-5 away record. The Hurricanes have gone 3-2 across their last five games, recently winning over Vegas, Montreal, and Montreal again, while recently losing to Vegas twice. Their most recent playoff game was the 5-4 double-overtime loss in Game 3.
The Hurricanes average 3.55 goals per game while allowing 2.88 goals against. Carolina averages 32.2 shots per game and allows 23.9 shots against. The Hurricanes have 640 penalty minutes, 60 power-play goals, a 24.9% power-play percentage, 45 power-play goals against, an 80.6% penalty-kill percentage, and 12 shorthanded goals.
Carolina’s biggest strength is shot control. The Hurricanes average more shots per game than Vegas and allow fewer shots against. That combination gives Carolina a strong statistical foundation, especially when paired with its higher goals-per-game average.
Vegas Tries to Protect Its Series Lead at Home
Vegas enters the matchup with a 39-26-17 record and a 20-12-9 home record. The Golden Knights have gone 4-1 over their last five games, recently winning over Carolina twice and Colorado twice, while recently losing to Carolina in overtime. Their latest playoff result was the 5-4 double-overtime win in Game 3.
The Golden Knights average 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against. Vegas averages 29.0 shots per game and allows 24.4 shots against. The Golden Knights have 609 penalty minutes, 58 power-play goals, a 24.6% power-play percentage, 38 power-play goals against, an 81.4% penalty-kill percentage, and six shorthanded goals.
Vegas’ key strength is special-teams balance. The Golden Knights have a slightly better penalty-kill percentage than Carolina and have allowed fewer power-play goals against. With the series lead and home ice for Game 4, that defensive special-teams edge matters.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction
Side Pick
- Pick: Carolina Hurricanes Moneyline
Carolina is coming off a difficult double-overtime loss, but the Hurricanes still hold several statistical advantages. They average more goals per game, more shots per game, allow fewer shots against, and have the stronger overall record. Vegas has the series lead and home ice, but Carolina’s team profile is strong enough to back a response in Game 4.
Total Pick
- Pick: Over 5.5
The lean is toward the over. The first three games listed in this series finished with totals of nine, seven, and nine goals. Carolina averages 3.55 goals per game, while Vegas averages 3.22. With both teams recently producing high-scoring playoff results against each other, the over 5.5 is the preferred total pick.
Final Score Prediction: Carolina Hurricanes 4 – Vegas Golden Knights 3
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