Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 12 2026

Colorado heads to Ottawa on Thursday night for a 7 PM ET game at Canadian Tire Centre. The Avalanche just scored six goals in Toronto, while Ottawa lost 3-2 in overtime to Washington. Colorado has one of the best offenses in hockey, but the road record hasn’t been particularly good. Ottawa has been tough at home, and that’s what makes this matchup interesting. Verified U.S. betting odds weren’t available when this preview was prepared. I lean Ottawa, although Colorado’s offense makes me a little nervous. The heat on the ice is warming up and you should make sure you are ready for all the action with our free NHL picks.

Colorado Has Been Scoring Plenty of Goals

Colorado is 11-6-2 after beating Toronto 6-3 on Tuesday. The Avalanche have won two straight and five of their last seven. They’ve been scoring in bunches, and Tuesday was another example. Colorado led 3-1, watched Toronto tie it, then scored three unanswered goals to finish the game. That’s the kind of offensive ability that makes the Avalanche dangerous. They don’t need to play a perfect game to win.

The Avalanche are averaging around four goals per game, one of the highest marks in the league, while allowing about 3.1. That’s a pretty good scoring difference. Colorado has been generating plenty of chances, and it can score quickly when opponents make mistakes. Ottawa has been allowing around three goals a night, so the Avalanche should have opportunities. The problem is Colorado’s road record. The Avalanche have won only four of nine away from home, and Ottawa isn’t an easy place to play.

Josh Manson has been listed unavailable, which affects Colorado’s defensive depth. The Avalanche need their remaining defensemen to avoid giving Ottawa too many chances around the net. Colorado has enough offense to cover up some mistakes, but it can’t spend the entire night trading goals. Against a team that’s been good at home, the Avalanche need to be more disciplined defensively than they were against Toronto.

Ottawa Has Been Tough at Home

Ottawa is 11-6-2 after losing 3-2 in overtime to Washington on Tuesday. The Senators have gone 5-4-1 over their last ten games, and they’re 6-2 at home. That’s a pretty solid home record. Ottawa hasn’t been as explosive offensively as Colorado, but the Senators have been doing enough to win games. They also have the advantage of playing in their own building against a team that’s been inconsistent on the road.

The Senators are averaging about 3.1 goals per game and allowing three. That’s a pretty even scoring difference, and it explains why Ottawa has been involved in plenty of close games. The Senators need to do a better job limiting Colorado’s chances because the Avalanche can score in a hurry. Ottawa also needs to take advantage of its own offensive opportunities. Colorado has been allowing more than three goals a night, so there should be chances to score.

Ottawa has some important injuries, including absences involving Linus Ullmark, William Eklund and Andre Burakovsky. Those losses affect the goaltending and forward depth. The Senators need a strong performance from whoever starts in goal because Colorado is going to generate shots. Ottawa also needs to be more disciplined defensively. Give the Avalanche too many power-play opportunities, and this could get away from the Senators quickly.

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Ottawa Senators

I’m taking Ottawa. Colorado has the better offense, and the Avalanche just scored six against Toronto. That’s a pretty good argument for backing them. But Ottawa has been tough at home, and Colorado hasn’t been nearly as dependable on the road. The Senators also have enough offense to take advantage of Colorado’s defensive mistakes. I think this turns into a close game, and I’ll take the home team to find a way to win.

Total Pick: Over — Pending Verified Line

I lean over. Colorado has been scoring around four goals a night and allowing more than three. Ottawa has been averaging about three at both ends. That’s a pretty inviting combination for an over. The concern is Ottawa slowing things down and turning this into a tight defensive game. But Colorado’s offense has been too dangerous to ignore, and the Avalanche have been giving opponents enough chances to score. Something around 4-3 Ottawa wouldn’t surprise me. I’d need the verified total before making the over an official wager.

Final Picks: Ottawa Senators Moneyline | Over (pending verified total)

Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting goaltenders may change before puck drop.