Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction for Tuesday November 10 2026

Colorado heads to Toronto on Tuesday night for a 7 PM ET game against the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. The Avalanche have been scoring four goals a night, which is a pretty good way to win hockey games. Toronto has been giving up too many chances, and the Maple Leafs haven’t been particularly good on home ice. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. I’m leaning Colorado. The Avalanche haven’t been great on the road, but I like their chances of getting enough offense against this Toronto defense. Get ready for all the action with our free NHL picks.

Colorado Has Plenty of Firepower

Colorado is 10-6-2 after beating Detroit 4-0 in its last game. The Avalanche have been good at home, but the road has been a different story. They’re just 3-5 away from Denver. That’s something I’d be concerned about if I were backing Colorado. The Avalanche have plenty of talent, but they haven’t always played the same disciplined game on the road that they do at Ball Arena.

Colorado is averaging four goals per game, third in the league, and allowing about 3.1. The Avalanche are also getting more than 30 shots on goal per game. That’s a lot of pressure to put on opposing goaltenders. Toronto has been allowing close to 30 shots a night, so Colorado should have opportunities. The problem is that the Avalanche have been giving up their share of goals, too. They can make a game unnecessarily interesting even when they’re controlling most of the play.

Josh Manson is unavailable, which takes some depth away from the defense. Colorado needs to be careful with its puck management, particularly when Toronto starts pushing the pace. The Avalanche don’t need to play a perfect defensive game, but they can’t keep handing the Maple Leafs odd-man rushes. If Colorado can spend most of the night in Toronto’s zone, I think the offense takes care of the rest.

Toronto Has Been Giving Up Too Much

Toronto is 8-9-2 after losing to Montreal on Sunday. The Maple Leafs have been struggling to string wins together, and their home record isn’t helping. They’re 4-6-1 at Scotiabank Arena. That’s not what you want from a team that’s supposed to make life difficult for visiting opponents. Colorado won’t be intimidated by the building, either.

The Maple Leafs have been scoring around 3.4 goals a game and allowing 3.3. Those numbers aren’t terrible, but they’re not good enough when you’re playing a team that averages four goals. Toronto has been getting decent production on the power play, which could be important. Colorado has been allowing its share of power-play goals. The Maple Leafs need to make those opportunities count because they may not get many stretches where they’re controlling the game at even strength.

Morgan Rielly has been dealing with an injury, while Kirill Marchenko and several other depth players have appeared on the unavailable list. Toronto needs a solid night from its defense, and the goaltending has to be better than average. Colorado is going to generate shots. That’s almost a given. The Maple Leafs need to keep those chances to the outside and avoid letting the Avalanche get comfortable around the net.

Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Colorado Avalanche

I’m taking Colorado. The Avalanche have been scoring four goals a game, and Toronto has been giving up more than three. That’s a matchup I like. Colorado’s road record is the part that bothers me. Three wins in eight road games isn’t exactly impressive. But Toronto has been struggling at home, too, and the Maple Leafs have had trouble keeping opponents from getting good looks. I think Colorado creates enough chances to win this one.

Total Pick: Over — Pending Verified Line

I lean over. Colorado averages four goals, Toronto scores 3.4, and neither defense has been completely trustworthy. That doesn’t mean we’re guaranteed a shootout, especially after Colorado just shut out Detroit. But I think both teams will get their opportunities. Toronto’s power play could be a factor, and Colorado has enough offense to score three or four even when it isn’t playing its best. I’d want to see the posted total before betting, but this matchup looks more like a 4-3 game than a 2-1 grinder.

Final Picks: Colorado Avalanche Moneyline | Over (pending verified total)

Disclaimer: Completed November 9, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting goaltenders may change before puck drop.