Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Prediction - November 25, 2025
Use Code SSWC National Hockey League action on Tuesday evening, and we have a Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers prediction ready to rock and roll. The Stars enter this game off a 3-2 shootout loss to Calgary on the road to fall to 13-9 on the year. Edmonton is 10-14 on the year, but they are off a 6-3 road win over Florida. These teams met on November 4th, and Dallas won that game at home by a score of 4-3 in a shootout. Read on to see our Stars vs Oilers prediction.
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Stars Get Burned By The Flames
Dallas sits at 13-5-4 after a tough 3-2 shootout loss to Calgary on November 22. Jason Robertson extended his goal streak to six games with a tally in the third period, and Roope Hintz added another to force overtime. Casey DeSmith was strong in net with 31 saves, but the Flames ultimately prevailed when Nazem Kadri scored the deciding shootout goal. Despite the setback, Dallas picked up a point and remains near the top of the Central Division standings.
The Stars continue to rely on Robertson and Mikko Rantanen, who both lead the team with 28 points. Wyatt Johnston has chipped in 11 goals and 21 points, while Hintz adds balance with 17 points and strong faceoff numbers. Miro Heiskanen has been a workhorse on the blue line, logging nearly 26 minutes per game and contributing 19 points. Dallas boasts one of the league’s most dangerous power plays at 29.3%, which has been a difference-maker in close contests.
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Defensively, Dallas has been steady, allowing just 2.7 goals per game to rank seventh in the NHL. Oettinger has nine wins with a 2.72 GAA, while DeSmith has provided reliable backup duty. The penalty kill sits at 75.7%, an area that could be tested against Edmonton’s potent power play. Still, the Stars’ ability to control possession, win faceoffs at 53%, and generate timely scoring makes them a tough matchup for any opponent.
Oilers End Three-Game Slide With Win Over Panthers
Edmonton enters at 10-9-5, fresh off a 6-3 win over Florida on November 22. Jack Roslovic scored twice, Mattias Ekholm added a goal and two assists, and Evan Bouchard chipped in three helpers. Stuart Skinner made 35 saves to secure the victory, helping the Oilers finish their seven-game road trip with a 3-3-1 mark. The win provided a boost as Edmonton returns home to face Dallas.
Connor McDavid leads the way with 33 points in 24 games, while Leon Draisaitl has added 28 points and seven power-play goals. Roslovic has been a pleasant surprise with nine goals, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins contributes 16 points. Bouchard has been productive from the blue line with 20 points, and Ekholm provides stability defensively while chipping in offensively. Edmonton’s power play remains lethal at 29.8%, ranking third in the NHL, and their faceoff numbers are strong at 53.2%.
Defensively, the Oilers have struggled, allowing 3.6 goals per game, which ranks 28th overall. Skinner has been inconsistent with a 3.00 GAA, while Calvin Pickard has struggled in limited action. The penalty kill has been solid at 82.8%, but lapses in five-on-five coverage have cost them games. Against Dallas, Edmonton will need McDavid and Draisaitl to drive offense while tightening up defensively. If they can limit turnovers and avoid extended defensive zone time, the Oilers have the firepower to keep pace with the Stars.
Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Pick
Stars vs Oilers Moneyline Pick
- Dallas +115 (4 Units)
Dallas +115 feels like a sharp play given how consistent the Stars have been at both ends of the ice. They’re allowing just 2.7 goals per game, ranking seventh in the league, and Jake Oettinger has been steady with a 2.72 GAA and nine wins. Offensively, Jason Robertson and Mikko Rantanen have both piled up 28 points, while Wyatt Johnston continues to emerge with 11 goals and 21 points. Add in a power play clicking at nearly 30%, and Dallas has the kind of balance that travels well, even against Edmonton’s dangerous attack.
The Oilers, meanwhile, remain heavily reliant on Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to drive their offense, but their defensive issues are glaring. Edmonton is giving up 3.6 goals per game, ranking near the bottom of the league, and Stuart Skinner has been inconsistent in net. While their power play is elite at 29.8%, Dallas has the depth and structure to limit damage at even strength. With the Stars’ ability to win faceoffs (53%) and control tempo, grabbing them at plus money feels like value in a matchup where their defensive edge could be the difference.
Stars vs Oilers Over/Under Pick
- Over 6 (5 Units)
The Over 6 looks like a strong angle because both Dallas and Edmonton bring high-end offensive firepower and special teams that can tilt the scoreboard. The Stars average 3.2 goals per game with Jason Robertson, Mikko Rantanen, and Wyatt Johnston all producing at a point‑per‑game pace, while their power play ranks second in the league at 29.3%. Edmonton counters with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl combining for over 60 points, plus a power play clicking at 29.8%, third-best in the NHL. With the Oilers allowing 3.6 goals per game and Dallas capable of exploiting defensive lapses, this matchup has all the makings of a fast-paced, high-scoring affair that clears the six-goal mark.
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