Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction and Picks - December 11, 2025
Central Division NHL action on Thursday evening, and we have a Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction ready to roll for you. Dallas enters this game off a 4-3 road win over Winnipeg to move to 21-10 on the year. Minnesota comes in at 16-14 on the year, and they are off a 4-1 road win over Seattle. These teams met in October, and Dallas won that game at home by a score of 5-2. Read on to see our Stars vs Wild prediction.
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Dallas Grabs Big Road Win Over Jets
Dallas’ most recent game was a 4–3 win over Winnipeg on December 9, where Jason Robertson scored his team-leading 19th goal and Mikko Rantanen dished out three assists to extend his point streak. Esa Lindell, Roope Hintz, and Alexander Petrovic also found the back of the net, while Casey DeSmith made 30 saves in relief of Jake Oettinger. The Stars jumped out to a 3–0 lead early in the second period before Winnipeg clawed back, but Robertson’s power-play strike in the third proved decisive.
Offensively, Dallas has been one of the most efficient teams in the league, averaging 3.4 goals per game (4th) despite ranking only 26th in shots (25.9 per game). That efficiency is fueled by a lethal power play, converting at 31.6% (3rd), with Robertson, Rantanen, and Wyatt Johnston all thriving in man-advantage situations. Their ability to win draws (52.4% faceoff rate, 7th) ensures they start with possession, and veterans like Jamie Benn and Matt Duchene provide secondary scoring depth. Even when opponents push back, Dallas has consistently found timely goals to stay ahead.
Defensively, the Stars are just as sharp, allowing 2.5 goals per game (4th) and killing penalties at 82.1% (10th). They’ve not allowed a power-play goal in their last nine games, a streak that has helped them close out tight contests. Oettinger, slated to start, has been steady with a 2.49 GAA and .909 save percentage, and his track record against Minnesota has been strong. With their balance of elite special teams and structured defense, Dallas enters this matchup confident in extending their run.
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Minnesota Tops Seattle On The Road
Minnesota’s most recent game was a 4–1 win over Seattle on December 8, where Joel Eriksson Ek had a goal and two assists, and Marcus Johansson scored the go-ahead tally in the third period. Kirill Kaprizov added an empty-netter for his 18th of the season, and Vladimir Tarasenko sealed it moments later. Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 shots, helping the Wild snap a two-game skid and finish their road trip at 2–2.
Offensively, Minnesota has been streaky, averaging 2.7 goals per game (26th) despite ranking 16th in shots (27.9 per game). Kaprizov remains the centerpiece with 33 points, while Matt Boldy has chipped in 32 points and leads the team in assists. Their power play has been effective at 22.1% (11th), and Johansson’s recent surge has added depth scoring. Still, inconsistency has plagued them, as they’ve struggled to sustain pressure against stronger defensive teams.
Defensively, the Wild have been solid, allowing 2.7 goals per game (7th), but they give up volume at 30.1 shots per game (27th). Jesper Wallstedt, who will start, has been outstanding with a 1.95 GAA and .936 save percentage, already earning four shutouts this season. Discipline has been an issue, with 289 penalty minutes (8th most), and against Dallas’ top-ranked power play, staying out of the box will be critical. If Wallstedt can hold firm and Kaprizov continues to drive the offense, Minnesota has the tools to make this a tight divisional battle.
Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Pick
Stars vs Wild Moneyline Pick
- Dallas -142 (5 Units)
Dallas looks like the right side here, especially with the way they’ve been rolling. Their most recent outing was a 4–3 win over Winnipeg on December 9, where Jason Robertson scored his 19th goal of the season and Mikko Rantanen picked up three assists. The Stars jumped out to a 3–0 lead before the Jets clawed back, but Robertson’s third‑period power‑play strike proved to be the difference. Dallas has been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the league, averaging 3.4 goals per game (4th) despite ranking just 26th in shots (25.9 per game). That efficiency comes from a lethal power play at 31.6% (3rd), and with Jake Oettinger slated to start, they’ll have their top goaltender back in net to anchor things.
Minnesota, meanwhile, is coming off a 4–1 win over Seattle on December 8, but their offense has been inconsistent all season, averaging only 2.7 goals per game (26th). Jesper Wallstedt has been excellent in net with a 1.95 GAA and .936 save percentage, but the Wild give up too many shots (30.1 per game, 27th) and take too many penalties (289 minutes, 8th most). Against Dallas’ elite special teams, that’s a dangerous combination. The Stars’ balance of scoring depth, strong defensive structure (2.5 goals allowed per game, 4th), and reliable goaltending makes them the more trustworthy side here, and laying into their momentum feels like the sharper play.
Stars vs Wild Over/Under Pick
- Under 6 (4 Units)
The Under 6 looks appealing in Stars–Wild given how both teams are built defensively and the goaltending matchup. Dallas’ most recent game was a 4–3 win over Winnipeg on December 9, and while their offense has been efficient, they still average just 25.9 shots per game (26th), relying heavily on special teams to generate scoring. Minnesota, meanwhile, is coming off a 4–1 win over Seattle on December 8, and their offense has been inconsistent all season at 2.7 goals per game (26th). With Jake Oettinger slated to start for Dallas and Jesper Wallstedt in net for Minnesota — both posting strong numbers this year — the expectation is a tighter, lower‑scoring divisional battle. Add in the Stars’ defense allowing only 2.5 goals per game (4th) and the Wild’s structure at 2.7 goals against (7th), and the Under 6 lines up as the sharper play.
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