Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction and Picks - December 9, 2025
Western Conference NHL action on Tuesday evening, and we have a Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction ready to roll for you. The Dallas Stars enter this game at 20-10 on the year, and they are off a 3-2 home shootout win over the Penguins. Winnipeg is off a 6-2 loss to the Oilers on the road and are now at 14-14 on the year. These teams met right here in Winnipeg back in October, and the Stars won that game 5-4. Read on to see our Stars vs Jets prediction.
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Stars Win Tough Battle With The Pens
Dallas’ most recent game was a 3–2 shootout win over the Pittsburgh Penguins on December 7, where Miro Heiskanen tied the game late in regulation and Mikko Rantanen scored the lone shootout goal. Jake Oettinger made 27 saves, and the Stars extended their point streak to 10 games (8‑0‑2). It was another example of Dallas finding ways to win even when not at their sharpest, a hallmark of their season so far.
Offensively, Dallas averages 3.4 goals per game (4th in NHL) and owns one of the league’s most dangerous power plays at 31.9% (3rd). Jason Robertson has been a steady force with 35 points, while Wyatt Johnston continues to emerge as a reliable scorer. Rantanen has added 33 points, and Jamie Benn’s return from injury has given them another veteran presence. Their shot volume sits at 26.0 per game, not elite, but their efficiency on the man advantage makes up for it. Faceoffs are a strength at 52.5%, helping them control possession in key moments.
Defensively, Dallas has been excellent, allowing just 2.5 goals per game (3rd) and ranking top‑10 in penalty kill at 81.7%. Oettinger has carried the load with 11 wins, while Casey DeSmith has been sharp in relief. The Stars’ blue line, anchored by Heiskanen and Esa Lindell, has been steady, and their ability to limit high‑danger chances has kept them among the league’s elite. Heading into Winnipeg, Dallas’ balance of scoring depth and defensive structure makes them one of the toughest teams to beat.
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Jets Get Pounded By The Oilers
Winnipeg’s most recent game was a 6–2 loss to the Edmonton Oilers on December 6, where Leon Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard each had two points and the Oilers scored four times in the first period. Gabriel Vilardi and Cole Koepke scored for the Jets, but Eric Comrie was pulled after allowing four goals on 16 shots. It was a rough outing after their 4–1 win over Buffalo on December 5, and it dropped Winnipeg to 14–13–1.
Offensively, Winnipeg averages 3.0 goals per game (16th) and shoots 26.4 per game, ranking 25th. Kyle Connor leads the way with 30 points, while Vilardi has chipped in 25. Mark Scheifele remains the team’s top playmaker, and their power play sits at 21.5% (12th), giving them a reliable weapon. Faceoffs are a strength at 52.3%, helping them sustain possession, but their scoring depth has been inconsistent, especially against stronger defenses.
Defensively, Winnipeg allows 2.9 goals per game (17th) and gives up 29.5 shots per game (24th). Their penalty kill has been solid at 82.2% (9th), but goaltending has been uneven. Connor Hellebuyck has carried the load with a 2.51 GAA, while Comrie has struggled. The Jets’ blue line, led by Josh Morrissey, has talent but has been prone to lapses. Against Dallas, Winnipeg will need to stay disciplined and avoid early breakdowns, as the Stars’ power play can punish mistakes quickly.
Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets Pick
Stars vs Jets Moneyline Pick
- Dallas -137 (5 Units)
Dallas looks like the right side here, especially given how they’ve been rolling. The Stars are coming off a 3–2 shootout win over Pittsburgh on December 7, where Miro Heiskanen tied the game late and Mikko Rantanen delivered the winner. That victory extended their point streak to 10 games (8‑0‑2), and it’s been built on balance — a top‑five offense averaging 3.4 goals per game paired with a defense that allows just 2.5 goals per game, third‑best in the league. Their power play is lethal at 31.9%, and with Jason Robertson, Wyatt Johnston, and Rantanen all producing, Dallas has the kind of depth that can punish mistakes quickly.
Winnipeg, meanwhile, has been inconsistent, and their most recent outing was a 6–2 loss to Edmonton on December 6, where they gave up four goals in the first period and had to pull Eric Comrie. The Jets average 3.0 goals per game, but their defense has been shaky, allowing 2.9 goals per game and ranking 24th in shots against at 29.5 per game. Their penalty kill is solid at 82.2%, but Dallas’ elite special teams present a tough matchup. With the Stars riding momentum, playing disciplined hockey, and boasting both scoring depth and defensive structure, Dallas has the clear edge in this spot.
Stars vs Jets Over/Under Pick
- Under 6 (4 Units)
The Under 6 looks appealing in Stars–Jets given how both teams are built and how they’ve played recently. Dallas is coming off a 3–2 shootout win over Pittsburgh on December 7, extending their point streak to 10 games, and they’ve leaned on a defense that allows just 2.5 goals per game (3rd in NHL) while keeping opponents to 27.6 shots per game. Winnipeg, meanwhile, was beaten 6–2 by Edmonton on December 6, but overall they average only 3.0 goals per game and have been inconsistent offensively. Their penalty kill is strong at 82.2%, and Connor Hellebuyck has the ability to steady things in net. With Dallas’ structure and Winnipeg’s tendency to play lower‑event hockey outside of lapses, this matchup sets up well for a tighter contest that stays under the 6‑goal total.
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