Detroit Red Wings vs Minnesota Wild Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday January 22 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/22/2026, 09:21 AM ET
Red Wings vs Wild prediction
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Red Wings vs Wild picks take center stage late Thursday night, and this matchup checks a lot of boxes for bettors scanning the NHL picks board. Minnesota is priced as a solid home favorite, but Detroit’s underlying profile and current health make this a tighter game than the odds suggest.

TLDR - Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Red Wings +1.5
  • Total: Under 6.5
  • Projected Final Score: Wild 3, Red Wings 2

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Puck Line Total
Detroit +130 +1.5 (-192) Over 6.5 (+110)
Minnesota -155 -1.5 (+160) Under 6.5 (-130)

Line Movement - Puck Line

Date Time Detroit Minnesota
01/22 08:19 AM +1.5 (-192) -1.5 (+160)
01/21 10:18 PM +1.5 (-190) -1.5 (+158)
01/21 10:52 AM +1.5 (-188) -1.5 (+155)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/22 08:19 AM 6.5 (+108) 6.5 (-132)
01/21 10:18 PM 6.5 (+112) 6.5 (-138)
01/21 10:16 PM 5.5 (-138) 5.5 (+112)

Detroit vs Minnesota Game Preview and Analysis

The Detroit Red Wings travel to Saint Paul to face the Minnesota Wild with the market leaning heavily toward home ice, even though Detroit owns the better overall record. The profiles explain why this number is where it is: Minnesota allows fewer goals per game and gets steadier results at home, while Detroit has been comfortable playing tight, low-scoring games on the road.

From a numbers standpoint, the gap between these teams is slim. Detroit averages just over three goals per game and sits just under three goals allowed, while Minnesota scores slightly more but defends at a higher level overall. That balance is a big reason the total is juiced to the under and why a one-goal finish shows up as the most common outcome.

Goaltending also points toward a controlled game. Detroit can lean on John Gibson or Cam Talbot, while Minnesota counters with Filip Gustavsson and Jesper Wallstedt. All four goalies profile as capable of stealing stretches, which matters when neither team is built to run away from opponents consistently.

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The biggest swing factor is availability. Minnesota is missing several core pieces that shape how they play, especially in tight games. Detroit comes in clean on the injury report, which quietly matters in a matchup expected to be decided by small margins rather than volume offense.

  • Detroit averages 3.08 goals per game and allows 2.98.
  • Minnesota averages 3.16 goals per game with a 2.82 goals-against average.
  • The under is heavily juiced due to both teams carrying multiple above-average goaltending options.
  • Detroit has won its last two games in overtime, showing comfort in close finishes.
  • Minnesota has alternated wins and losses recently, pointing to volatility rather than dominance.

DET and MIN Key Injuries and Notes

  • Minnesota: Matt Boldy (IR), Joel Eriksson Ek (IR), Jonas Brodin (IR), Zach Bogosian (IR), Marcus Johansson (day-to-day).
  • Detroit: No injuries listed.

Final Score Prediction

Minnesota Wild 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

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ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Red Wings +1.5
  • Over Under: Under 6.5
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