Edmonton Oilers vs. Ottawa Senators Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, October 21, 2025

By: Jason Green Published 10/21/2025, 03:27 AM ET
Edmonton Oilers vs. Ottawa Senators prediction
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In a non-conference matchup north of the border on Tuesday night at the Canadian Tire Centre the Ottawa Senators (2-4) host the Edmonton Oilers (2-3-1). Both of these teams only have two wins and while the Senators are coming off a loss the Oilers have dropped their last three games. All of the full score info for this game and other free NHL picks are here in this Edmonton Oilers vs. Ottawa Senators prediction.

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Oilers Attack not the Same, So Far

Last season, the Oilers ranked a respectable 11th in the league in goals per game but so far this season they rank near the bottom of the pack only averaging 2.60 goals per game. They lost their third game in a row in their last one in a 4-2 road loss to the Detroit Red Wings where they only gave up 24 shots but only took 18 shots. Leon Draisaitl and Noah Philp lit the lamp in the losing effort, Brett Kulak had two assists, and Stuart Skinner (1-2-1 1.97 GAA) gave up three goals. Skinner has given up three goals in three of his four starts and if he is not in between the pipes to face the Senators Calvin Pickard (1-1-0 2.54 GAA) will and he gave up four goals in his last start.

  • Draisaitl led the league in goals last season, has four in six games this season and has one in two of the last three games.
  • Connor McDavid leads the team with seven points (0 goals 7 assists) and has failed t light the lamp yet after 26 goals last season.
  • While the Edmonton offense has not clicked, they do rank ninth in the league giving up an average of 2.60 goals per game.
  • On the season the Oilers are 1-3-0 on the road.
  • Last season, the Oilers beat the Senators in both matchups.

Defensive Issues for Senators

The Senators have had major defensive issues on the young season ranking tied for last place in the league giving up five goals per game. In their last game they hit their season average in a 5-4 loss to the New York Islanders where they had a 4-3 lead after the third period. Four players lit the lamp in the loss, Drake Batherson and Thomas Chabot each had two assists, and Linus Ullmark (2-3-0 3.99 GAA) gave up five goals on only 23 shots. Ullmark has started five of the six games and the one game backup Leevi Merilainen got a start he gave up seven goals.

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  • The Senators are averaging 3.17 goals per game and while they have scored four goals in each of the last three games two of them were losses.
  • Shane Pinto leads the NHL with seven goals and tallied in each of the last three games.
  • Dylan Cozens is the only other player with more than two goals with three and he has scored in each of the last two games.
  • Brady Tkachuk (0 goals 3 assists) led the club last season with 29 goals and has only played in three games this season and is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a thumb injury.
  • On the season Ottawa is 1-2 at home.

Oilers vs. Senators Pick

Money Line pick for Oilers vs. Senators

  • Oilers (4 units)

The Oilers are mired in a three-game losing streak and the Senators have lost four of their last five games. Ottawa has been scoring as of late but their defense has been the main issue, as they rank tied for last in the league giving up an average of five goals per game and have given up 16 goals in their last three games. Edmonton has had issues scoring the puck so far on the season but they will get their attack going in this game facing a struggling Senators’ defense. Regarding the Edmonton Oilers vs. Ottawa Senators prediction the Senators will get some goals but their defense will give up more, which is why the Oilers are the pick.

Over/Under Pick for Oilers vs. Senators

Over (4 units)

The total has gone Under for the last three games for the Senators and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this non-conference clash. The Senators rank tied for last in the league in goals against per game (5.00) and they have given up a total of 16 goals in their last three games. Even with Draisaitl and McDavid the Oilers have not got it going on the attack but they will be in this game facing a sketchy Ottawa defense. The Senators have been legit on the attack scoring four goals in each of their last three games but they lost two of them. Both teams will score a few goals in this game and in a high-scoring affair the Over is the pick.

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