Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction for Saturday November 14 2026

Edmonton heads to Toronto Saturday night for a 7 PM ET game at Scotiabank Arena. NHL Network will carry the matchup in the United States. The Oilers are a team thath as been able to score almost at will on the year. However, what does not look good for the Maple Leafs is their defense has been leaking more goals than a sinking ship. Be prepared for all the action with our free NHL picks.

Edmonton Is Making Life Miserable for Opposing Defenses

Edmonton is coming in with a 14-3-3 overall record and have picked up three straight games. They’ve been one of the best teams in the Western Conference, and the offense has been carrying a big part of that success. Edmonton has scored at least four goals in 13 of its first 20 games. That is a nice number to see and one that helps to solidify why the Oilers are doing so well on the season so far.

Edmonton leads the NHL as one of the top offensive teams at 4.05 goals per game. To make it even better the defense is showing up as well allowing 2.90. The Oilers are generating 25.5 shots a night and that is what makes the 4 goals per game even more impressive. The Oilers power play is converting 33.3% of its opportunities.  Edmonton’s penalty kill is only 76.9%, which is fairly low, but the Oilers are not a team that has been heavily penalized this year. 

Edmonton has been getting exceptional production from its top offensive units, and that has made the power play especially difficult to stop. The Oilers are not just relying on the first shot to go into the net as the rebounding is playing great for the Oilers as well. The goaltending has been good enough to support the offense, but the one thing that Edmonton does need to work on and avoid is getting in the sin bin as the Oilers are not that great at penalty kill yet.

Toronto Can’t Seem to Get Out of Its Own Way

The Maple Leafs are 8-11-2 overall and have lost five straight games. Thursday’s 5-2 loss to Minnesota was another sign of a team that is unable to get out of the paper bag and onto the ice. Toronto had a 2-1 lead, then watched the Wild score four unanswered goals. The Maple Leafs had already dropped a 6-3 to Colorado earlier in the week. While one of those losses is bad, the fact that the Maple Leafs allowed 11 goals to be scored is another issue altogether. 

Toronto is putting in a respectable 3.29 goals per game. The problem is the defense is not doing their part and are allowing 3.57 goals a game. When it comes to getting the shots the Maple Leafs generate 28.1 shots a night. However, the defense again is a liability allowing 29.3. The Maple Leafs power play has actually been pretty good at 27.1% conversion rate. The penalty kill is operating at 85.5% which is better than the Oilers by almost 10% points.  

On interesting aspect for the Maple Leafs is the fact the younger players are stepping up on the ice. Now, the younger talent is not enough to overcome the shortcomings of the older players, but it is an aspect of the game that deserves some attention and could help see the Maple Leafs becoming a threat in the future. 

Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction

Pick: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline

I’m taking Edmonton. The Oilers are scoring 4.05 goals a game, and Toronto is allowing 3.57. That’s not a combination I’d want to bet against. Edmonton has won three straight, while the Maple Leafs have dropped five in a row. Toronto does have a dangerous power play, and playing at home could help the Leafs get off to a better start. But what happens when Edmonton gets its chances? The Oilers are converting a third of their power plays, and Toronto hasn’t been defending particularly well at even strength either. I think Edmonton has too much offense. Give me the Oilers.

Total Pick: Over 6.5 Goals

I like the over at 6.5. Edmonton averages more than four goals, Toronto scores more than three, and both teams have enough defensive issues to make this interesting. The Oilers’ penalty kill is below 77%, while Toronto has been giving up goals in bunches lately. That’s a pretty good setup for offense. The concern is that 6.5 is already a high number. A strong goaltending performance from either side could make it difficult to get there. But Toronto has allowed 11 goals over its last two games, and Edmonton has been one of the most efficient scoring teams in hockey. I wouldn’t be surprised by a 5-3 type of game.

Final Picks: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline and Over 6.5 Goals