Florida Panthers vs. Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 15, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 11/15/2026, 12:40 AM ET
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The Panthers are heading to the American Airlines Center on Sunday night to face the Dallas Stars at 8 PM Eastern time. The game will be played on NHL Network if you're looking to watch this game. Both of these teams are also coming off of a back-to-back, as Florida is visiting St. Louis and Dallas is playing host to Buffalo. That can make the goaltending situation very interesting, as both teams could be playing their second goalie, and that could lead to some surprise scoring in the game. Get in on all the NHL action with our free NHL picks.

Florida Panthers Have Been Getting Enough Offense

The Panthers are coming into this game sitting on an 11-7-2 record overall and a 6-5-2 road record, which is decent for these teams. Prior to playing on Saturday, the Panthers have played the last two games and have been playing better hockey after an uneven stretch earlier this month. Florida has been able to score quite a few different ways, and its offense is more productive than Dallas so far. However, the Panthers have not been quite dependable defensively compared to what they have in years past.

The offense for the Panthers is putting in 29.5 shots per game and converting 3.25 goals per game. When it comes to the power play, the Panthers are not horrible, as they're converting 23.8% of the power-play chances, and that does give the Panthers a decent way to score. However, the penalty kill for the Panthers is another aspect that has been playing good, as they're killing off 86.3% of all the power plays they face. The defense for the Panthers has only faced 26.1 shots per game. What does not convert well for the Panthers is the fact that they're giving up three goals per game.

The Panthers are still without Aleksander Barkov, Brad Marchand, and Jonah Gadjovich, who definitely affect the forward depth and make it harder to see the Panthers scoring on a consistent basis, as all those names are bigger names for the offense. Still, the Panthers have shown that they do have enough depth to make up the difference in those injuries and remain competitive while waiting for their star players to return to the ice. Now, one big question is the goaltending, as the Panthers do play on Saturday night, and they could be using their second goalie in this game depending on who plays on Saturday.

Dallas Stars Have Been Winning With Defense

Dallas is coming into this game with a 10-6-2 record overall, but at home, the Stars are only 6-5 on the season so far. The Stars have not been as good offensively as the Panthers, but they are a lot better at limiting scoring chances, and the defense has helped the Stars win most of their games that they have picked up wins in this year.

Speaking of the offense, the Dallas Stars are getting 26.5 shots per game, and out of those shots, they're converting at 2.83 goals per game. That is quite an advantage on the defensive side, as the Stars are only allowing 23.3 shots per game, and it has been helping the Stars out.Β When speaking of conversion, the power play is converting at 26.2% for the Stars, and the Stars have managed to kill the opponents' penalties, as they've killed off 88.5% of the opponents' power plays. Defensively overall, the Stars are only giving up 2.61 goals per game, and that definitely is a mark that the Stars are going to want to continue in this game if they're able to keep the Panthers in check.

One aspect that the Stars do have to deal with is the injury bug, as Miro Heiskanen, Lian Bichsel, and Kyle Capobianco are unavailable on the defensive side, and on the offensive side, they're missing Oskar BΓ€ck and Matt Duchene. That's quite a bit of depth missing on each side of the blue line and could make it difficult for the Stars to remain competitive. But still, their goaltending is the strength of this game, and that could help the Stars keep this game close and competitive for the win.

Florida Panthers vs. Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction

Moneyline – Dallas Stars

This is a game that I think the Dallas Stars are gonna end up picking up the win. The Stars have a lot of injuries and are missing a lot of stars, but the Dallas Stars are playing at home. The Panthers are coming in on back-to-back nights, as are the Stars, but still, the Stars aren't having to travel. That will make a big difference in this game, as the Panthers are gonna be fatigued, and they're gonna have issues against the Stars' defense, which has been playing top-notch hockey all season. The one aspect that changes is the lack of puck pressure that the Stars put in play. I do not think that's gonna be enough for the Panthers to overcome the defense of the Dallas Stars.

Over/Under – Under 6.5 Goals

As mentioned, neither one of these teams is playing dominant offense, but strong defense. With that being the case, I do not think that the Panthers are gonna do enough to push this over. In fact, I'm looking at a low-scoring game here, maybe even a 2-1 score or even a 3-1 type score, which is definitely under the 6.5, as both of these teams are gonna step up their defensive efforts and get the win on a back-to-back game.

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