Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction for Thursday, October 23, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Los Angeles Kings travel to Dallas to face the Stars at American Airlines Center on Thursday at 9:00 PM ET, with coverage on ESPN+/Hulu. The Kings enter at 2-3-2 after snapping a four-game losing streak, while the Stars are 3-3-0 after dropping three straight. Net the value: NHL predictions for the Los Angeles Kings at the Dallas Stars with trends that matter.
Kings Look to Build Momentum After OT Win
The Los Angeles Kings arrive with a 2-3-2 record and a 2-1-1 mark on the road. They’re averaging 2.57 goals per game and allowing 3.43. Adrian Kempe leads the offense with nine points on three goals and six assists, while Kevin Fiala leads the team in goals with four. The Kings’ power play has been one of the team’s strengths, converting at 26.3 percent. Defensively, the penalty kill has struggled, sitting at just 70 percent, but they’ve limited opponents to 27.9 shots per game—among the better rates in the league.
Goaltender Darcy Kuemper has a 2.74 goals-against average and .883 save percentage, while Anton Forsberg has allowed nearly four goals per outing in his three starts. Kuemper’s play on the road has been a factor in keeping the Kings competitive despite low offensive totals. Los Angeles has been generating 29.3 shots per game but has been outscored in third periods, where late-game lapses remain an issue.
Los Angeles snapped its skid with a 2-1 overtime win in St. Louis on Tuesday. Adrian Kempe buried a power-play winner 1:50 into overtime, while Alex Laferriere opened the scoring early in the second. Kuemper made 17 saves, and the Kings outshot the Blues 36-18, playing better defense and improved offense. The result ended a four-game losing run, including two overtime losses, and restored some confidence ahead of this trip to Dallas.
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Injuries:
- Anze Kopitar (C) – IR, expected return Oct 28
- Kyle Burroughs (D) – IR, expected return Oct 25
Stars Aiming to Stop Skid After Home Loss
The Dallas Stars enter at 3-3-0, including a 1-2-0 record at home. The Dallas attack has produced 3.17 goals per game, but defensive problems have cost them, allowing 3.83 per contest. Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with seven points, while Wyatt Johnston has scored four goals—two on the power play. Roope Hintz has added five assists, and the Stars’ power play remains one of the best at 29.4 percent. Penalty killing, however, is a major weakness at 65 percent, allowing seven power-play goals through six games.
Jake Oettinger’s performance has been inconsistent, with a 3.18 goals-against average and .896 save percentage. Backup Casey DeSmith struggled in his lone start, allowing five goals on 26 shots. Dallas has been outshot in most of its recent games, averaging just 26.2 shots while surrendering over 30 per night. The Stars need more sustained offensive zone time and better clearing of the puck at the other end.
The Stars’ recent 5-1 home loss to Columbus added to their recent struggles. Tyler Seguin netted Dallas’s lone goal in the second period, tipping in a Colin Blackwell shot. Oettinger stopped 24 shots, but the Stars’ defense struggled to clear Ottinger’s saves and lost puck battles in front of their net. Dallas has dropped three straight after opening the season with three wins, scoring just five total goals during the losing stretch.
Injuries:
- Matt Duchene (C) – Day-to-Day, expected return Oct 23
- Nils Lundkvist (D) – IR, expected return Nov 1
- Oskar Back (C) – IR, expected return Oct 26
- Jamie Benn (LW) – IR-LT, expected return Nov 11
- Kyle McDonald (RW) – IR-NR, expected return Nov 1
Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Pick
Spread Pick for Kings vs. Stars
- Â Los Angeles Kings +1.5 (4 Units)
The Kings’ recent overtime win in St. Louis showed improvement on the power play and penalty kill. With Adrian Kempe leading a power play that’s connecting at over 26 percent, Los Angeles can keep this close against a Dallas defense allowing nearly four goals per game. The Stars’ penalty kill struggles and ongoing injury issues up front tilt the matchup toward a tight, low-scoring result, making the Kings a solid play on the puck line.
Over/Under Pick for Kings vs. Stars
- Â Under 6.5 (4 Units)
Despite both teams’ offensive talent, the current form of both makes one believe few goals will be scored. Los Angeles has scored two or fewer goals in five of seven games, and Dallas has netted only five total across its last three. The Kings have held opponents under 30 shots per game, and Kuemper’s recent bounce-back performance adds to the idea of fewer goals being scored. Unless the Stars rediscover their early-season scoring touch, this matchup will be dictated by both defenses and end under the number.
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