Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Prediction and Picks - October 23, 2025
Use Code SSWC National Hockey League action on Thursday evening, and we have a Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Kings have gotten off to a slow 2-5 start, but they are off a 2-1 OT win on the road over the Blues. The Stars are 3-3 on the year and have lost three in a row after a 5-1 home loss to Columbus. Read on to see our Kings vs Stars prediction.
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Kings Look To Turn Things Around
The Kings enter this game at 2–3–2, coming off a gritty 2–1 road win over St. Louis that snapped a three-game skid. Offensively, Los Angeles has been inconsistent, scoring just 18 goals through seven games, which ranks in the bottom third of the league. Anze Kopitar continues to be the steadying presence down the middle, but he is now on IR, while Kevin Fiala has provided flashes of creativity on the wing. The Kings’ power play has been one of their few bright spots, converting at over 26%, and that efficiency could be critical against a Dallas team that has struggled on the penalty kill.
Defensively, Los Angeles has allowed 24 goals, and that number reflects some of their early-season struggles. Drew Doughty remains the anchor on the back end, but the group has been prone to lapses in coverage, leaving goaltender Darcy Kuemper to face high-danger chances. Kuemper has been serviceable, but his .877 save percentage underscores the pressure he’s been under. If the Kings can tighten up in their own zone and limit turnovers, they’ll give themselves a better chance to compete against Dallas’ top-heavy attack.
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Special teams will play a pivotal role. While the power play has been sharp, the penalty kill has been leaky, allowing nine goals on 30 opportunities. That imbalance has cost Los Angeles momentum in close games. Against a Stars team that thrives on puck possession and has multiple scoring threats, the Kings will need to stay disciplined and avoid giving Dallas too many looks with the man advantage.
Dallas Has Lost Three In A Row
Dallas comes in at 3–3, looking to rebound after a disappointing 5–1 home loss to Columbus. The Stars have scored 19 goals through six games, led by Wyatt Johnston’s four tallies and Jason Robertson’s steady playmaking. Robertson, alongside Roope Hintz and veteran Joe Pavelski, continues to drive the top line, and when they’re clicking, Dallas can overwhelm opponents with sustained offensive pressure. The Stars’ shooting percentage sits above 12%, showing they’ve been opportunistic, but consistency has been an issue.
Defensively, Dallas has allowed 23 goals, ranking in the bottom third of the league. Jake Oettinger has been inconsistent in net, posting a .896 save percentage, and the defensive corps has struggled with coverage breakdowns. Miro Heiskanen remains the backbone of the blue line, logging heavy minutes and driving transition play, but the group as a whole has not been as sharp as expected. Against Los Angeles, Dallas will need to clean up its defensive structure to avoid giving the Kings’ power play too many opportunities.
Special teams have been a mixed bag. The Stars’ power play has been excellent, converting nearly 30% of their chances, ranking among the league’s best. However, their penalty kill has been one of the worst in the NHL, sitting near 65%. That contrast has created volatility in their results, with games often swinging on special-teams battles. If Dallas can lean on its power play while shoring up its penalty kill, they’ll have a strong chance to protect home ice and get back above .500.
Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Pick
Kings vs Stars Moneyline Pick
- Dallas -158 (5 Units)
Dallas looks like the stronger side here, especially with the way their top line has been driving play. Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Joe Pavelski have the ability to tilt the ice with sustained offensive pressure, and when they’re clicking, the Stars can overwhelm opponents with both skill and physicality. Playing at home gives them an added edge, and if Jake Oettinger can deliver a steadier performance in net, Dallas has the balance to control tempo and keep Los Angeles chasing the game. Their power play has been among the league’s most efficient, and that could be a decisive factor against a Kings penalty kill that has struggled early.
Another reason to lean toward Dallas is their ability to respond after setbacks. Coming off a lopsided loss, the Stars have the kind of veteran leadership that tends to spark bounce-back efforts, and their depth scoring has shown flashes of breaking through. Los Angeles has been inconsistent offensively, and if Dallas can limit Anze Kopitar’s line while forcing the Kings into defensive-zone pressure, the Stars should be able to dictate pace. With home ice, a potent power play, and a top line capable of carrying the load, Dallas is well-positioned to come away with the win.
Kings vs Stars Over/Under Pick
- Over 5.5 (4 Units)
The Over 5.5 looks appealing here given the offensive profiles of both clubs. Dallas has one of the league’s most dangerous top lines with Robertson, Hintz, and Pavelski capable of piling up goals quickly, while Los Angeles has leaned on a power play that’s been converting at a strong clip to keep them competitive. Both teams have shown defensive lapses early in the season, with goaltenders Oettinger and Kuemper facing high shot volumes and inconsistent coverage in front of them. Add in the volatility of special teams—Dallas thriving with the man advantage but struggling to kill penalties—and this matchup has the ingredients for a game that pushes past the 5.5 total.
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