Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames Prediction and Picks - December 4, 2025
Use Code SSWC Thursday evening National Hockey League action, and we have a Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames prediction ready to rock and roll. Minnesota enters off a 1-0 win in Edmonton to move to 15-12 on the year. The Flames come in off a 5-1 loss to the Predators on the road and they are now 9-19 on the year. These teams met back in November and the Wild won that game at home by a score of 2-0. Read on to see our Wild vs Flames prediction.
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Minnesota Wins Defensive Battle Against The Oilers
Minnesota’s most recent game was a 1–0 win over the Edmonton Oilers on December 2, where Jesper Wallstedt stole the show with a 33‑save shutout, his fourth of the season. Jonas Brodin scored the lone goal midway through the first period, and the Wild extended their point streak to 12 games.
Offensively, Minnesota has been middle of the pack, averaging 2.8 goals per game (25th) despite firing 28.1 shots per game (16th). Their power play has been a weapon at 24.2% (8th), with Kirill Kaprizov and Matthew Boldy driving production. Kaprizov had his scoring streak snapped against Edmonton, but he remains the team’s most dynamic threat, while Marcus Johansson has chipped in with steady secondary scoring. Faceoffs remain a weak spot at 47.7% (22nd), but the Wild’s ability to capitalize on special teams has helped them stay competitive.
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Defensively, Minnesota has been excellent, allowing just 2.7 goals per game (9th), though they give up a high volume of shots (30.5 per game, 28th). Wallstedt has been sensational, earning NHL Rookie of the Month honors with a .938 save percentage and four shutouts in his first 10 starts. The penalty kill sits at 79% (24th), leaving room for improvement, but the team’s overall defensive structure has been strong. Heading into Calgary, the Wild will look to extend their road winning streak by leaning on Wallstedt’s hot goaltending and a power play that has been among the league’s best.
The Flames Get Pounded By The Preds
Calgary’s last game was a 5–1 loss to the Nashville Predators on December 2, where Morgan Frost scored their lone goal on the power play, but the Flames were outshot and outworked throughout. Devin Cooley started in net but was pulled after allowing four goals on 16 shots, with Dustin Wolf finishing the game in relief.
The Flames’ offense has been one of the weakest in the league, averaging just 2.3 goals per game (32nd) despite ranking 10th in shots at 29.2 per game. Their power play has been ineffective at 14% (28th), and they’ve struggled to find consistent scoring outside of Nazem Kadri and Rasmus Andersson. Kadri leads the team with 22 points, but Jonathan Huberdeau and Matthew Coronato have not produced at the level Calgary needs. Faceoffs have been serviceable at 49.3% (19th), but the lack of finishing touch has kept them near the bottom of the Pacific Division.
Defensively, Calgary has been average, allowing 3.0 goals per game (16th) while limiting opponents to 28.5 shots (21st). Their penalty kill has been solid at 82.4% (9th), and they’ve managed three shutouts this season, but discipline remains a glaring issue with 355 penalty minutes (2nd most). Goaltending has been inconsistent, with Wolf and Cooley both struggling to provide stability. Against Minnesota, Calgary will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to generate offense against Wallstedt, but their recent form suggests they’ll have to grind hard just to stay in the game.
Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames Pick
Wild vs Flames Moneyline Pick
- Minnesota -122 (4 Units)
Minnesota looks like the right side here because the Wild are riding momentum after their 1–0 shutout win over Edmonton, where Jesper Wallstedt turned away 33 shots to extend their point streak to 12 games. That kind of goaltending form is hard to ignore, especially with Wallstedt posting a .938 save percentage and already collecting four shutouts in his rookie campaign. Offensively, the Wild aren’t explosive, averaging 2.8 goals per game (25th), but their power play has been sharp at 24.2% (8th), giving them a reliable way to generate scoring chances. With Kirill Kaprizov and Matthew Boldy leading the attack, Minnesota has enough firepower to take advantage of Calgary’s penalty issues.
Calgary, on the other hand, has been one of the league’s weakest offensive teams, averaging just 2.3 goals per game (last in the NHL) despite firing nearly 30 shots a night. Their power play sits at 14% (28th), and they’ve struggled to find consistent scoring outside of Nazem Kadri. Defensively, they allow 3.0 goals per game (16th) and have been undisciplined, racking up 355 penalty minutes (2nd most), which plays right into Minnesota’s strength on the man advantage. With Wallstedt in top form and the Wild’s special teams clicking, Minnesota has the tools to control this matchup and extend their streak with another win.
Wild vs Flames Over/Under Pick
- Under 5.5 (5 Units)
The Under 5.5 makes sense in Minnesota vs Calgary because both teams have struggled to consistently generate offense, while their defensive profiles point toward a tighter game. The Wild average just 2.8 goals per game (25th) and rely heavily on their power play to produce, while Calgary sits dead last in scoring at 2.3 goals per game (32nd) with one of the weakest power plays in the league (14%). Minnesota’s defense has been strong, allowing only 2.7 goals per game (9th), and Jesper Wallstedt’s recent shutout against Edmonton shows how capable he is of keeping games low‑scoring. Calgary’s penalty kill is solid at 82.4% (9th), and despite their overall struggles, they’ve managed three shutouts this season. With both clubs leaning on defense and neither offense showing much finishing punch, the Under 5.5 is well supported by the numbers.
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