Montreal Canadiens vs. Edmonton Oilers Picks and Prediction, Thursday, October 23, 2025

In a non-conference matchup north of the border, the Edmonton Oilers (3-3-1) play host to the Montreal Canadiens (6-2). The Canadiens are off to a great start this season, as they have won two in a row and six of their last seven games, and the Oilers snapped their three-game skid in their last game. Let’s get into this comprehensive Montreal Canadiens vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction!

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The Oilers are a big home favorite in this game, posted at -230 with the Canadiens at +190 and the total sitting at 6.5.

Canadiens Bolting Out of the Gates

The Canadiens have started the season strong, as they have the most points in the Atlantic Division and are tied with three other teams for the most points in the league. They won their second in a row in their last game in a 2-1 road OT win over the Calgary Flames. In the W, Zack Bolduc scored on the power play, Mike Matheson netted the game-winner in OT, and Jakub Dobes (4-0-0 1.64) had another good game in between the pipes, stopping 36 of 37 shots. With the Canadiens playing last night, there is a good chance Sam Montembeault (2-2-0 3.26) gets the nod in goal and after giving up a total of five goals in his first two starts, he has given up four in each of the last two.

On the season, Montreal has had solid balance, averaging 3.57 goals per game and giving up an average of 2.86 goals per game. Nick Suzuki leads the team with 11 points (1 goal 10 assists) and in the last three games, he has a goal and three assists. Cole Caufield is the club leader with five goals, and he has none in the last three games after two games with two goals. Patrik Laine (1 assist) has scored at least 20 goals in three of the past four seasons and is out with an injury. On the season, the Canadiens are 3-1-0 on the road.

 

Better Defense in Oilers Win

After losing three in a row, where they gave up a total of 13 goals, the Oilers played better defense in their last game in a 3-2 OT road win over the Ottawa Senators. Connor McDavid and Isaac Howard scored in regulation and Jake Walman played the hero, lighting the lamp on a power play in overtime. Stuart Skinner (2-2-1 2.17 GAA) gave up two goals on 21 shots and had given up three goals in his previous two starts. If Skinner does not go tonight, the backup Calvin Pickard (1-1-0 2.54 GAA) will and he gave up four goals in his last start after only giving up one in his first one.

On the season, Edmonton is tied for 12th in goals against per game (2.71) but only ranks 27th averaging 2.57 goals per game. McDavid leads the team with eight points (1 goal 7 assists) and he has a goal and four assists in the last five games. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Leon Draisaitl, who led the league in goals last season, are tied for the team lead with four goals and Draisaitl has two goals in the last four games. This season, the Oilers are 1-0-1 at home and last season, they split the two games facing the Canadiens.

 

Canadiens vs. Oilers Pick

Money Line pick for Canadiens vs. Oilers

• Oilers – Puck line -1.5 goals +105 (4 units)

The Canadiens are hot winners of two in a row and six of their last seven games and the Oilers had lost three in a row before winning their last game. Last season, Edmonton lost to the Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup finals and they were led by their offense and stars McDavid and Draisaitl. However, early on this season, the attack has struggled, and McDavid scored his first goal of the season in the last game. Montreal has had a balanced attack this season, but after playing last night, Montembeault may go instead of Jakub Dobes, who ranks third in the league in GAA, and he has given up four goals in each of the last two games. Regarding the Montreal Canadiens vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction, following the golden rule and not taking a team in the second game of a road back-to-back, the Oilers are the pick to win on home ice. They will also win by at least two goals, so take the puck line to get better odds.

Over/Under Pick for Canadiens vs. Oilers

• Under 6.5 goals (4 units)

The total went Under for both of these teams' last game,s and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this one. Last season in their run to the finals, the Oilers were solid on the attack, but they rank near the bottom of the league in goals per game this season. However, they will be decent on the attack since they will likely face Montreal G Montembeault, who has given up four goals in each of his last two starts. Montreal played last night and only scored two goals. They will not get many in this game, as while the Edmonton defense struggled for three games, they played good D in the last one. This game will be close to the total, but with it set pretty high at 6.5 goals, the Under is the pick.