New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Predictions, Thursday, October 16, 2025

By: Anthony Leute Published 10/16/2025, 03:24 AM ET
Rangers versus Maple Leafs Prediction
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The Rangers are traveling to Scotia Bank Arena in Toronto, Ontario for their matchup against the Maple Leafs; keep reading for our Rangers versus Maple Leafs prediction. New York is third in the Metropolitan Division with a record of 2-3-0. Toronto is fourth in the Atlantic Division with a record of 2-2-0. The Maple Leafs had a record of 2-1-0 versus the Rangers in 2024-25. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. EDT. If you’re looking to cross-check the books and put some cash in your pocket, check out our free NHL picks

Rangers Struggling To Produce Goals

The Rangers are coming off another loss on Tuesday versus the Oilers with a final score of 2-0. This is the second loss of their short home stand and would end with a record of 0-2. New York has been unable to find a win at home this season as both of their wins have come from their two road trips thus far. New York now heads on the road for a two-game road trip in hopes of continuing their road success.

The Rangers have struggled at home to start their season as they are 0-3 in front of their fans. However, a worse statistic is that the Rangers have yet to score a goal at home this season, being shut out in all three games at home. New York is averaging five goals per game across their two road games but has been unable to translate this success at home. The New York defense has attempted to keep the games close, but unfortunately, it has not been enough to help their lack of goal scoring.

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We will likely see Igor Shesterkin take the net for the Rangers on Thursday.

Igor Shesterkin:

  • had a 27-29-5 record in 61 games with a goals against average of 2.86 and a save percentage of .905 in 2024-25.
  • is 6-4-2 in 12 games with a goals against average of 2.67 and a save percentage of .914 versus the Maple Leafs in his career.

Injuries:

  • Borgen D Day To Day - Lower-body
  • Trocheck C Out - Upper Body
  • Soucy D Out - Upper Body

Toronto Having Net Issues

The Maple Leafs are hosting the Rangers after their win on Tuesday versus the Predators, with a final score of 7-4. Toronto would now tie their home series 1-1 as they continue a five-game home stand. The Maple Leafs will look to capitalize on their home advantage in the games to come.

Toronto is starting its season off on a bad note when it comes to its presence in net. The Maple Leafs rank 27th in save percentage at .865 and goals allowed per game, allowing an average of 3.75 goals per game. While the offense has looked good for the Maple Leafs, it has not been enough to counter the poor goaltending of the Maple Leafs' netminders. Last season, the Maple Leafs finished fourth in save percentage at .905.

We should see Anthony Stolarz get the start in the net for the Rangers on Thursday.

Anthony Stolarz:

  • has a 1-2-0 record in 3 games with a goals against average of 3.05 and a save percentage of .886 this season.
  • is 3-3-0 in 7 games with a goals against average of 2.41 and a save percentage of .926 against the Rangers in his career.

Injuries:

  • Lorentz C Day To Day - Upper Body
  • Laughton LW Out - Lower-body
  • Rifai D Out - Wrist
  • Woll G Out - Personal

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions

Money Line Pick for Rangers vs. Maple Leafs

  • Rangers Money Line (+130) (4 units)

Igor Shesterkin has a 3-1-2 record in 6 games with a goals against average of 1.96 and a save percentage of .942 against the Maple Leafs on the road in his career. Anthony Stolarz has a record of 0-1-0 in 1 game with a goals against average of 2.05 and a save percentage of .926 for the Maple Leafs versus the Rangers at home in his career. The Rangers have looked great on the road so far this season and because of that, I believe they will bounce back after their recent road games. Toronto has been unable to be reliable in net and they will need to if they want a chance to win as Shesterkin looks reliable in net both on the season and in his career against Toronto.

Over/Under Pick for Rangers versus Maple Leafs

  • Under 5.5 (+114) ( 3 units)Β 

The Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 3-5 in their last eight games against the Rangers at home. The Rangers have an over/under record of 1-4 this season. New York has been either the team that shuts out the opposition or gets shut out. This is the reason why their over/under record to start the season is so favored towards the under. Toronto will likely struggle against Igor Shesterkin in net for the Rangers, which will lead to a one-sided game. The Rangers, along with their struggles on offense, I do not believe will be enough to take us over the total.

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