Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 17th 2026
On Saturday, Ottawa visits Philadelphia at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The game will start at 7:00 pm Eastern Time. Ottawa arrives at 6-2-0, which puts them in first place in the Atlantic Division. Philadelphia is 0-6-3 and in last place in the Metropolitan Division. Ottawa has gone 4-1 in their last five games. In their last game, they defeated the New York Islanders by a score of 2-1. Philadelphia has had a tough go of things at home as well, going 0-2-2. See more of our free NHL picks here.
Ottawa Senators Have Been Strong in Goal
Ottawa was victorious in its last game, winning 2-1 in a shootout. Before that, they lost to St. Louis 7-2. They have averaged 22.6 shots and 2.63 goals per game. The blueline and goalies have allowed 2.50 goals and 26.0 shots per game. The Senators have allowed 2 goals or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games. Ottawa has converted on their power play at a rate of 13.5%. They have stopped their opponent from scoring 80.6% of the time on the power play.
Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 11 points, coming from a team-best five goals and six assists. Shane Pinto is next with six points on one goal and five assists, while Drake Batherson has added three goals. Linus Ullmark has been excellent between the pipes, winning all six of his starts. Ullmark is 6-0-0 with a .949 save percentage and 1.20 goals-against average. Backup Samuel Ersson has struggled, going 0-2-0 with a .829 save percentage and 5.26 GAA.
Injuries: William Eklund, Jake Sanderson, Nikolas Matinpalo and Kurtis MacDermid are out.
Philadelphia Flyers Continue to Struggle Offensively
Philadelphia lost to Detroit 2-1 last time out, following losses to Seattle, Carolina, Boston and Ottawa. The Flyers score an average of just 1.22 goals per game on 20.4 shots, while allowing 3.56 goals per game on 33.7 shots. Philadelphia has scored one goal in four of the past five games. The power play is scoring 7.7% of the time, while the penalty kill is successful 82.9% of the time.
Matvei Michkov leads Philadelphia in goals with three and is tied for the team lead in points with three. Trevor Zegras, Travis Sanheim, Christian Dvorak and Travis Konecny also have three points each. Konecny has a team-best three assists. Goalie Joseph Woll performed well despite a record of 0-3-2. Woll has a solid .916 save percentage and an above-average 2.77 goals-against average. Dan Vladar is 0-3-1 with a .875 SV% and 4.21 GAA.
Injuries: Cam York, Rasmus Ristolainen, Travis Konecny and Nikita Grebenkin are out.
Key To The Game
Ottawa allows 7.7 fewer shots per game than Philadelphia, while the Senators have the stronger goaltending. The Flyers have struggled to score and have yet to win this season. Ottawa also defeated Philadelphia 2-1 in their first meeting.
Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick
- Ottawa Senators
Ottawa has won four of its past five games and beat Philadelphia 2-1 in their first meeting. Ullmark has been dominant in net at 6-0-0 with a .949 save percentage, while the Flyers have scored just 11 goals in nine games. Philadelphia is also allowing 33.7 shots per game and has yet to win at home. Stutzle leads Ottawa in scoring. The Senators have the stronger goaltending and recent results entering Saturday's game.
Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Over/Under Pick
- Under
Philadelphia averages just 1.22 goals per game and has scored one goal in four of the last five outings. Ottawa is allowing only 2.50 goals per game. Ullmark has a 1.20 goals-against average. The Senators beat the Flyers 2-1 the last time the two played head-to-head, and Philadelphia had scored three or more goals just once in the last five games. Those numbers point to another low-scoring matchup on Saturday.