Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks Prediction and Picks - November 22, 2025
Use Code SSWC National Hockey League action on Saturday evening, and we have an Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks prediction ready to rock and roll. The Senators enter this game off a come in off a 3-2 road win over the Ducks to move to 10-10 on the year. San Jose comes in off a 4-3 Shootout home win over the Kings to move to 10-11 on the year. Read on to see our Senators vs Sharks prediction.
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Sens Take Down The Ducks On The Road
Ottawa improved to 10-6-4 after a 3-2 win over Anaheim on November 20, a game decided late when Drake Batherson tipped in the winner with under two minutes to play. Nick Cousins opened the scoring in the first, Shane Pinto added a power-play goal in the second, and Linus Ullmark made 23 saves to secure the victory. It was the opener of a long road trip, and the Senators showed resilience by bouncing back after Anaheim briefly took the lead.
Offensively, Ottawa has been steady, averaging 3.2 goals per game and ranking top‑10 in the NHL. Tim Stützle and Batherson have been catalysts, combining for 38 points, while Shane Pinto has chipped in 10 goals already. Claude Giroux remains a reliable playmaker, winning nearly 69% of his faceoffs, and Dylan Cozens has added balance with seven goals and eight assists. The Senators’ power play has been sharp at 23.8%, giving them a dangerous weapon in tight games. Their ability to win draws — best in the league at 58% — ensures they often control possession.
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Defensively, Ottawa has been more vulnerable, allowing 3.4 goals per game and ranking near the bottom in penalty kill efficiency at 69.1%. Ullmark, who will start again, has a 3.01 GAA and has faced heavy workloads behind a defense that can be inconsistent. Jake Sanderson and Artem Zub provide stability, but lapses have cost them in close contests. Against San Jose, the Senators will need to tighten up in their own zone while leaning on their offensive depth to keep pace with a Sharks team riding momentum.
The Sharks Are Red-Hot
San Jose enters at 10-8-3 after a thrilling 4-3 shootout win over the Los Angeles Kings on November 20, a game where Yaroslav Askarov made 31 saves and stopped all three shootout attempts. Philipp Kurashev scored in regulation and added the lone shootout goal, while Ty Dellandrea and Adam Gaudette also found the net. The Sharks extended their home point streak to seven games (6-0-1), showing how much confidence they’ve built at SAP Center.
Offensively, San Jose averages 3.0 goals per game, with rookie sensation Macklin Celebrini leading the way at 31 points through 21 games. Will Smith has added 20 points, and William Eklund continues to grow into a top‑six role with 13 points. Veterans like Alexander Wennberg and Tyler Toffoli provide secondary scoring, while Collin Graf has chipped in with timely assists. The Sharks’ power play sits at 18.1%, middle of the pack, but their ability to generate offense from young stars has fueled their recent surge.
Defensively, the Sharks allow 3.2 goals per game, but Askarov has been a stabilizing force with a 2.97 GAA and .902 save percentage. Mario Ferraro and Dmitry Orlov log heavy minutes, while Shakir Mukhamadullin has shown flashes of promise on the blue line. The penalty kill has been solid at 79.4%, and their physicality has helped them grind out wins. Riding a hot streak with points in seven straight home games, San Jose will look to keep momentum rolling against Ottawa by leaning on Celebrini’s scoring touch and Askarov’s steady goaltending.
Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks Pick
Senators vs Sharks Moneyline Pick
- Senators (4 Units)
Ottawa looks like the sharper side here, especially with the way their offense has been clicking. The Senators are averaging 3.2 goals per game and boast one of the league’s most efficient power plays at 23.8%, giving them a reliable weapon in tight spots. Tim Stützle and Drake Batherson have combined for nearly 40 points, while Shane Pinto has already hit double‑digit goals. Add in Claude Giroux’s dominance in the faceoff circle — winning close to 69% — and Ottawa consistently controls possession, which is a huge edge against a San Jose team that struggles to generate shots.
The matchup also favors Ottawa because of their ability to dictate pace and lean on depth scoring. San Jose has been riding a hot streak, but they still allow 3.2 goals per game and rank near the bottom in shot suppression. Linus Ullmark, despite a heavier workload, has the experience to steady Ottawa’s defense, and the Senators’ top‑line talent gives them more reliable finishing options. With Ottawa’s combination of elite faceoff numbers, special teams strength, and balanced scoring, backing the Senators feels like the right call in this spot.
Senators vs Sharks Over/Under Pick
- Over 6 (4 Units)
The Over 6 feels like the right angle here because both Ottawa and San Jose bring offensive depth but also defensive vulnerabilities. The Senators average 3.2 goals per game with a top‑10 power play, while the Sharks are scoring 3.0 per game thanks to Macklin Celebrini’s breakout and Will Smith’s steady production. At the same time, Ottawa allows 3.4 goals per contest and San Jose gives up 3.2, meaning both teams are prone to high‑event hockey. With Ullmark and Askarov facing heavy workloads behind defenses that can leak chances, this matchup sets up for plenty of scoring opportunities on both ends, making the Over 6 a strong play.
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