Philadelphia Flyers vs St Louis Blues Prediction and Picks - November 14, 2025
Use Code SSWC Friday evening on the NHL ice, and we have a Philadelphia Flyers vs St Louis Blues prediction ready to rock and roll. The Flyers come on off a 2-1 loss in OT at home against the Oilers to fall to 8-8 on the year. The Blues are off a 3-2 home win over Calgary, which puts them at 6-11 on the season. The Flyers won both meetings last year. Read on to see our Flyers vs Blues prediction.
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Flyers Fall Short Against The Oilers
The Flyers enter at 8–5–3, but their last outing was a frustrating one, a 2–1 overtime loss to the Edmonton Oilers. Philadelphia managed just 21 shots on goal in that game, with their lone tally coming on the power play. It was a reminder of how this team can sometimes struggle to generate consistent offense, even though they’ve been competitive in most of their games. Head coach Rick Tocchet has emphasized structure and accountability, and the Flyers have responded with disciplined defensive play, but they’ll need more scoring depth to keep pace against St. Louis.
Offensively, the Flyers have leaned heavily on Trevor Zegras and Travis Konecny, who have combined for 8 goals and 19 assists through the early part of the season. Philadelphia has converted 20.4% of its power play chances, which has been a bright spot, but at even strength they’ve been inconsistent, scoring just 31 goals compared to 35 allowed. Their shooting percentage sits at 10.4%, which suggests they’re not capitalizing enough on the chances they do create. Against a Blues team that has been vulnerable defensively, the Flyers will need to push the pace and find ways to finish.
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Defensively, Philadelphia has been strong, allowing only 2.56 goals per game and ranking among the league’s top penalty-killing units at 88.7%. Goaltender Daniel Vladar has been steady, posting a career save percentage near .900, and the Flyers have limited opponents to just 25 shots per game. That defensive backbone has kept them competitive even when the offense sputters. Against St. Louis, the Flyers will look to frustrate the Blues’ attack, force turnovers, and rely on their disciplined penalty kill to tilt the ice in their favor.
Blues Looking To Turn Things Around
The Blues come in at 6–8–3, but they’re riding some momentum after a 3–2 win over Calgary earlier this week. That victory was fueled by their depth, with Oskar Sundqvist, Nathan Walker, and Alexey Toropchenko combining for four points on the newly assembled fourth line. Head coach Jim Montgomery praised their effort, noting how their energy and physical play set the tone for the rest of the team. It was the kind of gritty performance St. Louis has been searching for, and they’ll look to build on it against a Flyers squad that thrives on structure.
Offensively, St. Louis has averaged 2.76 goals per game, with Jordan Kyrou leading the way at five goals and four assists. The Blues have converted 24.4% of their power play opportunities, which has been a strength, but they’ve struggled to generate consistent offense at even strength. Their shooting percentage sits at 10.5%, and they’ve taken just 446 shots through 17 games, ranking in the bottom third of the league. To beat Philadelphia, they’ll need to find ways to create more sustained pressure and avoid long stretches without scoring.
Defensively, the Blues have been shaky, allowing 3.76 goals per game and ranking near the bottom of the NHL in penalty kill percentage at 70.5%. Goaltending has been inconsistent, with the team’s save percentage hovering around 86%, and opponents have averaged 27 shots per game against them. That lack of stability has cost them in close contests, and it will be tested against a Flyers team that has shown patience and discipline. Playing at home, St. Louis will rely on its physicality and depth to try to disrupt Philadelphia’s rhythm, but they’ll need sharper execution in their own zone to come away with another win.
Philadelphia Flyers vs St Louis Blues Pick
Flyers vs Blues Moneyline Pick
- Philadelphia +114 (2 Units)
Backing Philadelphia at +114 has merit because the Flyers have been the more disciplined defensive team, allowing just 2.56 goals per game and ranking near the top of the league in penalty kill efficiency. Their ability to limit shots and frustrate opponents has kept them competitive even when the offense hasn’t fully clicked. With Trevor Zegras and Travis Konecny driving the attack, plus a power play converting over 20% of chances, the Flyers have the tools to capitalize on St. Louis’ shaky penalty kill and inconsistent goaltending.
On the other side, the Blues have struggled to keep opponents off the board, giving up nearly 3.8 goals per game and ranking near the bottom in save percentage. While their depth showed up in the win over Calgary, they’ve been vulnerable defensively and haven’t generated consistent offense at even strength. Against a Flyers team that thrives on structure and patience, St. Louis could find it difficult to dictate tempo. With Philadelphia’s defensive identity and opportunistic scoring, grabbing them at plus money feels like a sharp play.
Flyers vs Blues Over/Under Pick
- Under 5.5 (3 Units)
The Under 5.5 looks like a solid angle because both the Flyers and Blues have leaned on defensive structure more than offensive fireworks this season. Philadelphia has been one of the stingiest teams in the league, allowing just 2.56 goals per game while limiting opponents’ shots, and St. Louis has struggled to generate consistent offense at even strength despite a decent power play. With both clubs ranking in the bottom half of the NHL in total goals scored and the Flyers boasting one of the league’s best penalty kills, this matchup sets up as a grind-it-out contest where quality chances are limited. That slower, defensive style favors a lower-scoring outcome under the total.
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