Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Monday, November 3, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Penguins are traveling to Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario for their matchup against the Maple Leafs; keep reading for our Penguins versus Maple Leafs prediction. Pittsburgh leads the Metropolitan Division with a record of 8-3-2. Toronto is sixth in the Atlantic Division with a record of 6-5-1. The Maple Leafs were 2-1-0 versus the Penguins in 2024-25. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. EST. Nobody does it better when it comes to NHL picks!
Penguins Dominating On Offense
Pittsburgh is heading to Toronto after their loss on Saturday against the Jets with a final score of 5-2. The Penguins are continuing their four-game road trip which currently has a record of 1-1-1. Pittsburgh will be looking to end their road trip on a high note with a win on Monday.
The Penguins have looked impressive this season on offense, ranking second in the league in scoring. Their offense has looked lethal not due to their shots produced but their quality of shooting and special teams. The Penguins are third overall in shooting percentage at 13.3% and are second overall in power play percentage at 32.3%. Centerman Sidney Crosby leads the team in scoring this season with nine goals across his 13 games played.
We will likely see Tristan Jarry get the start in net for the Penguins on Monday.
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Tristan Jarry:
- has a 5-1-0 record in 6 games with a goals against average of 2.35 and a save percentage of .923 this season.
- has a 6-3-0 record in 10 games with a goals against average of 2.76 and a save percentage of .911 versus the Maple Leafs in his career.
Injuries:
- Brazeau RW Day To Day - Upper Body
- Rakell RW Out - Upper Body
- Jones D Out - Lower-body
- Blomqvist G Out - Lower-body
- Hayes RW Out - Upper-body
- Howe LW Out - ACL
Maple Leafs Relying Too Much On Offense
The Maple Leafs are returning home after a win on Saturday versus the Flyers with a final score of 5-2. This is the third win in the last four games for the Maple Leafs as they end a short two-game road trip with a final score of 1-1-0. Toronto now begins a four-game home stand with their first game on Monday against the Penguins.
Toronto has looked great on offense this season, ranking eighth overall in scoring thanks to a combination of both their shot volume and their reliable shooting quality. Toronto is ninth in shots this season, averaging 29.5, and is tenth in shooting percentage at 12.1%. However, the Maple Leafs have struggled in keeping goals out of their net ranking 26th overall in goals allowed. This is largely due to their goaltending, which sits third to last in the league in save percentage at .872.
We will likely see Anthony Stolarz start in the net for the Maple Leafs on Monday.
Anthony Stolarz:
- is 4-4-1 in 9 games with a goals against average of 3.13 and a save percentage of .893 this season.
- has a 2-1-0 record in 4 games with a goals against average of 2.14 and a save percentage of .931 versus the Penguins in his career.
Injuries:
- Tanev D Out - Upper Body
- Nylander RW Day To Day - Lower-body
- Lorentz C Day To Day - Upper body
- Laughton LW Day To Day - Lower-body
- Woll G Out - Personal
- Rifai D Out - Wrist
Penguins versus Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction
Puck Line Pick for Penguins versus Maple Leafs
- Penguins +1.5 (5 units)
The Penguins have a record of 4-2-1 as underdogs on the road this season. The Maple Leafs have a record of 2-6 against the puck line as favorites at home this season. Pittsburgh has played impressively on both ends of the ice and will make it difficult for the Maple Leafs to generate their normal amount of goals. Pittsburgh should have little issue going up against the Toronto goaltending as they have struggled in making saves despite a low amount of shots on net allowed. The Penguins should keep this game close and cover their puck line with little issue.
Over/Under Pick for Penguins versus Maple Leafs
- Over 6.5 (-110) (5 units)
The Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 10-2 this season. Toronto has relied on their scoring to remain competitive in its games, which has resulted in much higher scoring games than most teams would have. Pittsburgh will have little issue scoring against the Maple Leafs, but we will have to see if their goaltending can hold back the Toronto offense. This looks to be a back and forth close game, and as a result, we should see a game that exceeds the total.
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