Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction and Picks for Tuesday, October 28th, 2025
Use Code SSWC Tuesday is a massive day in the NHL, as all 32 teams will hit the ice. We have a thrilling intrastate rivalry on the docket, with the Pittsburgh Penguins (7-2-1) taking on the Philadelphia Flyers (4-3-1). We’ve got you covered with our Penguins vs. Flyers prediction. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA. Nobody does it better when it comes to NHL picks!
Penguins Enter on a Back-to-Back
The Pittsburgh Penguins have missed the postseason for three consecutive years, and they’ve tried to change the tide by bringing in Kyle Dubas as general manager and Dan Muse as head coach. This is Muse’s first campaign with the team, and they’re off to a solid 7-2-1 start (15 points). The Penguins trail only the first-place Devils (8-1-0) in the Metro standings. Pittsburgh is in the midst of a 5-0-1 run, and following a weekend shootout loss to Columbus (5-4), they bounced back with a win over St. Louis (6-3) on Monday.
It was the big guns leading the charge for the Penguins in Monday’s 6-3 win over the Blues, with Sidney Crosby (1G, 2A), Bryan Rust (2G, 1A), and Erik Karlsson (3A) all turning in three-point nights. Tristan Jarry was solid in the crease, making 26 saves on 29 shots faced (.897 SV%). Being that Jarry (3-1-0. 2.52 GAA, .921 SV%) started on Monday, we’ll likely see Arturs Silovs (3-1-1, 2.56 GAA, .914 SV%) between the pipes on Tuesday.
- Pittsburgh’s offense is looking elite this season, ranking seventh in goals per 60 minutes (3.52) and first on the power play (33.3%).
- Defensively, they’re conceding 2.53 goals per contest (seventh) and killing 77.8% of their penalties (17th).
- Injury Report: RW Rickard Rakell (hand) just got hurt, and he won’t return until mid-December. RW Rutger McGroarty (upper-body) and RW Kevin Hayes (upper-body) will be out until at least November 1st.
Flyers on a 3-1-0 Run
As for the Philadelphia Flyers, they’ve missed the playoffs for five straight years, but there is optimism moving forward with their young core. So far, Coach Rick Tocchet and his squad are 4-3-1 (nine points) this season. They’ve won three out of their last four games, taking down the Wild (2-1), Kraken (5-2), and Islanders (4-3). A road loss to the Senators (2-1) is sprinkled in there as well. Individually, captain Sean Couturier is leading the way with eight points on two goals and six helpers. Newcomer Travis Zegras has an identical stat line with two tucks and six helpers.
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The Flyers are on the heels of a 4-3 shootout win over the Isles, and it was the aforementioned Zegras who paved the way with a three-point (2G, 1A) night. He and Matvei Michkov scored in the shootout to secure the victory. Samuel Ersson was serviceable in net, making 23 saves on 26 shots faced (.885 SV%). It’s unconfirmed who will start on Tuesday night, but it’ll likely be Dan Vladar (3-2-0, 1.81 GAA, .932 SV%) over Ersson (1-1-1, 3.50 GAA, .861 SV%).
- The Flyers are ranked 26th in scoring this season (2.68 G/60 minutes), while cashing 16.0% of their power-play chances (24th).
- On the defensive side, they’re giving up 2.56 tallies per game (eighth) and ranked ninth on the PK (87.1%).
- Injury Report: Philadelphia is mostly healthy, but it’s worth noting that D Rasmus Ristolainen (triceps) is still sidelined.
Penguins vs. Flyers Pick
Moneyline Pick for Penguins vs. Flyers
- Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline (+135) (5 units)
I understand the hype surrounding the Flyers this season, as their young core does provide the Philly faithful with something to cheer about. With that being said, there’s absolutely no way that I’m laying a -150 price tag when they welcome in this red-hot Pens team on Tuesday.
Pittsburgh is on a tear this season, going 7-2-1 out of the gate. They’ve picked up a point in six straight games, going 5-0-1 during the stretch. Their offense is dialed in, ranking first on the power play (33.3%) and first in shooting percentage (14.0%) during all situations. They also boast a top-10 defense, conceding less than 2.6 goals per 60 minutes. With the Flyers ranking 26 in G/60 minutes (2.68), I don’t anticipate them having enough firepower to keep pace. I think this crafty, veteran Pittsburgh team will stay hot and take care of business – even with them being on zero days of rest.
Over/Under Pick for Penguins vs. Flyers
- Over 6.0 (-110) (5 units)
This is a tough total since both of these teams have been so well-rounded to start the year. But considering we’re getting a flat 6.0–giving us push potential–I think it’s best to take a flier on the over.
These are two top-10 offenses in terms of shooting percentage, with Pittsburgh leading the league (14.0%) and Philadelphia ranking eighth (12.3%). In terms of xG/60 minutes, Pittsburgh sits at 3.74, while Philly is at 2.92. The Penguins have now seen 6+ goals in four straight games, while the Flyers have done so in five of their last seven. I think a 4-2 final is the floor for this matchup, but with all of the scoring talent on the ice, this game could skew into the 4-3, 5-2, or 5-3 range as well. Give me the over.
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