St. Louis Blues vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction and Picks - December 7, 2025
National League Hockey action on Sunday evening, and we have a St. Louis Blues vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction ready to roll for you. The Blues enter this game off a 2-1 road win over Ottawa to move to 10-19 on the year. Montreal is off a 2-1 shootout win over the Maple Leafs on the road to move to 15-12 on the year. These teams split the two meetings a year ago. Read on to see our Blues vs Canadiens prediction.
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Blues Get Big Road Win Against The Sens
The Blues’ most recent game was a 2–1 win over Ottawa on December 6, where Jake Neighbours scored both goals and Joel Hofer was outstanding with 41 saves. St. Louis built a 2–0 lead early in the third period before Fabian Zetterlund cut it to one on a power play, but Hofer held firm in the final minutes to secure the victory. It was a gritty performance that snapped a short skid and gave the Blues a boost heading into Montreal.
Offensively, St. Louis has struggled all season, ranking 30th in goals per game (2.5) and 27th in shots (25.8). The power play sits at 18.7% (18th), with Robert Thomas leading the team in points but needing more consistent help from Jordan Kyrou and Pavel Buchnevich. Neighbours’ two‑goal effort against Ottawa was a reminder of the young talent they have, but overall the Blues have lacked finishing depth. Their faceoff win rate (51.0%, 12th) is solid, yet the inability to sustain pressure has kept them near the bottom of the standings.
Defensively, St. Louis allows 3.5 goals per game (30th) despite limiting opponents to 27.3 shots per game (12th). The penalty kill has been shaky at 75.8% (27th), and discipline is a major issue with 192 penalty minutes (31st). Hofer’s performance against Ottawa was a bright spot, but the goaltending tandem has been inconsistent overall. The Blues will need another strong effort in net and cleaner play in their own zone to slow down Montreal’s attack.
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Montreal Stuns Toronto On The Road
Montreal’s most recent game was a 2–1 shootout win over Toronto on December 6, where Cole Caufield scored in regulation and again in the shootout, while Alexandre Texier netted the deciding goal. Jakub Dobes made 22 saves, and the Canadiens extended Caufield’s point streak to 10 games. It was a tight, defensive battle, but Montreal found just enough offense to secure their second straight win.
Offensively, Montreal ranks 7th in goals per game (3.3) despite generating the fewest shots per game (24.9, 30th). Their efficiency comes from a potent power play at 26.4% (4th), with Caufield and Nick Suzuki driving production. Suzuki leads the team with 31 points, while Caufield has 15 goals, and Juraj Slafkovsky continues to chip in timely scoring. The Canadiens win faceoffs at 50.4% (14th), and their ability to capitalize on limited opportunities has kept them competitive in the Atlantic Division.
Defensively, Montreal has been vulnerable, ranking 31st in goals allowed (3.5 per game) and 25th in penalty kill (77.4%). Dobes has been steadier than Sam Montembeault, but both goalies have posted save percentages under .900. The Canadiens limit shots against (27.8 per game, 18th) but lapses in coverage and penalties (268 minutes, 13th most) have hurt them. Still, with Caufield red‑hot and Suzuki anchoring the attack, Montreal enters this matchup with momentum and the advantage of home ice.
St. Louis Blues vs Montreal Canadiens Pick
Blues vs Canadiens Moneyline Pick
- Montreal -136 (5 Units)
Montreal feels like the right side here after their 2–1 shootout win over Toronto, where Cole Caufield tied the game in the third period and then scored again in the shootout before Alexandre Texier sealed it. Jakub Dobes was sharp with 22 saves, and the Canadiens showed resilience in a tight divisional matchup. That victory gave them back‑to‑back wins and momentum heading into this clash with St. Louis, who has struggled to generate offense all season. Montreal’s attack, led by Caufield and Nick Suzuki, has been efficient despite ranking last in shots per game, and their 26.4% power play (4th in the NHL) gives them a clear edge against a Blues penalty kill that sits near the bottom.
The other angle is Montreal’s ability to capitalize on home ice against a St. Louis team that just eked out a 2–1 win over Ottawa but still ranks 30th in goals per game (2.5) and 30th in goals allowed (3.5). The Canadiens may not be airtight defensively, but their offense is far more reliable, averaging 3.3 goals per game (7th) compared to the Blues’ struggles. With Caufield riding a 10‑game point streak and Suzuki anchoring the top line, Montreal has the firepower to break through, while St. Louis will need another heroic goaltending effort to stay close. Given the contrast in scoring depth and special teams, Montreal looks well‑positioned to take this one.
Blues vs Canadiens Over/Under Pick
- Under 6 (4 Units)
The Under 6 makes sense in Blues–Canadiens because both teams are coming off tight, low‑scoring games last night — St. Louis edged Ottawa 2–1 behind Jake Neighbours’ two goals and Joel Hofer’s 41 saves, while Montreal beat Toronto 2–1 in a shootout with Cole Caufield tying it late and then scoring again in the skills competition. Back‑to‑back nights often mean heavy legs and less offensive sharpness, and that lines up with the season profiles: St. Louis ranks 30th in goals per game (2.5) while Montreal, though more efficient, generates the fewest shots per game (24.9). Add in both clubs’ defensive vulnerabilities but fresh goaltending performances, and the setup points toward a slower pace and fewer finishing chances, making the Under 6 a logical angle.
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