Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings Picks and Prediction, Friday, October 17, 2025
Use Code SSWC In an Eastern Conference matchup on Friday Night in the Motor City, the Detroit Red Wings host the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Red Wings have rebounded from their season-opening loss to win their last three game, while the Lightning have lost three of their first four games. If you are looking for the full score info for this game as well as other free NHL picks, then look no further than this Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction.
Giving Up Three Goals Does Not Cut It This Time Around for Lighting
After giving up three goals in the Lightning’s first win of the season, they gave up the same amount in their last game in a 3-2 OT road loss to the Washington Capitals. They only took 19 shots in the game, allowing 28 shots, and Jake Guentzel and Brayden Point each lit the lamp in the losing effort. Andrei Vasilevskiy (0-2-1 4.08 GAA) gave up three goals and has given up 12 goals in three starts, which were all losses. Backup Jonas Johansson (1-0-0 3.02 GAA) was in the net for Tampa’s only win, where he gave up three goals on 33 shots and he may get the call to face the Red Wings.
- The Lightning have given up three goals in each of their last two games after giving up five goals in each of their first two games.
- Point leads the team with five points (2 goals 3 assists) and has a goal and an assist in the last two games after a goal and two assists in the season opener.
- Anthony Cirelli also had two goals and he had an assist in the last game after a two-goal effort in the previous game.
- The Lightning are 1-0-1 on the road and last season split the four games facing the Red Wings.
3-2-1 Red Wings!
After their first loss, giving up five goals, the Red Wings gave up three goals in a win and then two and one in their last two wins. In their last game, they were at home facing the reigning Stanley Cup champion Florida Panthers and beat them 4-1, where Mason Appleton scored two goals, Alex DeBrincat and Dylan Larkin each had two assists, and Michael Rasmussen had a goal and an assist. Cam Talbot (3-0-0 1.78 GAA) stopped 20 of 21 shots faced and he has started in the last three games. John Gibson started the first game, giving up five goals before being yanked and he has not seen the ice in the last three games.
- The Red Wings have totaled 13 goals in their last three games after only scoring one goal in the season opener.
- Alex DeBrincat leads the team with six points and while he has not scored a goal, he has multiple assists in two of the last three games.
- Patrick Kane is off to a good start with two goals and three assists.
- Lucas Raymond led the team with 80 points last season and after two goals and an assist in the first three games, he missed the last game with an injury and is likely to miss the game facing the Lightning.
- Early on in the season, the Red Wings are 2-1 at home.
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Lightning vs. Red Wings Pick
Money Line pick for Lightning vs. Red Wings
- Red Wings (4 units)
The Red Wings have won three in a row after losing their opener, while the Lightning have not gotten off to a good start to the season, losing three of their first four games. The Wings have outscored their opponents 13-6, and they have played well on both sides of the ice in those games. On the other side of the coin, the Lightning have already given up 16 goals in only four games. Three of their losses have come by one goal, as their attack has been pretty solid despite only scoring two goals in their last game. When it comes to the Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction, the Red Wings will continue their solid play on home ice and bag their fourth win in a row.
Over/Under Pick for Lightning vs. Red Wings
- Over (4 units)
The total for the Lightning’s last game went Under while their first three games went Over and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this game. The Red Wings have won three in a row, where their attack has been legit, totaling 13 goals. They will put up a high total in this gam,e facing a Tampa Bay defense that is giving up an average of four goals per game. The Detroit defense has shored up in the last few games, giving up six goals, but while the Lightning have lost three of four games, their attack has not been bad. While not a ton of goals will be scored in this game, it will not be a defensive contest either, which is why the Over is the pick.
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