Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings, Picks and Predictions, Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Maple Leafs are traveling to Little Caesar’s arena in Detroit, Michigan for their game against the Red Wings; keep reading for our Maple Leafs versus Red Wings prediction. Toronto finished at the top of the Atlantic Division last season with a record of 52-26-4. Detroit ended their season sixth in the Atlantic Division with a record of 39-35-8. The Maple Leafs had a 3-1-0 record against the Red Wings in 2024-25. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. EDT. Stay out of the penalty box by selecting our free NHL Picks.
Toronto Looks To Continue Last Year’s Success
The Maple Leafs are coming off a win on Wednesday versus the Canadiens with a final score of 5-2. Toronto would grab their home opener win before heading on the road for its first road game against Detroit on Saturday. The Maple Leafs aim to add onto their success of last season, making it to the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs only to be knocked out by the Stanley Cup Champions in a series loss of 3-4.
Toronto showed great consistency last season on both offense and defense, ranking seventh overall in scoring and eighth overall in goals allowed. A key to their offense last season was their power play, which finished ninth in the league at 24.8%. While the defense for Toronto did allow too many shots on net last season, allowing an average of 29.33, the goaltending for the Maple Leafs made up for their poor defending ranking fourth in save percentage at .905. While the Maple Leafs did lose forward Mitch Marner during the offseason, they still have enough talent to repeat their success from last season.
We will likely see Anthony Stolarz take the net for the Maple Leafs on Saturday.
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Anthony Stolarz:
- was 21-8-3 in 34 games with a goals against average of 2.14 and a save percentage of .926 in 2024-25.
- is 2-0-0 in 2 games with a goals against average of 0.49 and a save percentage of .980 against the Red Wings in his career.
Injuries:
- Laughton LW Out - Lower-body
- Rifai D Out - Wrist
- Woll G Out - Personal
Detroit Hope Goaltending Changes To Be Enough
Detroit picked up a loss on Thursday versus the Canadiens with a final score of 5-1. Detroit would lose their home opener as they continue a short two-game home stand before heading on the road for their first road game on Monday versus Toronto. The Red Wings missed the postseason last year and will aim to at least make it into the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Last season, the Red Wings finished 21st in goals allowed and ranked 22nd in save percentage at .889. Their issue in net was a large reason as to why Detroit missed out on a potential wild card spot last season. To address this, the Red Wings signed goaltender John Gibson in hopes of fixing their problems in net. In his first game of the season, Gibson allowed five goals on 13 shots on net, resulting in a save percentage of .615.
Detroit has confirmed that Cam Talbot will be starting in net for the Red Wings on Saturday.
Cam Talbot:
- had a 21-19-5 record in 47 games with a goals against average of 2.93 and a save percentage of .900 in 2024-25.
- has a 6-5-2 record in 15 games with a goals against average of 2.83 and a save percentage of .901 against the Maple Leafs in his career.
Injuries:
- van Riemsdyk LW Day To Day - Personal
- Danielson C Out - Undisclosed
- Buium D Out - Undisclosed
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Picks and Predictions
Money Line Pick for Maple Leafs vs.Red Wings
- Toronto Money Line (-150) (4 units)
The Maple Leafs have a 7-2-1 record in their last ten games against the Red Wings on the road. The Detroit Red Wings were 3-4-0 as underdogs against the Atlantic Division at home in 2024-25. Anthony Stolarz has posted a record of 2-0-0 in his career against Detroit and only has a goals against average of 0.49. If Detroit is unable to produce goals, I doubt they will be able to grab a win over the Maple Leafs.
Over/Under Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
- Over 5.5 (+100) ( 4 units)
The Maple Leafs had an over/under record of 6-3-1 as favorites against the Atlantic Division on the road in 2024-25. While Anthony Stolarz has impressively shut down the Red Wings in his two games against them in his career, the Maple Leafs alone can take us over the total. Cam Talbot has a record of 0-1-0 in one game against the Maple Leafs in his career with Detroit. In that game, Talbot had a goals against average of 7.50 and a save percentage of .762. The struggles of Detroit’s goaltending will likely persist in this game, leading to a high-scoring affair.
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