Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth Prediction and Picks - November 20, 2025
Use Code SSWC National Hockey League action on Thursday evening, and we have a Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth prediction ready to rock and roll. Vegas comes in off a 3-2 home win over the Rangers to move to 9-10 on the year. Utah comes in off a 3-2 OT loss to San Jose on the road to fall to 10-110 on the year. Read on to see our Golden Knights vs Mammoth prediction.
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Vegas Holds Off Challenge From The Rangers
Vegas enters this matchup after a 3–2 victory over the New York Rangers on Nov. 18, where Akira Schmid stopped 17 shots and Shea Theodore netted the game‑winner. Rookie Braeden Bowman scored his second career goal on the power play, while Ben Hutton added his first tally in nearly two years. The Golden Knights have now gone 2‑0‑1 in their last three games, rebounding from an earlier 0‑2‑2 stretch. Their power play, which had been mired in a 3‑for‑34 slump, has suddenly come alive with five goals in the past three contests, giving them renewed confidence heading into Utah.
Offensively, Vegas has been steady, averaging 3.2 goals per game (14th in the NHL) while ranking top‑10 in shots per game (29.4). Jack Eichel leads the team with 24 points, while Mitch Marner has chipped in 21 points and Tomas Hertl adds 17. Pavel Dorofeyev has been a surprise contributor with 11 goals, and Ivan Barbashev continues to provide secondary scoring. Their faceoff win rate of 53.4% ranks fourth in the league, giving them consistent puck possession. With Schmid slated to start, his 8–3 record and 2.45 GAA provide stability in net, especially against a Utah team that has struggled to finish games.
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Defensively, the Golden Knights allow just 2.8 goals per game (12th) and rank third in shots against (25.1). Theodore and Noah Hanifin anchor the blue line, while Brayden McNabb logs heavy minutes. Their penalty kill sits at 78.8%, middle of the pack, but their ability to limit high‑danger chances has kept them competitive. Against Utah, Vegas will look to exploit the Mammoth’s late‑game struggles and lean on their special teams, which have been trending upward. If their power play continues to click, Vegas has the tools to control momentum and extend Utah’s skid.
Utah Suffers Three OT Losses In A Row
Utah comes into this game off three straight overtime losses, most recently a 3–2 defeat to San Jose on Nov. 18. JJ Peterka scored twice in the third period to rally the Mammoth, but Macklin Celebrini buried them with an overtime power‑play goal to complete his hat trick. Prior to that, Utah fell 3–2 in OT to Anaheim on Nov. 17, where Dylan Guenther and Logan Cooley scored before Troy Terry tied it with five seconds left and Olen Zellweger won it in overtime. On Nov. 14, they also dropped a 3–2 OT decision to the Islanders, with Guenther scoring on the power play but Matthew Schaefer netting the winner. The pattern has been consistent: Utah battles hard, gets late goals, but cannot close out in extra time.
Offensively, Utah averages 3.2 goals per game (15th) and ranks 10th in shots (29.1). Nick Schmaltz leads with 22 points, while Logan Cooley has 16 points and Dylan Guenther and JJ Peterka each add 15. Clayton Keller provides veteran stability with 18 points, and Mikhail Sergachev has chipped in 15 from the blue line. Their power play, however, has been a weakness at just 15.5% (27th), often failing to capitalize on momentum. Despite strong five‑on‑five play, Utah’s inability to convert with the man advantage has cost them in tight games, especially during their recent overtime stretch.
Defensively, Utah allows 3.1 goals per game (16th) but ranks first in shots against (23.7), showing they limit volume but still give up quality chances. Goaltender Karel Vejmelka, slated to start, has an 8–6 record with a 2.85 GAA, but his tendency to over‑commit has been exposed in recent losses. The penalty kill has been solid at 82% (11th), with Nate Schmidt and John Marino steady on the back end. Still, Utah’s inability to finish games has become a glaring issue, with three straight overtime defeats highlighting their struggles in clutch moments. Against Vegas, they’ll need their young stars — Cooley, Guenther, and Peterka — to deliver consistently while tightening up late‑game execution to avoid another heartbreaking finish.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth Pick
Golden Knights vs Mammoth Moneyline Pick
- Utah +102 (1 Unit)
Utah at +102 offers value given how competitive they’ve been despite dropping three straight in overtime. The Mammoth have shown resilience, rallying late in each of those contests with goals from young stars like Dylan Guenther, Logan Cooley, and JJ Peterka, only to fall short in extra time. Their offense is balanced, averaging 3.2 goals per game, and they rank top‑10 in shots per contest. With Nick Schmaltz leading the team in points and Vejmelka providing steady goaltending, Utah has the scoring depth and defensive structure to hang with Vegas. The fact they’ve been right there in every game suggests they’re due to break through.
Vegas has been strong, but Utah’s ability to limit shots — they allow the fewest in the league at just 23.7 per game — makes them a tough matchup for a Golden Knights team that thrives on puck possession. The Mammoth penalty kill sits at 82% and their defensive core, led by Sergachev and Marino, has kept them competitive even against top offenses. If Utah can clean up their late‑game execution and avoid costly mistakes in overtime, they have the tools to not only cover but win outright. At plus money, backing Utah to finally convert one of these tight battles feels like a sharp play.
Golden Knights vs Mammoth Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (3 Units)
The Under 6.5 makes sense here given both teams’ recent trends and defensive profiles. Vegas has allowed just 2.8 goals per game while ranking third in shots against, and Utah sits first in shots allowed at only 23.7 per contest despite giving up 3.1 goals on average. With Akira Schmid and Karel Vejmelka both steady in net and Utah coming off three straight overtime games that all finished 3–2, the matchup projects more like a tight, low‑scoring battle than a shootout. Special teams also lean conservative — Utah’s power play is just 15.5% and Vegas’ penalty kill is middle‑tier — further supporting a slower pace that favors the total staying below 6.5.
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