Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Prediction for Tuesday November 10 2026

Washington heads north Tuesday night for a 7 PM ET game against Ottawa at Canadian Tire Centre. The Capitals have been winning their share of games, but they’re also giving up quite a few goals. Ottawa has been much better at home than on the road, and that’s what caught my attention. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. I like the Senators here, although I wouldn’t be surprised if this game gets a little wild. The NHL action is hitting the ice flying and you should make sure you find the best picks by checking our free NHL picks.

Washington Has Been Living Dangerously

Washington is 9-6 overall and 2-2 on the road. The Capitals beat Florida 4-3 on Saturday, which was a nice response after dropping games to Dallas and Minnesota. But there’s something about this team that bothers me. Washington can score, no question. Keeping the puck out of its own net has been a different story.

The Capitals have averaged 3.6 goals over their last ten games while allowing 3.4. That’s not much room for error. Washington has also been giving up too many good chances when opponents get through the neutral zone. Ottawa has enough offensive ability to take advantage of that. The Capitals need to do a better job controlling the puck instead of constantly asking their goaltender to bail them out.

Washington is missing defensemen Rasmus Sandin and Vincent Desharnais, while Patrick Thomas is also unavailable. Those absences matter against an Ottawa team that can pressure opponents for long stretches. The Capitals need to keep things simple in their own end. Get the puck out, avoid careless turnovers, and don’t spend entire shifts chasing Ottawa around. If they can do that, they’ve got enough offense to make this interesting.

Ottawa Has Been Tough to Beat at Home

Ottawa is 11-6-1 and has won six of its first eight home games. That’s a pretty good start at Canadian Tire Centre. The Senators have gone 5-4-1 over their last ten, so they haven’t exactly been running over everybody. But they’ve been scoring enough to stay competitive, and they’re usually more comfortable when they’re playing in front of their own crowd.

The Senators have averaged 3.5 goals over their last ten games and allowed 2.9. That’s a better defensive number than Washington’s, and it’s one reason I lean toward Ottawa. The Senators have also been doing a decent job generating chances off the rush. Washington’s defense has had trouble with that kind of pressure, and I think Ottawa can find some openings.

Ottawa has its own injury problems. William Eklund, Warren Foegele and Andre Burakovsky are unavailable, while Ridly Greig has been dealing with a lower-body injury. The goaltending situation also deserves attention before puck drop. The Senators need a solid performance in net because Washington isn’t going to stop shooting just because Ottawa is at home. But if the Senators can keep the Capitals from getting too many second chances, I like their position.

Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Ottawa Senators

I’m taking Ottawa. Washington has enough offense to win this game, and I wouldn’t argue with anybody who likes the Capitals at a good price. But the Senators have been winning at home, and Washington has been allowing too many goals lately. Ottawa has been a little more reliable defensively, which matters in a matchup between two teams that can score. I think the Senators get enough chances to win something like 4-3.

Total Pick: Over — Pending Verified Line

I lean over. Washington has been scoring 3.6 goals over its last ten games and giving up 3.4. Ottawa has been scoring 3.5 during that same stretch. Those numbers make me think we’re going to see some goals. The biggest concern is the goaltending. If both teams get strong performances in net, this could turn into a 3-2 game. But neither defense has been perfect, and I expect both clubs to get opportunities. I’d want to see the posted number before betting.

Final Picks: Ottawa Senators Moneyline | Over (pending verified total)

Disclaimer: Completed November 9, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting goaltenders may change before puck drop.