Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 12 2026

Winnipeg heads to Dallas on Thursday night for an 8 PM ET game at American Airlines Center. The Jets have been struggling, while the Stars have been getting better results lately. Dallas hasn’t been scoring a ton, but the defense has been excellent. That’s what gets my attention. Winnipeg has been giving up too many goals, and Dallas has been doing a good job keeping opponents from getting comfortable. I like the Stars at home. Verified U.S. betting prices weren’t available when this preview was prepared. The heat on the ice is warming up and you should make sure you are ready for all the action with our free NHL picks.

Winnipeg Needs to Fix Its Defense

Winnipeg is 8-8-3 and has gone 3-4-2 on the road. The Jets have struggled over their last ten games, and the defensive problems have been difficult to ignore. They’ve been competitive in stretches, but they haven’t been getting enough stops. That’s a problem against Dallas because the Stars have been good at taking advantage of mistakes.

The Jets are averaging about 2.7 goals per game and allowing 3.5. That’s not a good scoring difference. Winnipeg needs more consistent offense, but the bigger concern is the defense. The Jets have been giving up too many quality chances, and that’s been putting extra pressure on the goaltending. Dallas isn’t a high-scoring team, but the Stars don’t need to be when opponents keep giving them opportunities.

Elias Salomonsson has been listed unavailable, which affects Winnipeg’s defensive depth. The Jets need their remaining defensemen to play a cleaner game, particularly around their own net. Winnipeg also needs to stay disciplined because Dallas has been good at controlling the puck and making opponents work. If the Jets spend too much time killing penalties, this could get away from them.

Dallas Has Been Winning with Defense

Dallas is 10-5-2 and has won six of ten home games. The Stars have gone 7-3 over their last ten, so they’ve been playing good hockey. Dallas hasn’t been scoring at an incredible pace, but it hasn’t needed to. The Stars have been keeping opponents from getting many good chances, and that’s been enough to win games.

Dallas is averaging around 2.8 goals per game and allowing only 2.3. That’s one of the best defensive averages in the league. The Stars have been limiting quality shots and getting dependable goaltending. Winnipeg has been scoring only 2.7 goals a night, so Dallas should have a good chance to keep the Jets under control. The Stars don’t need to turn this into a high-scoring game. They need to get a lead and protect it.

Dallas needs its defensive structure to remain solid and its forwards to create enough offense to take advantage of Winnipeg’s mistakes. The Stars have been doing a good job controlling games, but they can’t afford to get careless. Winnipeg still has enough offensive ability to score if Dallas starts giving away chances. The Stars need to keep things simple and make the Jets earn every goal.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dallas Stars

I’m taking Dallas. Winnipeg has been allowing 3.5 goals a night, while Dallas is giving up only 2.3. That’s a pretty big difference. The Stars have also been playing better lately, winning seven of their last ten. Winnipeg could absolutely win if the Jets get a strong performance in goal and find some offense. But I trust Dallas to defend better and take advantage of Winnipeg’s mistakes. Give me the Stars at home.

Total Pick: Under — Pending Verified Line

I lean under. Dallas has been allowing only 2.3 goals per game, and Winnipeg hasn’t been scoring much. The Jets’ defensive problems could make the over tempting, but Dallas hasn’t been an especially explosive offensive team. I think the Stars will try to keep this game controlled and make Winnipeg work for every chance. Something around 3-1 Dallas makes sense. I’d need the verified total before deciding whether the under is worth playing.

Final Picks: Dallas Stars Moneyline | Under (pending verified total)

Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting goaltenders may change before puck drop.