Winnipeg Jets vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction and Picks - December 6, 2025
National League Hockey action on Saturday evening, and we have a Winnipeg Jets vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction ready to roll for you. The Jets are off a 4-1 home win over the Sabres to move to 14-13 on the year. The Oilers are off a 9-4 trouncing of Seattle to move to 12-16 on the year. The Jets took two of the three meetings a year ago. Read on to see our Jets vs Oilers prediction.
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Jets Take Down Sabres At Home
Winnipeg’s most recent game was a 4–1 win over Buffalo on December 5, a night where Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi, and Cole Koepke all scored and had an assist to snap a short losing streak. The Jets got the win despite being outshot 35-22. Eric Comrie recorded 34 saves for his 6th win of the year. That win was important for Winnipeg because it showed they could bounce back quickly after a tough stretch, and it gave them momentum heading into this clash with Edmonton.
Offensively, Winnipeg has been steady but not overwhelming, averaging 3.0 goals per game while ranking 12th in power‑play efficiency at 21.5%. Scheifele continues to be the engine of their attack, leading the team in points, while Connor’s finishing ability makes him a constant threat whenever he finds space. Gabriel Vilardi has chipped in with secondary scoring, and Josh Morrissey remains a key playmaker from the blue line. The Jets don’t generate a ton of shots (26.4 per game, 24th in the league), but their efficiency and ability to capitalize on special‑teams opportunities have kept them competitive in a crowded Western Conference race.
Defensively, Winnipeg has been middle‑of‑the‑pack, allowing 2.9 goals per game, but their penalty kill has been strong at 82.2%, ranking inside the top 10. Milic will get the start in this one, and while he’s still adjusting to NHL speed, the Jets’ defensive structure has helped protect him by limiting high‑danger looks. With three shutouts already this season, Winnipeg has shown they can lock down games when needed, and their ability to win faceoffs (52.3%) gives them an edge in controlling possession. Against Edmonton’s explosive offense, the Jets will need discipline and strong goaltending to keep the game within reach.
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Oilers Pound The Kraken
Edmonton’s most recent game was a 9–4 blowout win over Seattle on December 4, a showcase of their offensive firepower. Connor McDavid recorded a hat trick and four points, Leon Draisaitl added a goal and three assists, and Matthew Savoie chipped in with two goals. The Oilers went 4‑for‑5 on the power play, reminding everyone why their special‑teams unit is among the most dangerous in the league. It was the kind of statement win that can spark a run, especially with their stars firing on all cylinders.
Offensively, Edmonton ranks ninth in the NHL at 3.2 goals per game, but their power play is the real weapon, converting at 32.4%, second‑best in the league. McDavid leads the team with 40 points, while Draisaitl has already piled up 16 goals and 35 points. Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent‑Hopkins provide reliable secondary scoring, and Evan Bouchard has emerged as a force from the back end with 21 assists. The Oilers generate 28.5 shots per game, and when their top line is rolling, they can overwhelm opponents quickly, as Seattle learned the hard way.
Defensively, Edmonton remains vulnerable, allowing 3.5 goals per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Stuart Skinner will get the start, and while his numbers are respectable with a 2.90 GAA, the Oilers’ defensive lapses often leave him exposed. They do limit overall shots against (26.7 per game, ninth), but breakdowns in coverage and turnovers have led to high‑quality chances against. Their penalty kill sits at 81.8%, middle of the pack, but when paired with their dominant power play, Edmonton often wins the special‑teams battle. Against Winnipeg, the Oilers will look to ride the momentum from their offensive explosion against Seattle, leaning on McDavid’s brilliance and Draisaitl’s playmaking to secure another home win.
Winnipeg Jets vs Edmonton Oilers Pick
Jets vs Oilers Moneyline Pick
- Edmonton -1.5 (4 Units)
Backing Edmonton -1.5 makes sense given the way their offense is clicking right now. The Oilers are coming off that 9–4 demolition of Seattle, where Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl combined for seven points and the power play went 4‑for‑5. That kind of production highlights why Edmonton sits second in the league on the man advantage at 32.4%, and when their stars are rolling, they can bury teams quickly. Winnipeg has been steady defensively, but they don’t generate a lot of shots (26.4 per game) and rely heavily on Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele to carry the offense. Against an Oilers team that thrives on pace and possession, the Jets could easily find themselves chasing the game, which is where Edmonton tends to pull away.
Defensively, Edmonton isn’t perfect, allowing 3.5 goals per game, but they limit overall shots against (26.7 per game, ninth in the NHL), and Stuart Skinner has been serviceable enough to hold leads when the offense provides cushion. Winnipeg’s rookie goaltender Thomas Milic is still adjusting to NHL speed, and facing McDavid, Draisaitl, and Zach Hyman is a brutal assignment. The Oilers’ ability to overwhelm opponents with quick strikes and dominate special teams gives them a clear edge, and with home ice behind them, this sets up as another game where Edmonton’s firepower should be enough to cover the puck line.
Jets vs Oilers Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (4 Units)
The Under 6.5 has a strong case here because while Edmonton’s offense can explode, Winnipeg’s defensive structure and special teams often keep games tighter than expected. The Jets allow just 2.9 goals per game and boast a top‑10 penalty kill at 82.2%, which helps them neutralize opponents’ power plays. Edmonton, despite their firepower, still gives up 3.5 goals per game, but they limit shots against (26.7 per game, ninth in the league), and Stuart Skinner has been steady enough to keep scores manageable when supported. With Thomas Milic starting for Winnipeg and both teams capable of slowing the pace through disciplined play, this matchup has the ingredients for a more controlled game that stays under the 6.5 total.
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