Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction and Picks - December 3, 2025
Wednesday evening National Hockey League action, and we have a Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens prediction ready to rock and roll. The Jets enter this game off a 5-1 road loss to the Sabres, which drops them to 13-12 on the year. Montreal enters this game off a 5-2 home loss to the Senators, and they are now 13-12 on the year. Read on to see our Jets vs Canadiens prediction.
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Jets Fall Big To The Sabres
The Jets’ most recent outing was a 5–1 loss to Buffalo on December 1, a game where Kyle Connor scored their only goal midway through the second period, assisted by Mark Scheifele and Josh Morrissey. Winnipeg was outshot 31-24 and never found a rhythm offensively, as the Sabres dictated pace and capitalized on defensive lapses.
This loss underscored the inconsistency that has defined Winnipeg’s season. On paper, the Jets have the tools to be dangerous: they average 3.0 goals per game and boast a 22.1% power play (10th in the NHL), with Connor and Scheifele leading the charge. Scheifele has already piled up 13 goals and 19 assists, while Gabriel Vilardi has chipped in six goals over his last 10 games. Winnipeg also ranks 6th in faceoff percentage (52.8%), which helps them control possession in spurts. But their shot volume is modest at 26.4 per game, and when they don’t cash in on special teams, the offense can sputter.
Defensively, Winnipeg sits in the middle of the pack, allowing 3.0 goals per game (16th) and 29.2 shots against (24th). Their penalty kill has been excellent at 83.9% (6th), but discipline remains an issue with 266 penalty minutes (8th most). Goaltending has been unsettled with Connor Hellebuyck sidelined, leaving Eric Comrie and Thomas Milic to shoulder the load. Against Montreal’s high‑powered attack, the Jets will need to stay out of the box and lean on their PK to survive, while hoping their top scorers can break through early to set the tone.
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Habs Fall To Sens At Home
Montreal’s last game was a 5–2 home loss to Ottawa last night, where Juraj Slafkovský opened the scoring with a power‑play goal and Nick Suzuki added another on the man advantage in the second period. Despite those bright spots, the Canadiens surrendered four unanswered goals, and Sam Montembeault struggled in net, stopping just 24 of 29 shots.
Even with that setback, Montreal has been one of the league’s more efficient offensive teams. They average 3.4 goals per game (4th) despite ranking last in shots at 24.8 per game, a testament to their finishing ability. Suzuki has been the steady playmaker with 8 goals and 22 assists, while Cole Caufield leads the team with 14 goals. Lane Hutson has added creativity from the blue line, and Slafkovský’s emergence as a power‑play weapon has given them another dimension. Their man‑advantage unit sits at 23.5% (9th), and when they get opportunities, they usually make opponents pay.
Defensively, though, Montreal has been shaky. They allow 3.5 goals per game (28th) and their penalty kill ranks just 26th at 76.5%, which has cost them in tight games. Montembeault and Jakub Dobeš have split duties in net, but neither has provided consistent stability, with save percentages hovering below .890. Discipline has also been a problem, with 277 penalty minutes (5th most), often putting them in tough spots. Against Winnipeg, the Canadiens will rely on their offensive depth to outscore mistakes, but if their defense doesn’t tighten up, they risk letting a Jets team with strong special teams hang around longer than expected.
Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens Pick
Jets vs Canadiens Moneyline Pick
- Winnipeg -115 (5 Units)
Backing Winnipeg in this spot makes sense given how their strengths line up against Montreal’s weaknesses. Even in their 5–1 loss to Buffalo, the Jets showed flashes of what makes them dangerous — Kyle Connor buried their lone goal, and Mark Scheifele continued to drive play in the offensive zone. On the season, Winnipeg averages 3.0 goals per game and owns a top‑10 power play at 22.1%, which is exactly the kind of weapon you want against a Canadiens team that struggles to kill penalties. The Jets also dominate the faceoff circle at 52.8%, giving them extra puck possession and chances to dictate tempo. If Connor and Scheifele can get rolling early, Winnipeg has the firepower to put Montreal’s defense under pressure all night.
Montreal’s offense has been efficient, but their defensive issues tilt this matchup toward Winnipeg. The Canadiens allow 3.5 goals per game (28th) and their penalty kill sits at just 76.5%, which is a glaring mismatch against the Jets’ special teams. Discipline has been another problem, with Montreal racking up 277 penalty minutes (5th most), often putting themselves in situations where opponents can capitalize. Winnipeg’s own penalty kill is one of the best in the league at 83.9%, so even if Montreal gets chances, the Jets have the structure to limit damage. With stronger special teams, better faceoff numbers, and a more reliable defensive backbone, Winnipeg looks like the sharper side to back in this matchup.
Jets vs Canadiens Over/Under Pick
- Under 6 (4 Units)
The Under 6 makes sense here because both Winnipeg and Montreal have shown tendencies that point toward a tighter, lower‑scoring game. The Jets average just 3.0 goals per game and allow the same number defensively, leaning heavily on their strong penalty kill (83.9%) to keep opponents in check. Montreal can score, but they generate the fewest shots in the league (24.8 per game) and often rely on efficiency rather than volume, which makes them vulnerable if Winnipeg limits power‑play chances. Add in the Canadiens’ defensive struggles — 3.5 goals allowed per game — balanced by Winnipeg’s disciplined structure, and you have a matchup where special teams and goaltending should dictate pace. With both clubs capable of slowing things down and neither consistently piling up shots, the Under 6 looks like the sharper angle.
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