Chelsea vs Hull City Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 12 2026

Chelsea hosts newly promoted Hull City at Stamford Bridge in London on Saturday, September 12, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 10:00 AM ET. Chelsea is a substantial favorite at approximately -425, with Hull around +1100 and the draw near +500. The primary total is 3.5 goals, with the Under currently favored. Check out our free soccer picks throughout the Premier League campaign.

Chelsea Returns Home After First League Defeat

Chelsea enters after suffering a 2-1 defeat at Arsenal, its first Premier League loss of the season. Prior to that setback, Chelsea had opened league play with a 3-2 victory at Fulham and a 4-3 home win over Brighton.

Those results show why Chelsea is such a heavy favorite but also highlight an issue with backing the hosts at -425. Chelsea has conceded six goals through three league matches, including three in its previous appearance at Stamford Bridge.

The attack has been productive enough to overcome those problems, scoring eight goals through three league fixtures. Chelsea also defeated Luton 2-0 in League Cup action between its opening league matches, giving the club three victories from four competitive games before the Arsenal loss.

Hull City Has Been the Early Surprise

Hull's return to the Premier League has gone considerably better than the market might have expected. Hull opened its campaign by defeating Manchester United 2-0 before earning a 1-0 road victory at Coventry.

The Tigers then held Aston Villa to a scoreless draw, leaving Hull unbeaten through its opening three league matches without conceding a single goal. Hull also played Stoke to a 1-1 draw in League Cup action.

That defensive record makes this more interesting than Chelsea's -425 moneyline suggests. Hull hasn't faced an attack quite like Chelsea's at Stamford Bridge, but three consecutive Premier League clean sheets cannot simply be dismissed.

Chelsea vs Hull City Picks and Prediction

Pick: Hull City +1.5

Chelsea should control possession and create more opportunities, but laying a large handicap against a Hull side that hasn't conceded a league goal carries considerable risk. Hull has already defeated Manchester United and won away from home before shutting out Aston Villa. Chelsea, meanwhile, has conceded multiple goals in each of its first three league matches. The massive difference between the moneyline prices makes the underdog handicap much more appealing. Take Hull City +1.5.

Pick: Under 3.5 Goals (-134)

Hull's defensive start provides the strongest argument for the total. None of its first three Premier League matches reached three goals, let alone four, and the Tigers have yet to concede. Chelsea clearly possesses enough attacking quality to challenge that streak, but Hull has demonstrated a willingness and ability to turn matches into controlled, lower-scoring contests. With the market giving us 3.5 rather than 2.5, take Under 3.5 goals.

Final Picks: Hull City +1.5 and Under 3.5 Goals (-134)