Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 24, 2026
Chelsea has climbed into the Premier League's top four, and Saturday brings a London rivalry with Tottenham Hotspur at Stamford Bridge. Kickoff is 12:30 pm ET on Peacock, with Spanish-language coverage on Telemundo. Chelsea is fourth with 13 points and a 4-1-2 record, coming off a 2-0 league win at Everton. Tottenham sits 16th at 1-3-3 with six points, though Spurs did beat Coventry City 3-1 in their latest cup appearance. Chelsea has won two straight league matches; Tottenham needs a stronger showing against a top-four opponent. See more weekend matches in our free soccer picks.
Chelsea Have Found Their Scoring Touch
A 3-0 defeat at Brentford in September raised questions about Chelsea's consistency. They've answered with two league wins, putting five past Bournemouth and then beating Everton 2-0 away from home. That latest result was particularly useful after Chelsea had conceded in each of their first three home league games. The Blues have scored 2.43 goals per league match, although they've also allowed 1.86. Against Tottenham, Chelsea can attack the spaces just behind the midfield and try to keep Spurs defending rather than breaking forward.
João Pedro has five league goals, the most on Chelsea, while Morgan Rogers has four and Pedro Neto has three. Cole Palmer and João Pedro share the assist lead with three apiece. Palmer and Rogers can work behind the striker, making it difficult for Tottenham's central midfielders to cover both players. Chelsea's expected goals stand at 1.34 per match, so the recent scoring has been better than the underlying chances suggest. The Blues will want to keep creating instead of depending on another unusually clinical afternoon.
Injuries: Reece James, Emiliano Martínez, Jamie Gittens and Emmanuel Emegha are out. Pep Chavarría and Malo Gusto face availability questions.
Tottenham Need to Offer More Going Forward
Tottenham's league record has been difficult to build on. Spurs have won only once in seven matches, collecting three draws and losing three. Their latest victory came Monday in the cup against Coventry, a 3-1 result that at least gave them something positive before traveling across London. Goals have been much harder to come by in the league. Tottenham has scored 0.86 per match while allowing 1.43. Even with more possession than Chelsea on the season, Spurs haven't turned enough of that control into dangerous chances.
Dominic Solanke, Jan Paul van Hecke and Omar Marmoush have one league goal each among Tottenham's listed leaders. Mohammed Kudus and Andrew Robertson share the assist lead with two. James Maddison could be important in finding runners early, especially when Chelsea's wing-backs are high up the pitch. Tottenham averages 1.05 expected goals per match, leaving little margin for missed opportunities. Getting the ball forward quickly may suit Spurs better than long spells of possession against Chelsea's crowded midfield.
Injuries: Rodrigo Bentancur is suspended. Lucas Bergvall, Savio, Mykhailo Mudryk, Wilson Odobert and Xavi Simons are unavailable. Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie face fitness checks.
Key To The Game
Chelsea's Palmer and Rogers can find room between Tottenham's midfield and defense, particularly with Bentancur absent. Spurs need Kudus and Marmoush to attack quickly when Chelsea's wing-backs advance. The midfield battle will decide who gets those chances.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Game Pick
- Chelsea -0.5
Chelsea's attack offers more options, and the home side has won its last two league games. Palmer and Rogers can cause problems between Tottenham's lines, while João Pedro has been finishing chances. Spurs are capable of threatening on the break, but their league scoring has been limited. Chelsea will find enough space to take control, win at Stamford Bridge and cover the half-goal handicap on Saturday afternoon in this rivalry.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Over/Under Pick
- Under 3.5
Tottenham has scored fewer than one goal per league match, and Chelsea is coming off a clean sheet at Everton. The Blues have attacking talent, but their expected goals figure is lower than their recent scoring suggests. Spurs may spend long stretches defending, which could restrict their own chances. Chelsea can win without a goal rush, making under 3.5 the play for this London meeting on Saturday afternoon.