Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Picks and Predictions for Sunday, October 11, 2026
Crystal Palace host Nottingham Forest on Sunday at Selhurst Park in London, with the kickoff scheduled for 9:00 AM ET and coverage on USA Network and Universo. Palace are 15th in the Premier League table with four points and a 1-1-3 record. The Eagles drew 0-0 with Leeds United in their latest league match after losing 3-2 to Ipswich Town. Forest are 13th with five points and a 1-2-2 record. The visitors' last three Premier League meetings with Palace ended in draws. Let's break down the matchup with our free soccer picks.
Crystal Palace Trying to Build on Recent Clean Sheets
Crystal Palace has collected four points from five Premier League matches, recording one victory, one draw and three defeats. The Eagles lost 3-2 against Ipswich before holding Leeds to a scoreless draw. Palace also defeated Lech Poznan 4-0 in the Europa League and Middlesbrough 3-0 in the Carabao Cup. Tyrick Mitchell leads Palace with two league goals, while Anan Khalaili and Jorgen Strand Larsen have scored once each. Daichi Kamada leads the club with three assists, followed by Eddie Nketiah with one.
Palace average 1.20 goals per league match while conceding 2.20, producing a goal differential of -1.00 per game. The Eagles average 1.19 expected goals and 1.76 expected goals conceded, with 42% possession and a 61% save percentage. Palace has recorded one league clean sheet, although their last two competitive fixtures against Lech Poznan and Leeds ended without conceding any goals. Adam Wharton has contributed to the defensive improvement, recording three tackles won across those two matches.
Injuries: No injuries to report.
Nottingham Forest Seeking Greater Attacking Production
Nottingham Forest has started the Premier League season with one victory, two draws and two defeats, collecting five points from five matches. Forest sit one point above Palace in the standings and have experienced contrasting results at home and away under Oliver Glasner. The visitors have been more competitive on their travels, making Sunday's trip another important test. Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye and Igor Jesus have each scored one league goal. Gibbs-White also leads Forest with two assists, while Murillo has contributed one.
Forest average 0.80 goals per league match while conceding 1.00, producing a goal differential of -0.20 per game. The visitors average 1.33 expected goals and 1.03 expected goals conceded, with 46% possession and a 69% save percentage. Forest has recorded one clean sheet through five league fixtures. Their defensive numbers compare favorably with Palace, who has conceded 11 goals against Forest's five. However, Forest has scored only four league goals.
Injuries: No injuries to report.
Key to the Match
Palace's recent defensive improvement against Forest's limited scoring production is the central matchup. The Eagles have recorded consecutive clean sheets across competitions, while Forest average just 0.80 goals per league match. Palace has conceded 2.20 goals per contest overall, but their latest results suggest better organization. Forest allow only 1.03 expected goals per match, compared with Palace's 1.76. Neither team has been particularly productive in attack, making possession in dangerous areas and converting limited chances important at Selhurst Park.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Match Pick
- Nottingham Forest +0.5 (-205)
Nottingham Forest are the pick with a half-goal advantage after collecting five points from five league matches compared with Palace's four. Forest has conceded just five goals this season, while Palace has allowed 11. The visitors also average fewer expected goals conceded, with 1.03 compared with Palace's 1.76. Three consecutive Premier League meetings between these clubs have ended in draws, including both matches last season. Palace has improved defensively, but Forest's stronger overall defensive numbers make avoiding defeat a reasonable expectation in this matchup on Sunday.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Over/Under Pick
- under 2.5 (-110)
Under 2.5 goals is the pick, with Nottingham Forest averaging just 0.80 goals per league match and Crystal Palace scoring 1.20. Forest has conceded only five goals in five fixtures, while Palace has recorded consecutive clean sheets across all competitions. The Eagles' latest league match ended 0-0 against Leeds, and the previous three Premier League meetings between Palace and Forest produced no more than two goals each. Neither attack has consistently converted chances, making another closely contested match with fewer than three goals likely.