Hull City vs Everton Picks and Predictions for Sunday, October 11, 2026

Hull City welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium on Sunday, October 11, with the kickoff scheduled for 9:00 AM ET on Peacock. The Tigers sit eighth in the Premier League with eight points and a 2-2-1 record, following a 2-1 defeat against Newcastle United. Everton sit seventh with nine points and a 2-3-0 record, remaining unbeaten in five league matches. Hull has gone three league games without a victory, while Everton has picked up points in every outing. Let's break down the matchup with our free soccer picks.

Hull City Tigers Seeking Their First Win in Four League Matches

Hull's return to the Premier League began with consecutive victories over Manchester United and Coventry City, both without conceding. Since then, the Tigers have drawn 0-0 against Aston Villa and 2-2 against Chelsea before losing 2-1 at Newcastle. Hull also suffered a 1-0 Carabao Cup defeat against Sunderland. The Newcastle result was frustrating after Hull registered 22 shots compared with Newcastle's 12. Sergej Jakirovic's team has remained competitive despite their recent results, particularly against established Premier League opponents.

The Tigers average 1.20 goals per match while conceding 0.80, with three clean sheets in five league appearances. Mohamed Belloumi leads Hull with two goals and two assists, making him their most productive attacking player. Semi Ajayi and Nobel Mendy have also scored, while Ryan Giles has contributed an assist. Hull average 1.06 expected goals and allow 1.43 expected goals per match, indicating that their defensive results have been stronger than the chances conceded suggest. Their 32% average possession also shows how little time they spend on the ball. 

Injuries: Charlie Hughes (doubtful), Tim Iroegbunam (doubtful), Matt Targett (doubtful), Brooke Norton-Cuffy (doubtful), Hidemasa Morita (doubtful), Eliot Matazo (out), Ilyas Ansah (out), Darko Gyabi (out), Jack Butland (out).

Everton Toffees Protecting Their Unbeaten Premier League Record

Five league matches have passed without defeat for David Moyes' Everton, who has recorded two victories and three draws. Their recent sequence includes three consecutive draws followed by a victory, keeping the Toffees among the division's unbeaten teams. Everton has also progressed in cup competition, winning their latest outing outside the league. The Merseyside club travel to Hull sitting one point above their hosts, with another victory putting further distance between the teams. Everton's defensive consistency has been particularly important during a campaign featuring several close matches.

The Toffees average 1.20 goals per match and concede just 0.60, matching Hull's scoring average while allowing fewer goals. Everton has kept three clean sheets and recorded an 83% save percentage. Thierno Barry leads the attack with two goals, while James Tarkowski, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George and Ainsley Maitland-Niles have also scored. Tarkowski has contributed an assist, alongside Harrison Armstrong and Hayden Hackney. Everton average 1.47 expected goals and concede 1.37 expected goals per match. Their 43% possession figure is higher than Hull's, although neither team regularly dominates possession.

Injuries: Merlin Rohl (doubtful), Christian Norgaard (doubtful), Vitaliy Mykolenko (doubtful).

Key to the Match

Everton's stronger attacking numbers face a Hull defense that has conceded only four league goals. The Toffees average 1.47 expected goals compared with Hull's 1.06, but the Tigers have already held Aston Villa and Chelsea to draws. Belloumi's involvement will be important for Hull, especially against an Everton defense with three clean sheets. Barry remains the visitors' main scoring threat. With neither club averaging more than 1.20 actual goals per match, converting limited chances becomes central to Sunday's contest.

Hull City vs Everton Match Pick

• Everton +105

Everton's unbeaten record and stronger underlying attacking numbers make the visitors my pick at the MKM Stadium. The Toffees have conceded only three goals in five league matches, while Hull has failed to win any of their last three league fixtures. Everton also average 1.47 expected goals compared with Hull's 1.06, demonstrating a greater ability to create scoring chances. Barry provides a finishing threat, and Moyes's defense has kept three clean sheets. Everton will take advantage of Hull's recent struggles and collect three points on Sunday.

Hull City vs Everton Over/Under Pick

• Under 2.5 Goals (-120)

Goals have been difficult to come by against these two defenses, making under 2.5 the play for Sunday's meeting. Hull has conceded four goals in five league matches, while Everton has allowed only three. Both clubs have registered three clean sheets, and neither averages more than 1.20 goals per game. Hull's limited possession and Everton's organized defensive performances set up a contest with few clear chances. A single goal can decide this matchup, and the two defenses will help cash the under at the MKM Stadium.