Leeds United vs Newcastle United Picks and Prediction for Monday September 14 2026

Leeds United hosts Newcastle United at Elland Road in Leeds on Monday, September 14, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 3:00 PM ET. Leeds has opened its Premier League campaign unbeaten, while Newcastle also enters Matchweek 4 without a league defeat. The current market lists Leeds around +130, Newcastle at approximately +200 and the draw at +260. The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over around -130. Check out our free soccer picks throughout the Premier League season.

Leeds United Has Made an Unbeaten Start

Leeds has started its Premier League campaign with one victory and two draws. The club opened with a 1-0 road victory over Nottingham Forest before playing Brentford to a 1-1 draw at Elland Road. Leeds then earned another point with a 1-1 draw at Brighton.

That leaves Leeds at 1-2-0 with five points from its opening three league matches. The results have been supported by a solid defensive start, with Leeds allowing only two goals while keeping a clean sheet in its opener.

The performance at Brighton was particularly encouraging. Leeds took the lead in the first half and created opportunities to increase its advantage before eventually conceding the equalizer in the 71st minute. Returning to Elland Road as a modest favorite gives Leeds an opportunity to turn its promising start into a second league victory.

Newcastle United Remains Unbeaten

Newcastle has also avoided defeat through its first three Premier League games. The Magpies opened with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool before earning an impressive 2-0 road victory over Tottenham.

Their most recent match produced another 2-2 draw, this time at home against Bournemouth. Newcastle fell behind 2-0 during the first half but responded with goals on either side of halftime to salvage a point late in the match.

Newcastle has therefore scored six goals through three Premier League matches while remaining unbeaten at 1-2-0. The attacking production has been stronger than Leeds', but the Magpies have also conceded four times. Their ability to recover from a two-goal deficit against Bournemouth demonstrates resilience, although falling into that position also exposed some defensive vulnerability.

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Picks and Prediction

Pick: Leeds United Draw No Bet (-134)

Rather than laying +130 on Leeds to win outright, Leeds Draw No Bet at approximately -134 is the preferred side. Leeds is unbeaten through three league matches, has conceded only twice and returns to Elland Road after earning a point in a difficult trip to Brighton. Newcastle is also unbeaten and has demonstrated enough attacking quality to make the outright home moneyline risky. The Draw No Bet market protects us if these evenly matched unbeaten clubs split the points while still providing a winning ticket if Leeds converts its home-field advantage into three points. Take Leeds United Draw No Bet at -134.

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-130)

The Over 2.5 at approximately -130 gets the call on the total. Leeds' defensive numbers are strong, but Newcastle's three league matches have produced four, two and four combined goals, with the Magpies scoring six times themselves. Newcastle has shown the ability to create goals even when trailing, while Leeds generated enough quality opportunities at Brighton to suggest its attack has more upside than the three goals on its league ledger indicate. Newcastle's 2-2 results against Liverpool and Bournemouth also demonstrate the potential for this game to open up if Leeds scores first. Take Over 2.5 goals at -130.

Final Picks: Leeds United Draw No Bet (-134) and Over 2.5 Goals (-130)