Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 10, 2026
Manchester United host Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday at Old Trafford in Manchester, with kickoff scheduled for 12:30 PM ET and coverage on NBC and Telemundo. United are 12th in the Premier League with five points and a 1-2-2 record. The Red Devils drew 1-1 with Fulham in their latest league match, extending their domestic winless run to four games. Tottenham are 20th with two points and a 0-2-3 record, still searching for their first league victory. Spurs lost 3-2 to Aston Villa in their latest outing. United won the previous meeting 2-0 in February. Let's break down the matchup with our free soccer picks.
Manchester United Seeking Their Second League Victory
Manchester United have collected five points from their opening five Premier League matches, recording one victory, two draws and two defeats. The Red Devils drew 2-2 with Everton before losing 1-0 against Manchester City and drawing 1-1 at Fulham. United also suffered a 3-2 defeat against Brighton in the Carabao Cup after previously defeating Sabah 4-0 in the Champions League. Bruno Fernandes leads United with three league goals, while Bryan Mbeumo has scored twice. Matheus Cunha has added one goal, and Fernandes, Cunha and Kobbie Mainoo have recorded one assist each.
United average 1.60 goals per league match while conceding 1.60, producing an even goal differential. The Red Devils average 1.93 expected goals and 1.37 expected goals conceded, with 59% possession and a 67% save percentage. United have not recorded a Premier League clean sheet this season. Their defensive problems extend across competitions, with just one clean sheet in seven matches. However, United defeated Tottenham 2-0 at Old Trafford last season, ending a difficult run against the London club.
Injuries: Amad Diallo (questionable), Benjamin Sesko (questionable), Patrick Dorgu (questionable), Noussair Mazraoui (questionable), Kobbie Mainoo (questionable), Marcus Rashford (questionable), Karl Darlow (questionable), Manuel Ugarte (out), Matthijs de Ligt (out), Tom Heaton (out).
Tottenham Hotspur Trying to Escape Last Place
Tottenham have started the Premier League season with three defeats and two draws, collecting just two points from five matches. Spurs lost 3-2 against Aston Villa before the international break, scoring twice late after failing to find the net in four consecutive league fixtures. Their early results have left Tottenham at the bottom of the standings. Jan Paul van Hecke and Conor Gallagher have scored one league goal each, while Andrew Robertson and Mohammed Kudus have recorded one assist apiece. Tottenham have struggled to produce consistent attacking chances.
Spurs average just 0.40 goals per league match while conceding 1.60, producing a negative goal differential of 1.20 per game. Tottenham average 0.99 expected goals and 1.54 expected goals conceded, with 60% possession and a 60% save percentage. Spurs have recorded two clean sheets despite their poor overall results. Tottenham have also failed to win their last 48 matches across all competitions when conceding first. However, the visitors have won three of their last four Premier League away matches, offering some encouragement ahead of Saturday's trip.
Injuries: Micky van de Ven (questionable), Jan Paul van Hecke (questionable), Dejan Kulusevski (out), Xavi Simons (out), Wilson Odobert (out), Mykhaylo Mudryk (out), Pedro Porro (out).
Key to the Match
Manchester United's attacking production against Tottenham's scoring struggles is the key matchup. United average 1.93 expected goals and 1.60 goals per match, while Spurs average just 0.99 expected goals and 0.40 goals scored. Tottenham have failed to score in four of five league fixtures, placing additional pressure on their defense. United have also struggled defensively, conceding in every league match. The opening goal could prove particularly important given Tottenham's extended winless record when falling behind.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Match Pick
- Manchester United -0.5 (-155)
Manchester United are the pick against the half-goal handicap after collecting five points from five league matches compared with Tottenham's two. United average 1.60 goals and 1.93 expected goals per contest, while Spurs have scored only twice this season. Fernandes and Mbeumo have combined for five league goals, giving United stronger attacking options. The Red Devils also defeated Tottenham 2-0 at Old Trafford in February. Although United have struggled defensively, Tottenham's limited scoring production makes a home victory a reasonable expectation in this matchup on Saturday.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Over/Under Pick
- under 3.5 (-155)
Under 3.5 goals is the pick with Tottenham averaging just 0.40 goals per Premier League match and Manchester United scoring 1.60. Spurs have failed to score in four of five league fixtures, while United have scored more than twice in only one league match this season. Tottenham have also recorded two clean sheets, despite their defensive struggles. United's latest league results include a 1-0 defeat against Manchester City and a 1-1 draw with Fulham. Those scoring patterns make a total below four goals likely.