Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 17th, 2026

Newcastle United will take on Aston Villa this Saturday at St. James' Park in a Premier League contest. Newcastle currently sit 11th in the table with a 2-2-2 record and 8 points, coming off a defeat to Coventry on Monday by a score of 4-1. Aston Villa currently occupy 16th with a record of 1-2-3 and 5 points after their 2-2 draw against Brentford in their previous league game. They also crushed Fenerbahce 6-0 on Wednesday in the Champions League. Kickoff time is 12:30 p.m. ET. Cash a winning ticket at the window with our free Premier League picks.

Newcastle United Want to Come Back From Their Losses

Newcastle have lost two of their last 3 league matches, falling to Coventry 4-1 and Leeds United 4-1. Newcastle were able to beat Hull City 2-1 and drew with Bournemouth 2-2. They have been averaging 1.67 goals per game and giving up 2.17. They average 1.16 xG and allow 1.64 xGA, with an average of 52% possession.

Joe Willock and Anthony Elanga have both netted two goals in the league for Newcastle. Sven Botman has scored one. Harvey Barnes leads Newcastle with 2 assists. They have one clean sheet in six league games. They have not lost a home game this season. Injuries may play a factor in their matchup this Saturday.

Injuries: Ewen Jaouen is out. Anthony Elanga, Tino Livramento, Jacob Ramsey, and Bazoumana Toure are question marks.

Aston Villa Coming Off A Good Streak

Aston Villa have been playing better since the beginning of their Premier League campaign. Villa have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 4 matches across all competitions, including their 6-0 win over Fenerbahce on Wednesday. Villa have averaged 1.00 goals per game in the league and allowed 1.83. Aston Villa average 1.02 xG and give up 1.62 xGA, with an average possession of 47%.

Nicolas Jackson has scored three goals in the Premier League for Aston Villa. John McGinn and Emiliano Buendía have scored one goal each. John McGinn and Johan Manzambi have both recorded 2 assists. Jackson has scored 4 goals in his last 3 matches in all competitions. They have 1 clean sheet in 6 league matches.

Injuries: Matteo Ruggeri, Amadou Onana, and Ian Maatsen are out. George Hemmings and Brian Madjo are questionable.

Key To The Match

Newcastle have averaged 1.67 goals per game while Aston Villa have only averaged 1.00. But Newcastle have allowed 2.17 goals per game, and Aston Villa have allowed 1.83. Newcastle have the home-field advantage, but Aston Villa have been finding the back of the net lately in all competitions.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction

• Draw

Newcastle have given up 4 goals to both Coventry and Leeds. Aston Villa have found themselves playing better of late and scored 6 against Fenerbahce on Wednesday. But Newcastle have not lost at home this season and have scored 7 goals in their last 3 league games at home. Both clubs will score, and this evenly matched fixture will end in a draw 

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Over/Under Prediction

• Over 2.5

Newcastle have been averaging 1.67 goals per game and giving up 2.17, while Aston Villa have been allowing 1.83 goals per game. Newcastle have given up 4 goals in 2 of their last 3 league matches. Aston Villa have found the back of the net as well, with Nicolas Jackson scoring 4 goals in his last 3 matches in all competitions. Newcastle's last 3 home league matches have produced 12 total goals. There should be plenty of goals in this matchup.