Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction and Picks - September 3, 2025
The Blue Jays are facing off against the Reds in game three of their series at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio; keep reading for our Blue Jays versus Reds Prediction. Toronto is at the top of the AL East with a record of 79-59. Cincinnati is third in the NL Central with a record of 70-68. The Blue Jays had a record of 1-2 against the Reds in 2024. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT.
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This article was written before the results of the Blue Jays versus the Reds game on 9/2.
Blue Jays Look To Clinch AL East
The Blue Jays are coming off a loss on Monday versus the Reds with a final score of 5-4. This loss would be the fourth in the last six games for the Blue Jays. Toronto, despite these losses, still retains the top seed in the AL East with a winning percentage of .572 with the Yankees trailing behind at .555.
Toronto needs to finish their season strong if they wish to retain their top spot in their division. Their recent string of losses has led to the gap closing between them and the Yankees. Not far behind the Yankees as well is the Red Sox with their .554 winning percentage. The Blue Jays have relied on their offense this season to get the job done as their pitching has struggled. However, recently, the offense has remained inconsistent. While we do see games where the Blue Jays have scored five plus runs in a game, they have an equal number of games where they score fewer than four runs a game. This is a cause for concern, as without reliable hitting, the Blue Jays will continue to fall in the standings.
Right-handed pitcher Shane Bieber will be taking the mound for the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
- has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 2.38 and 15 strikeouts in 2 appearances this season.
- is 4-0 with an ERA of 3.20 and 46 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Reds in his career.
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Reds Hope For Wild Card
The Reds picked up a much-needed win on Monday versus the Blue Jays with a final score of 5-4. This would be only the second win for the Reds in their last seven games. Cincinnati sits just outside a wild card spot as they sit below the Mets who have a winning percentage of .536 to the Reds’ .507.
The chances of the Reds making the playoffs are looking slim especially after their recent five-game losing streak. Cincinnati was lacking offense in their series against the Dodgers and struggled as well in their series against the Cardinals. The Reds have always been a more pitching-motivated team with their team ranking 10th overall in ERA at 3.85. While their offense is not terrible, ranking 14th in runs and 16th in batting average at .247, it fails to generate consistent runs thanks to their poor slugging. The Reds are 22nd overall in slugging percentage at .391. This may be the difference maker in what keeps them from making the wild card but they still hold onto hope as they head towards the end of the season.
Right-handed pitcher Zack Littell will be starting for the Reds on Wednesday.
- has a 9-8 record with an ERA of 3.63 and 110 strikeouts in 27 appearances this season.
- has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 3.48 and 15 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Blue Jays in his career.
Reds +1.5 (-128) (4 units)
The Reds have a record of 22-12 against the run line as underdogs at home this season and are 7-3 in their last ten games against the run line as home underdogs. The Blue Jays are 2-4 against the run line as favorites in their last 6 games on the road and are 11-21 on the season. Both teams are highly motivated to grab the win as one team looks to head into the wild card while the other attempts to retain their top spot. This is not going to be a one-sided match and will likely be a close game, especially given how well both pitchers perform against the other team.
I am taking the Reds at +1.5.
Over 8.5 (-120) (4 units)
The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games. The Reds have an over/under record of 5-0 in their last five games versus the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays continue to rely on their offense to grab wins and I do not expect that to stop in this matchup. While the Reds do have a dominant mound, they will likely struggle to contain the Blue Jays’ offense. Zack Littell may have a 2-0 record against the Blue Jays in his career, but has an ERA of 3.48. The same can be said for Shane Bieber, who has a 4-0 record against the Reds but has a 3.20 ERA in his career. This game will be a close back-and-forth match, and we should expect the score to skyrocket once we start to get into both bullpens.
I am siding with the over at 8.5.
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