2026 WNBA Betting Trends: Team Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Records
2026 WNBA Betting Trends: Team Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Records
The latest October 9 check leaves the core 2026 WNBA betting board unchanged. Golden State remains the top ATS team at 25-17, +5.73u and +13.6%; Minnesota still owns the best straight-up record at 32-11; Indiana leads full-game Overs at +15.4%; and Dallas remains the strongest Under result at +13.6%.
The supplied regular-season workbook is numerically unchanged from the prior update. Spread and total ROI reflect the tracked flat-stake results. Moneyline ROI is not shown because the workbook does not supply the per-game prices needed to calculate it consistently.
Best Season-Long Trends at a Glance
- ATS: Golden State Valkyries 25-17-0, +13.6%.
- Straight up: Minnesota Lynx 32-11 (74.4%).
- Over: Indiana Fever 26-17-0, +15.4%.
- Under: Dallas Wings 17-25-0, +13.6%.
Against the Spread Trends
Golden State remains the clear ATS leader at 25-17-0, +5.73u and +13.6%. Washington remains second and Portland third. New York continues to rank last at -25.5%.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record (W-L-P) | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden State Valkyries | 25-17-0 | +5.73u | +13.6% |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 24-18-0 | +3.82u | +9.1% |
| 3 | Portland Fire | 24-20-0 | +1.82u | +4.1% |
| 4 | Chicago Sky | 22-19-0 | +1.00u | +2.4% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22-19-0 | +1.00u | +2.4% |
| 6 | Indiana Fever | 22-20-0 | +0.00u | +0.0% |
| 7 | Las Vegas Aces | 21-20-0 | -0.91u | -2.2% |
| 8 | Seattle Storm | 21-20-0 | -0.91u | -2.2% |
| 9 | Dallas Wings | 20-21-0 | -2.82u | -6.9% |
| 10 | Minnesota Lynx | 20-21-0 | -2.82u | -6.9% |
| 11 | Connecticut Sun | 20-23-0 | -4.82u | -11.2% |
| 12 | Atlanta Dream | 20-24-0 | -5.82u | -13.2% |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 17-21-0 | -5.55u | -14.6% |
| 14 | Phoenix Mercury | 18-24-0 | -7.64u | -18.2% |
| 15 | New York Liberty | 16-25-0 | -10.45u | -25.5% |
Moneyline Trends (Straight Up)
Minnesota remains first in straight-up win percentage at 32-11 (74.4%), followed by Golden State and Las Vegas. Home and away split records are not displayed because they do not reconcile consistently to the overall records in the source.
| Rank | Team | Record | Win Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 32-11 | 0.744 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 31-12 | 0.721 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 30-13 | 0.698 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream | 30-14 | 0.682 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 28-15 | 0.651 |
| 6 | Washington Mystics | 27-16 | 0.628 |
| 7 | Dallas Wings | 26-17 | 0.605 |
| 8 | New York Liberty | 26-18 | 0.591 |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 17-27 | 0.386 |
| 10 | Chicago Sky | 16-27 | 0.372 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 16-27 | 0.372 |
| 12 | Phoenix Mercury | 16-27 | 0.372 |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 11-32 | 0.256 |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun | 10-33 | 0.233 |
| 15 | Seattle Storm | 8-35 | 0.186 |
Total Trends (Over / Under)
Best Over Teams
Indiana remains the top Over team at 26-17-0 and +15.4%, followed by Toronto and Chicago.
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U-P) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana Fever | 26-17-0 | +15.4% |
| 2 | Toronto Tempo | 24-17-0 | +11.8% |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 24-18-0 | +9.1% |
| 4 | Portland Fire | 25-19-0 | +8.5% |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 24-19-0 | +6.6% |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx | 23-19-0 | +4.5% |
| 7 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22-20-0 | +0.0% |
| 8 | Atlanta Dream | 23-21-0 | -0.2% |
| 9 | Connecticut Sun | 22-21-0 | -2.3% |
| 10 | Washington Mystics | 22-21-0 | -2.3% |
| 11 | Phoenix Mercury | 21-21-0 | -4.5% |
| 12 | Las Vegas Aces | 20-22-0 | -9.1% |
| 13 | Seattle Storm | 19-24-0 | -15.7% |
| 14 | Golden State Valkyries | 18-24-0 | -18.2% |
| 15 | Dallas Wings | 17-25-0 | -22.7% |
Best Under Teams
Dallas leads the Under table at +13.6%, with Golden State second and Seattle third. These are historical season records, not guarantees about the next game.
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U-P) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 17-25-0 | +13.6% |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 18-24-0 | +9.1% |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 19-24-0 | +6.6% |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces | 20-22-0 | +0.0% |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 21-21-0 | -4.5% |
| 6 | Connecticut Sun | 22-21-0 | -6.8% |
| 7 | Washington Mystics | 22-21-0 | -6.8% |
| 8 | Atlanta Dream | 23-21-0 | -8.9% |
| 9 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22-20-0 | -9.1% |
| 10 | Minnesota Lynx | 23-19-0 | -13.6% |
| 11 | New York Liberty | 24-19-0 | -15.7% |
| 12 | Portland Fire | 25-19-0 | -17.6% |
| 13 | Chicago Sky | 24-18-0 | -18.2% |
| 14 | Toronto Tempo | 24-17-0 | -20.9% |
| 15 | Indiana Fever | 26-17-0 | -24.5% |
Trends to Fade
New York remains the weakest ATS result at -25.5%, followed by Phoenix and Toronto. On totals, the strongest Over teams naturally rate poorly when viewed as Under plays, so the direction of the market matters when interpreting the rankings.
How We Use These Trends
Season-long records are one input into our betting records and market trends. For current matchup analysis, see our WNBA picks and predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which WNBA team has the best against-the-spread trend in 2026?
Golden State leads the ATS table at 25-17-0, +5.73u and +13.6%.
Which WNBA teams should bettors fade?
New York ranks last in ATS ROI at -25.5%, with Phoenix and Toronto also well below break-even.
Which teams are winning most often outright?
Minnesota owns the best straight-up record at 32-11, followed by Golden State at 31-12 and Las Vegas at 30-13.
Why is there no ROI on the moneyline table?
The workbook supplies straight-up W-L records but not the per-game moneyline prices required to calculate a trustworthy moneyline ROI. The page therefore ranks that market by win percentage rather than inventing returns.
Which teams hit the Over most often?
Indiana leads the Over ROI table at +15.4%, followed by Toronto and Chicago.
Are there any reliable Under plays right now?
Dallas leads the Under table at +13.6%, with Golden State second and Seattle third. These are descriptive season results, not guarantees.
How often are these trends updated?
This page is refreshed as current WNBA betting records change. The October 9 data check produced no numerical changes from the prior update.
How is ROI calculated?
Spread and total ROI use the tracked flat-stake market returns. Moneyline ROI is omitted because the underlying per-game prices are not available.
Methodology
Spread rankings use the overall ATS record, Units and ROI, with pushes preserved in the displayed W-L-P record. Moneyline teams are ranked by straight-up win percentage using the overall record. Home and away moneyline splits are withheld because their totals do not reconcile consistently to the overall records. Over and Under tables are ranked separately by their respective ROI, with pushes preserved in the displayed O-U-P record.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Records were checked against the current source on October 9, 2026 and are subject to change.