Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Monday, September 1, 2025
The Atlanta Dream (25-14, third in WNBA) are set to face the Connecticut Sun (10-29, 11th in WNBA) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup for our Dream vs. Sun prediction. These teams are both playing at a good level as of late, so this should be intriguing. This is the third of five regular season games against one another as the series is tied at one game each. Do yourself a favor and read more about tonight’s WNBA Predictions
Dream Looking to Continue Playing Well
The Atlanta Dream, positioned third in the league with a 25-14 record, have showcased they are going to need to continue playing well. Their most recent home win against the Dallas Wings, a 100-78 game, showcases that they can score well. Atlanta’s offense is middling this year as they are averaging 83.4 points per game and shooting 43.9% from the floor. They shoot the three well as they are 33.1% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team needs to improve, shooting 77.7% as a team. They have been excellent in terms of crashing the boards, as they average 36.4 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Atlanta does an incredible job against their opponents, limiting them to 77.1 points per game, good for second in the WNBA. This defensive showing has been struggling with the fifth-ranked field goal defense at 43.1% and seventh in 3-point defense at 33.3%. The team has been led by veteran guard Allisha Gray’s 18.7 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game to help lead the way.
Injury Report for Atlanta
Guard Jordin Canada: Hamstring (Questionable)
Guard Holly Winterburn: Undisclosed (OUT)
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Sun Looking to End the Year Strong
The Connecticut Sun have been struggling as they are 11th in the league with a 10-29 record. Their offensive firepower has been brutal, as evidenced by their 12th-ranked scoring average of 76.3 points per game. This scoring ability needs to improve as they have the 12th-ranked field goal percentage of 41.2% and 13th with 30.9% from 3-point territory. The rebounding figures have them at 12th in the sport as they are recording 31.1 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Sun allow an average of 85.7 points per game, ranking them 10th and that makes things difficult for them going forward. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers is struggling, with opponents shooting 46.6% and 34.8% respectively. The team needs to show another step up as veteran center Tina Charles is averaging 16.2 points, 5.9 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 0.9 steals per game.
Injury Report for Connecticut
Center Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Back (Questionable)
Guard Bria Hartley: Knee (OUT)
Full Game Pick
Atlanta Dream -10.5 (5 units)
Full Game Pick Analysis
The net ratings show a significant difference that is considerably larger than the spread shows as Atlanta is second in the sport with a 7.7 net rating while Connecticut is 12th with a -11.9 net rating up to this point. Rebounding is critical to success and there is a significant gap there as well. The Dream are best in the WNBA with a 52.9 total rebounding percentage while the Sun are down at 12th place with just a 47.2 total rebounding rate. All in all, take the better team to cover the spread for this game.
Full Game Total Prediction
Under 158.5 (4 units)
Full Game Total Prediction Analysis
These teams are not pushing the pace throughout the season as Connecticut ranks eighth in basketball with 10.2 fastbreak points per game while Atlanta is ninth with 9.2 fastbreak points per game thus far. During the last five games, these teams are stepping up defensively as the Dream are third with a 97.9 defensive rating while the Sun are fifth with a 104.3 defensive rating in that span. Go with under 158.5 total points as the better option for the total.
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