Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 18, 2025
The Indiana Fever (24-20, sixth in WNBA) are set to face the Atlanta Dream (30-14, third in WNBA) in what promises to be an exciting Game 3 of the WNBA Playoffs First Round matchup for our Fever vs. Dream prediction. The Fever won Game 2 at home to force this winner-take-all Game 3. These teams split the six games between one another (four regular season, two postseason). Fast, focused, useful: WNBA predictions for Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever.
Indiana Exceeding Expectations
The Indiana Fever were able to make the playoffs despite dealing with injuries. They finished as the sixth seed in the league with a 24-20 record and secured a Game 2 home win 77-60. Their offensive firepower has been outstanding, as evidenced by their third-ranked scoring average of 84.9 points per game during the regular season. This scoring ability needs to carry into the postseason as they had the third-ranked field goal percentage of 45.7% and 34.6% from 3-point territory, which was fourth. The rebounding figures had them at ninth in the sport as they are recording 33.4 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Fever allowed an average of 81.5 points per game, ranking them eighth and that makes things intriguing for them to get stops. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers was holding its own, with opponents shooting 44.9% and 32.9% respectively. The team needs to see guard Kelsey Mitchell take another step as she averaged 20.2 points, 1.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 0.2 blocks, and 0.9 steals per game during the regular season.
Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Center Damiris Dantas: Concussion (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
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Dreaming of Round 2
The Atlanta Dream, the third seed in the playoffs with a 30-14 record, have showcased that they can are able to control things on the court. However, Game 2’s 77-60 loss on the road showcased the inability to score enough to keep this game close. Atlanta’s offense was able to do well in the regular season as they averaged 84.4 points per game and shooting 44.3% from the floor. They shoot the three well, as they were 33.7% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team has room for improvement, shooting 78.6% as a team. They have been an incredible team in terms of crashing the boards, as they averaged 36.6 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Atlanta does an outstanding job against their opponents, allowing them to score 76.8 points per game, ranking them third in the league. This defensive showing has been stepping up with the fifth-ranked field goal defense at 42.9% and fifth in 3-point defense at 32.1%. The team was led by guard Allisha Gray’s 18.4 points, 5.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.1 steals, and 0.4 blocks during the regular season.
Injury Report for Atlanta
- Guard Holly Winterburn: Undisclosed (OUT)
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Pick
Spread Pick for Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever
- Indiana Fever +7.5 (4 units)
These teams have had a difference of five points throughout the first two games of this series, so it is difficult to expect a major difference overall in a winner-takes-all Game 3. Even with the injuries piled up on the Indiana side of things, they are still playing well enough to keep the game close. When diving into the effective field goal percentage this postseason, Atlanta is sixth with a 42.6 effective field goal percentage, while Indiana is fifth with a 42.9 effective shooting percentage. All in all, go with the Indiana Fever to cover the spread in this series-ending game.
Over/Under Pick for Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever
- Under 154.5 (5 units)
Neither team is going to be able to score too well as the defenses are going to sell out for stops and limit any potential runs. The defensive intensity in a win-or-go-home game like this skyrockets while the offenses are going to struggle a bit. The offensive ratings show a bit of struggles in the first two games of the playoffs as the Dream are seventh of eight teams with an 88.1 offensive rating while the Fever are fourth with a 90.6 pace so far. Take under 154.5 total points to be scored here.
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