Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction for Wednesday September 23 2026

The Atlanta Dream visit the New York Liberty at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage on USA Network and WWOR-TV. Atlanta enters at 29-14 overall and 14-7 on the road, while New York is 26-17 overall and 14-7 at home. The Dream have won four straight games and sit atop the Eastern Conference, while the Liberty are coming off a 95-84 home loss to Atlanta on Monday. The season series is tied 1-1, with New York winning 104-90 in Atlanta on June 11 before the Dream answered with Monday's 11-point victory. DraftKings lists Atlanta as a 1.5-point favorite at -110 with a -120 moneyline, while New York is +1.5 at -110 and +100 on the moneyline. The total is set at 176.5. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions throughout the season.

Atlanta Brings the Hotter Form Into Brooklyn

Atlanta enters Wednesday at 29-14 and has climbed to the top of the Eastern Conference behind an impressive late-season surge. The Dream have won four consecutive games, including victories of 89-81, 103-59, 106-81 and 95-84. That latest victory is especially important for this matchup because it came at Barclays Center against the same New York team Atlanta will face again Wednesday. The Dream have scored at least 89 points in each game during their four-game winning streak and have reached triple digits twice.

Atlanta has been one of the league's more productive offensive teams, averaging 91.5 points per game while allowing 84.9. The Dream are shooting 44% from the field and averaging 35.6 rebounds and 21.4 assists per game. Defensively, Atlanta is producing 9.0 steals and 3.3 blocks per contest. The overall scoring differential is particularly impressive, with the Dream averaging 6.6 more points than they allow.

The recent numbers make Atlanta difficult to fade in this immediate rematch. The Dream scored 393 points over their last four games, an average of 98.3 per contest, while allowing 305, or 76.3 per game. That produces an average victory margin of 22 points during the winning streak. Monday's 95-84 result also demonstrated that Atlanta's recent form can translate to this particular matchup and venue. The Dream now need to avoid the natural danger of playing the same opponent twice in three days, but their recent offensive production and defensive pressure provide a strong statistical foundation.

New York Looks for a Quick Response at Home

New York comes into Wednesday at 26-17 overall and 14-7 at Barclays Center. The Liberty had won three consecutive games before Monday's loss, beating Chicago 85-66, Minnesota 93-81 and Toronto 106-69. The 95-84 defeat against Atlanta therefore interrupted what had otherwise been a strong stretch. New York is 3-2 over its last five games, and both losses during that span came at home.

The Liberty average 90.1 points per game while allowing 86.5, giving them a positive scoring differential of 3.6 points. New York shoots 46% from the field, two percentage points better than Atlanta, while averaging 35.4 rebounds and 21.0 assists. The Liberty also average 4.1 blocks per game but only 6.1 steals. New York's offensive efficiency gives it the ability to answer Atlanta's scoring, although its season-long defensive numbers are not as strong as the Dream's.

Home court is New York's biggest argument for a turnaround. The Liberty are 14-7 at Barclays Center and already own a 14-point victory over Atlanta this season, although that came on the road in June. New York has also scored at least 85 points in four of its last five games. The problem is that Atlanta just came into this building and scored 95, and the Dream's current four-game winning streak has included victories by 8, 44, 25 and 11 points. New York should be capable of making the rematch competitive, but Atlanta has provided the stronger recent combination of offense and defense.

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction

Pick: Atlanta Dream -1.5

Atlanta laying only 1.5 points is the side to back. The Dream have won four straight and just defeated New York 95-84 at Barclays Center two days before this rematch. Atlanta also owns the better overall record, averages more points per game, allows fewer points per game and generates considerably more steals. New York's 14-7 home record and 46% field-goal shooting make this far from an automatic repeat of Monday's result, but Atlanta does not need another double-digit victory to cover this number. With the Dream carrying the stronger recent form and needing only a two-point win at the current spread, Atlanta -1.5 is the preferred side.

Pick: Over 176.5

The total of 176.5 is high, but both offenses have shown enough recent production to justify an over lean. Atlanta averages 91.5 points for the season and has produced 89 or more in four consecutive games, including 95 against New York on Monday. The Liberty average 90.1 points and have reached at least 84 in each of their last four games. Monday's meeting produced 179 combined points, while the first matchup finished with 194. Both completed head-to-head meetings therefore cleared Wednesday's 176.5 total. With Atlanta in excellent offensive form and New York possessing the efficiency to respond at home, Over 176.5 is the stronger total play.

Final Picks: Atlanta Dream -1.5 and Over 176.5