Atlanta Dream vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 17, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Atlanta Dream visit the Toronto Tempo at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto, Ontario, on Friday, July 17, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The game will be televised on WNBA League Pass, ION, and TSN. Atlanta is a -310 moneyline favorite, while Toronto is listed at +250. The Dream are favored by 7.5 points, and the total is set at 181.5. Atlanta enters the contest at 14-10 overall and 6-6 on the road, while Toronto is 10-14 overall and 6-8 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Dream a 65.1% chance to win and the Tempo a 34.9% chance. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
Atlanta Carries the Stronger Record Into Toronto
Atlanta enters Friday’s game with a 14-10 overall record and an even 6-6 mark away from home. The Dream have won two of their last five games, recently earning a 101-92 victory over Los Angeles and an 89-78 win over Seattle. Their three losses during that stretch came against Portland, Golden State, and Washington. Atlanta fell 102-92 to Portland, 88-83 to Golden State, and 81-76 at Washington.
The Dream are averaging 88.3 points per game while allowing 84.8 points. Atlanta is shooting 43% from the field and averaging 34.7 rebounds and 19.9 assists. The Dream also average 2.8 blocks and 9.5 steals per game. Atlanta holds a positive scoring margin of 3.5 points based on those averages, separating it from a Toronto team that allows more points than it scores.
Atlanta’s most notable statistical strength is its defensive activity. The Dream average 9.5 steals per game, two more than Toronto’s average of 7.5. Atlanta also holds a clear rebounding advantage, collecting 34.7 rebounds per game compared with Toronto’s 31.1. Those two areas could help the Dream create additional possessions and limit Toronto’s opportunities, which would be important when attempting to cover a 7.5-point spread on the road.
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Toronto Looks to Regain Its Scoring Touch
Toronto comes into the matchup at 10-14 overall and 6-8 at Coca-Cola Coliseum. The Tempo have lost four of their last five games, recently falling 79-62 to Washington, 108-95 to Dallas, 83-75 to Golden State, and 89-76 in another meeting with Dallas. Toronto’s lone victory during the five-game stretch was a close 93-91 home win over New York.
The Tempo average 88.6 points per game, slightly more than Atlanta’s average of 88.3. Toronto is shooting 45% from the field and producing 31.1 rebounds, 20.0 assists, 3.3 blocks, and 7.5 steals per contest. The Tempo’s scoring average and shooting percentage demonstrate that their offense can be productive, even though their recent results have included four defeats in five games.
Toronto’s primary concern is its defensive production. The Tempo allow 91.5 points per game, meaning they are being outscored by an average of 2.9 points. They have also surrendered at least 89 points in three of their last five contests, including 108 against Dallas. Toronto’s 45% shooting is better than Atlanta’s 43%, but the Tempo will need to pair that efficiency with an improved defensive performance against a Dream team that recently scored 101 points.
Atlanta Dream vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction
Atlanta Dream vs Toronto Tempo Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream -7.5
Atlanta is my pick to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Dream own the better overall record, have an even record on the road, and carry a 65.1% matchup predictor probability. Atlanta also allows only 84.8 points per game, compared with Toronto’s average of 91.5 points allowed. The Dream have advantages in rebounding and steals, and they enter this contest after scoring 101 points in a nine-point victory. Toronto has lost four of its last five and has been defeated by at least eight points in each of those four losses, supporting Atlanta as the preferred side.
Atlanta Dream vs Toronto Tempo Total Pick
- Pick: Under 181.5
I am taking the under 181.5 in this matchup. Atlanta and Toronto average 176.9 combined points per game, which falls below the posted total. The Dream also allow only 84.8 points per contest and recently held Seattle to 78. Toronto was limited to 62 points in its most recent game and has scored 76 or fewer in three of its last five appearances. Although both teams can produce offensively, the supplied averages and Toronto’s recent scoring results make the under my preferred total play.
Final Score Prediction
Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 91 – Toronto Tempo 83
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