Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 19 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 09/19/2026, 12:05 AM ET

The Chicago Sky visit the Atlanta Dream at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with coverage on Prime Video. Chicago enters at 15-26 overall and 5-15 on the road, while Atlanta is 27-14 overall and 14-7 at home. The Sky have lost four consecutive games, while the Dream have won two straight and currently sit atop the Eastern Conference. Atlanta has also won both meetings with Chicago this season, taking the first 82-75 and the second 93-91. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Get the best WNBA picks all season long with our free WNBA picks.

Chicago Searching for Answers After Four Straight Losses

Chicago enters Saturday on a four-game losing streak and has fallen to 15-26 overall. The Sky's recent stretch includes losses of 87-81 at Connecticut, 85-66 at New York and 110-80 at home against Washington. Their only victory over the last five games was a 73-70 decision against Golden State. Chicago has been particularly vulnerable away from home, where it owns a 5-15 record entering this matchup.

The Sky average 86.5 points per game but surrender 90.2, leaving them with a negative scoring differential of 3.7 points. Chicago shoots 44% from the field while averaging 33.1 rebounds, 21.3 assists, 4.7 blocks and 7.0 steals. The offensive numbers are respectable enough to keep the Sky competitive when their defense holds up, but allowing more than 90 points per game becomes a major problem against an Atlanta offense averaging 91.1.

Defense has deteriorated further during Chicago's current losing streak. The Sky have surrendered 395 points over those four defeats, an average of 98.8 points per game. Washington scored 110 in the most recent loss, while Indiana reached 113 earlier in the skid. Chicago managed to stay within two points of Atlanta in the previous meeting, but its current defensive form creates a much tougher assignment against one of the league's highest-scoring teams.

Atlanta Continues to Set the Pace in the East

Atlanta enters at 27-14 and sits first in the Eastern Conference. The Dream have won four of their last five games and are coming off an emphatic 103-59 victory over Connecticut. They have also beaten Minnesota 89-81, Los Angeles 78-71 and Phoenix 99-89 during that five-game stretch. Atlanta's only defeat during that span was a 101-83 loss to Portland. The Dream are also 14-7 at home, giving them another significant advantage Saturday.

The Dream average 91.1 points per game while allowing 85.0, producing a strong positive scoring differential of 6.1 points. Atlanta shoots 44% from the field and averages 35.7 rebounds, 21.3 assists, 3.3 blocks and 9.0 steals. The rebounding difference could be especially important, with Atlanta holding a 2.6-rebound advantage over Chicago on the season, while its ability to force turnovers is reflected in two additional steals per game.

Atlanta's recent defensive performance adds another dimension to the matchup. The Dream held Connecticut to only 59 points Thursday, their lowest defensive total among the five games provided. They have already beaten Chicago twice and now face a Sky team that has been outscored by 72 points during its four-game losing streak. Chicago has allowed 98.8 points per game during that skid, creating an inviting matchup for an Atlanta offense averaging more than 91 for the season.

Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction

Pick: Atlanta Dream

Atlanta is the side to back in this matchup. The Dream have the better overall record, the stronger home record and substantially better recent form. Chicago is only 5-15 on the road and has lost four consecutive games, while Atlanta has won four of five and is 14-7 at State Farm Arena. The biggest concern for Chicago is its defense, which has surrendered 110 and 113 points in two of its last four games and is allowing 98.8 per contest during the losing streak. Atlanta has already won both head-to-head meetings and enters with a season scoring differential that is 9.8 points per game better than Chicago's. With no confirmed spread supplied, Atlanta is the preferred side once the market is posted.

Pick: Over 176.5 or Lower

The Over becomes attractive at 176.5 or lower. Chicago and Atlanta combine to average 177.6 points per game offensively, while Chicago's defense has been particularly vulnerable recently. The Sky's four games during their current losing streak produced combined totals of 190, 203, 151 and 190 points, with three clearing 176.5. The previous Chicago-Atlanta meeting also finished 93-91 for 184 combined points. Atlanta's ability to score 90-plus against a struggling Chicago defense provides the foundation for the Over, while the Sky's 86.5-point season average gives them enough offensive potential to contribute to a high-scoring game.

Final Picks: Atlanta Dream and Over 176.5 or Lower

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